@pytho_io

Our training programs, tools & expertise in predictive analytics future-proof your organization. @Superforecastr & @PavelDAtanasov distill the wisdom of crowds.

 Brooklyn, New York
pytho.io
Joined June 2017
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  • Following447
  • Followers133
14Media
Can collective human intelligence outpredict algorithms? @pytho_io won @NSF funding to test our @HumanForests method against random forest machine models in predicting cancer drug success #HumanForests #HumanVsMachine #AI #machinelearning medium.com/@pytho/national-s…

NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION FUNDS PYTHO RESEARCH ON HOW TO PREDICT THE SUCCESS OF NEW CANCER DRUGS

NSF’s Decision, Risk and Management Sciences Program Awards a Research Grant Teaming Johns Hopkins University with Pytho LLC

medium.com
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GPT and the Linda Problem.
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Attention valuation fans: we have a new report out today on return on invested capital (ROIC). It updates and extends work from 2014. morganstanley.com/im/publica…
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With a dedication to all members of the forecasting community (forecasters from @Metaculus, @INFERpub, @GJ_Open, @superforecaster, @pytho_io, @Hypermind_com and others) and with special thanks to @PTetlock @bamellers @dgardner, @AnthonyNAguirre and all who made it possible.
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God, I can’t believe what a strategic genius Putin is.
Reuters
@Reuters16 May 2022
Switzerland's defense ministry is tilting closer to NATO in response to Russia's invasion of Ukraine, putting its fabled neutral status to test reut.rs/39ri9UE
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Thursday (15:00 CET), Pavel Atanasov (@PavelDAtanasov) presents his work on “Skill Spotting and Elicitation Systems in Crowd Prediction” DM if you’d like to join! @mpib_berlin @HumanForests @pytho_io 🧵More info below!
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Pytho LLC retweeted
NATO
@NATO11 Mar 2022
🇫🇷 French troops from the #NATO Response Force (NRF) have been deployed to #Romania 🇷🇴 in response to Russia’s unprovoked and unjustified invasion of #Ukraine 🇺🇦

French 🇫🇷 troops from the NATO Response Force deploy to Romania 🇷🇴

French troops from the NATO Response Force (NRF) have been deployed to Romania in response to Russia’s unprovoked and unjustified invasion of Ukraine.

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Pytho LLC retweeted
ABC News
@ABC24 Feb 2022
Ukraine’s U.N. ambassador directly addressed his Russian counterpart at conclusion of U.N. Security Council meeting: “There is no purgatory for war criminals. They go straight to hell, Ambassador.” abcn.ws/3HdH5dF
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Wordle 233 6/6 ⬜⬜⬜⬜⬜ 🟨⬜⬜⬜🟨 ⬜🟨⬜🟨🟨 🟨🟨🟨⬜⬜ 🟨🟨⬜🟩🟩 🟩🟩🟩🟩🟩
Thanks @AmardeepSParmar for the interview in today's @entrehandbook! We really covered a lot of ground: #strategic foresight applied to #DigitalTransformation, #decision-making processes and the birth of #DigitalMedia. Whew! entrepreneurshandbook.co/5-h…
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We at @pytho_io love the name check for our @HumanForests research in @CrowdMoneyGG newsletter today! Check them out!
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When two experts make opposing arguments, it is hard to decide whom to trust. The Fed economists will do their own research, but for non-specialist investors, picking a side based on incomplete information is more likely. That's where track-record data would come in handy.
Joe Weisenthal
@TheStalwart25 Oct 2021
Both @johnauthers and @elerianm have pieces out today warning of a possible Fed policy error. Except John's is warning that the Fed may make a hawkish mistake. bloomberg.com/opinion/articl… And Mohamed is warning that the Fed may be acting too dovish. bloomberg.com/opinion/articl…
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"Improving the Wisdom of Crowds with Analysis of Variance of Predictions of Related Outcomes" by @VSatopaa papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.…
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"The observed lower variability, lack of speeding up, smoother individual dynamics, and leader-less inter-personal coordination [in drum circles] indicated that stability increased as group size increased, a sort of temporal wisdom of crowds." biorxiv.org/content/10.1101/…

Collective dynamics support group drumming, reduce variability, and stabilize tempo drift

Humans are social animals who engage in a variety of collective activities requiring coordinated action. Among these, music is a defining and ancient aspect of human sociality. Social interaction has...

biorxiv.org
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💥LAUNCHING TODAY!💥 Human Forest Tournament #2 goes live at NOON EST, but you can still sign up @ ow.ly/QcyL50Ga8WS to join the hundreds of forecasters competing to beat a top machine model! Help us advance science & maybe earn prizes up to $1500! #datascience #forecasting
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Experience reference class forecasting & outpredict machine models! Our @NSF -funded research goes live TODAY & you can still sign up @ ow.ly/T3B250Ga9Jb to advance solutions to the problem made notable by #Nobel laureate Daniel Kahneman & Amos Tversky #science #forecasting
.@pytho_io is launching Phase 2 of the @HumanForests experiment, a forecasting competition. The experiment can help you practice gathering information, thinking probabilistically, updating your beliefs, and making predictions, all key decision skills. @NSF mailchi.mp/pytho/prepare-for…
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15 Data Fallacies and How to Avoid Them geckoboard.com/best-practice…
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Countdown! I'm excited to be conducting an exclusive forecasting tournament for Clarim Media Techonomy Media + Worth Media, culminating next week in an exciting presentation/post-mortem. So far, Afghanistan's fall & oil prices have challenged our top participants. #forecasting
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Friends: VOTE here: panelpicker.sxsw.com/vote/11… to help us bring our work on how human intelligence beat machine models in predicting #COVID drug trials. VOTE for our #SXSW2022 Panel Picker session about our @NSF Human Forests work to help us win a slot! #Prediction #MachineLearning
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