Sure but I'm not talking about you, I'm talking about the 80% of republicans who are betting on reps in '26

Well that solves it. We might as well get rid of all traffic laws and just rely on everyone having common sense! Surely that’ll lead to lower car accident rates

Because most betters are partisans not quants. This doesnt weigh by bet size so you’ll get a lot of republicans who bet $20 on their team to win. They happened to be right in 2024. I’d be surprised if the same wasn’t true for Democrats betters. They likely all voted blue in 2024 and blue now. You gotta weigh by bet size to get actual data.

Got the game on and beers I'm assuming

What part of UNDERDEVELOPED BRAINS do you not understand?

Again, 7 year old brains are underdeveloped. They may run across the road right after getting off the bus, even if there's a crosswalk 1 block away.

7 year olds kids have underdeveloped brains. Big discovery my guy!

Oh my god

Chicago mayors are all awful and BJ has some how managed to be even worse

nice bait

Idk this is an extreme example. All the cases I know are people moving from a 1 or 2 bed apartment as a couple to a 4 or 5 bed house when they’re pregnant with their first “because they need the space”. I think those people would be just fine in a 3 bed apartment or even 2 bed if no one works from home.

They didn’t realize that Trump scared dems into voting in person lol. If I were in a battleground state there’s no way in hell I’d vote in mail given the shenanigans he’ll try to pull.

Light puffer for this morning

And the confession papers!

Once the revolution happens you’ll be executed in the third round of purges. Just and fyi from my tarot card readings

My 1 year old would be pissed if he could read

> Talarico cares in *every other case* about foregrounding the dignity of vulnerable persons he advocates for. If he considered fetuses in wombs to be people, then he'd be pro-life. He doesn't consider them people (and thus not vulnerable people), hence why he can be more glib about it. (I say this without offering my view on this issue - trying to stay neutral either way, just pointing out what I think is his perspective)

pydantic? (jk jk)

Most elections have nuance, but in a way this election kinda doesn't. Gas prices are through the roof and it's entirely a voluntary choice by Trump and GOP congressmen. It really feels as simple as that and I'd be kinda shocked if the GOP does well.

If we ignore polling, I'm curious what strengths you see for Republicans. I guess it depends on individual states. The few I see: * Candidate quality issues in the more toss up states (michigan, maine, minnesota) * Overcoming red demographics in red states (texas, ohio, kansas). But like, that's most of what I see. Beyond that the pros for Democrats seem overwhelming. * gas prices * inflation * naked corruption by the admin that's getting hard to ignore * candidate quality (texas, kansas, SC, Ohio) * Trump flip flopping on his promises (no wars, lower prices) * anti-incumbency as in most midterms