Joined December 2021
Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms. 50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa. Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
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Americans' preferences for issues aren't static. How have abortion stances shifted post-Dobbs?
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RIP🙏What happens to approval ratings when a world leader dies in office? Explore approval ratings for 4 dead presidents and their successors in our latest observation📈📉: Going Out On Top open.substack.com/pub/pollit… #approvalratings #twitterstorian #deadpresidents
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Who'll be Florida's next governor? A view from the fundamentals suggests a tighter race than you might suspect...subscribe to our Substack for free access or see link in comments
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Replying to @Pollitik_Lab
@Pollitik_Lab The race for Georgia governor just got a projection. 823 votes decided Keisha Lance Bottoms' 2017 runoff. Could 2026 come down to just as few? Check out our new forcast: pollitik.substack.com/p/fund… #gapol
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Who will be Georgia's next governor? The answer may surprise you....In our latest Substack we compare 2 fundamentals forecasts with prediction market vibes. Follow Pollitik there & see link in 1st comment.
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We hear a lot about presidential "honeymoons" in American Politics. But do they still exist? Check out our latest analysis. pollitik.substack.com/p/is-t… H/t Sam Wilder for this great piece!
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New forecast report for upcoming elections in Colombia 🇨🇴 incl. fundamentals model, horse-race & prediction mrkts. 📈📉 Collab w/@USanSebastian's Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno. #colombiadecide2026
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The data is in: the #EpsteinFiles fallout is directly impacting executive approval ratings in the US and UK. What are your thoughts on the political instability? 🇺🇸🇬🇧 pollitik.substack.com/p/epst…
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Urime! Breaking trends, Kosovar Prime Minister @AlbinKurti has managed something special. Following a 2020 no-confidence vote and returning in 2021 has maintained strong approval ratings to become Kosovo’s most popular, and potentially longest-serving, PM since independence.
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