Joined December 2021
Very excited to see this important Special Issue come together and to have contributed to it. Thx to the co-editors @htchen_ @uatiff @SebaValenz for their work as support!
🚨Out now!🚨 POQ's special issue, Advancing Public Opinion Research Across Countries and Contexts. An overview from the editors: doi.org/10.1093/poq/nfag062 All articles and notes: academic.oup.com/poq/issue
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🌡️ readings for the US public
Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms. 50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa. Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
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Are Americans more identified as Liberal or Consevative these days? The answer matters for the midterms. 50 yrs of data show thermostatic dynamics @CBWlezien-conservative ID goes us when policy moves too liberal & vice versa. Check it out & subscribe! pollitik.substack.com/p/ideo…
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Excellent work w/midterms implications
Americans' preferences for issues aren't static. How have abortion stances shifted post-Dobbs?
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Americans' preferences for issues aren't static. How have abortion stances shifted post-Dobbs?
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RIP🙏What happens to approval ratings when a world leader dies in office? Explore approval ratings for 4 dead presidents and their successors in our latest observation📈📉: Going Out On Top open.substack.com/pub/pollit… #approvalratings #twitterstorian #deadpresidents
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Blessed to have worked with THE @JamesSwaffordGA on this as part of the 2026 Summer edition of @PollitikLab. Thx for bringing it, James!
Florida isn't my specialty, but I took a look. Based on the math, I projected that @RepDonaldsPress will take the Florida governorship with 48.3% of the vote. This ended up being a fun yet challenging project to work on as part of my Grad program.
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Who'll be Florida's next governor? A view from the fundamentals suggests a tighter race than you might suspect...subscribe to our Substack for free access or see link in comments
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Nice job @PollitikLab on this report! Forecasts were built on data from @MattSingerPOLS's State Executive Approval Database
Who will be Georgia's next governor? The answer may surprise you....In our latest Substack we compare 2 fundamentals forecasts with prediction market vibes. Follow Pollitik there & see link in 1st comment.
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Who will be Georgia's next governor? The answer may surprise you....In our latest Substack we compare 2 fundamentals forecasts with prediction market vibes. Follow Pollitik there & see link in 1st comment.
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Worth a look
We hear a lot about presidential "honeymoons" in American Politics. But do they still exist? Check out our latest analysis. pollitik.substack.com/p/is-t… H/t Sam Wilder for this great piece!
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We hear a lot about presidential "honeymoons" in American Politics. But do they still exist? Check out our latest analysis. pollitik.substack.com/p/is-t… H/t Sam Wilder for this great piece!
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Pollitik retweeted
⭐️⭐️⭐️NEW DATA ESSAY⭐️⭐️⭐️ 📣 "La inteligencia artificial como refugio digital. Usos emocionales y regulación de la soledad en Argentina" by Constanza Cilley ✅ Check it out! ➡️ lnkd.in/eekZHUxz
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Pollitik retweeted
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Pollitik retweeted
⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️NEW ARTICLE⭐️⭐️⭐️ "Is Democracy in Plain Sight? Presidential Personalism and Public Opinion about the Country’s Democratic Status" by Alejandro Monsivais-Carrillo @AMonsivaisC 🔗in 1st comment.
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60 Days ago, this was our prediction based on the polling data at hand, prediction markets & fundamentals data from Q1 2026. We were right about Cepeda's chances of winning but wrong about his opponent.
New forecast report for upcoming elections in Colombia 🇨🇴 incl. fundamentals model, horse-race & prediction mrkts. 📈📉 Collab w/@USanSebastian's Laboratorio Democracia y Gobierno. #colombiadecide2026
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Pollitik retweeted
The Seligson Prize is awarded annually by @LAPOP_Lab to recognize outstanding scholarship using AmericasBarometer data. The prize honors the legacy of the late Mitchell A. Seligson, founder of LAPOP and a pioneer in the study of public opinion in Latin America.
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