Hogg Professor of Government, University of Texas at Austin, #1stGen

Austin, TX
Joined October 2014
Christopher Wlezien retweeted
Taking the bigger picture view across 372 elections in 32 countries left wing parties are overestimated by 1.4 percentage points, with polling errors of all sizes more likely to occur for left wing parties osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/mk…
The direction of polling error in recent years: * 2008: Unbiased * 2010: Unbiased * 2012: R bias * 2014: D bias * 2016: D bias * 2018: Unbiased * 2020: Even bigger D bias * 2022: Unbiased * 2024: D bias, less than 2016/2020 * 2025 (e.g. NJ/VA): Big R bias
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
Many thanks to @verasight_data for interviewing me about my recent research with @CBWlezien ! Had fun discussing how the public (mis)understands inflation information, and why it matters 👍 youtu.be/KO4Ask_7vto?is=fTcQ…
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
Great article! "One professor at UC San Diego tells me that new course approvals went from a six-month process to a two-year backlog, largely because of expensive software that requires ongoing maintenance."
This article about admin bloat by @ProfBarryLam is very important. It points out that one of the major drivers of the bureaucratic build out in academia is an over-reliance on bullshit EdTech software that makes everything worse while requiring a legion of flunkies to manage it.
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
The proposal deadline for the SPSA 2027 is approaching soon! Proposals are due September 1, 2026. You can also now book your hotel room for SPSA 2027! Check your email or visit spsa.net/annual-meeting/2027… for more information about submitting to the conference and booking your room!
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
AI prose is distinguishable by word and punctuation choice as well as sentence and paragraph structure. But its hallmarks are not what you might expect. Read our full investigation economist.com/culture/2026/0…
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
Link: osf.io/preprints/socarxiv/mk… With Stuart Perrett, Will Jennings, Chris Prosser, Chris Wlezien and me
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
Fellow political scientists (who are still on here), if you wouldn't mind spreading the word, I'd really appreciate it--thank you!!! 🙏 @JohnHolbein1, @julie_wronski , @littleconnors, @RobertNLupton, @CBWlezien, @dhopkins1776, @YamilRVelez, @akoustov, @AdamBerinsky, @iganson
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
📈 How do people update their perceptions of the economy? ➡️ Derek A. Epp and @CBWlezien show that people interpret the same economic changes differently depending on their prior perceptions, suggesting that public opinion is shaped by benchmarking cambridge.org/core/journals/…
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Here's a little something that might interest a number of you, part of a forum in the Journal of Public Policy: cambridge.org/core/journals/…. Many thanks to editor Josh Ryan and the commentators Samuel Bagg, Tara Grillos, Agustin Markarian, and Mary Scudder!
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
🚨 Do you use @Stata? Want to learn some tricks for better graphs? If so, I'm hosting a seminar with Instats on June 8 and 9! Lots of tips, tricks & guidance for clearer, prettier, publication-quality data viz for descriptive & inferential analyses. Pls spread the word! 🙏
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
🎉🎉🎉NOW AVAILABLE for Pre-Order! 🥳 So much thought, time, energy and love went into writing this. For those kind enough to order it, I genuinely hope you enjoy and find value in it. I tried my best to write for those who want to learn how to do quant social science research.
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
Good post from Krugman on the economic vibes again, esp the last chart: paulkrugman.substack.com/p/b… In my piece last week I shared a new paper from Chris Wlezien and Derek Epp at UT Austin showing he's exactly right, that people respond to inflation worse during good times vs bad:
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Excited about a new paper with xitter.cf/s_soroka in xitter.cf/polcommjournal: "durable biases in information processing, by media organizations and humans more generally, can produce misinformation and misperceptions..." tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.…
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
Breaking News: The U.S. trade deficit rose sharply in November, as President Trump’s tariffs generated intense volatility. nyti.ms/4q5d2Ly
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
Fake news tend to be more negative. "variation in accuracy is associated with variation in the tendency to overweight negative information relative to positive information". researchgate.net/profile/Chr…
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
The US economy is in a hiring recession. Almost no jobs have been added since April. Wage gains are slowing. 710,000 more people are unemployed now versus November 2024. November +64,000 jobs October -105,000 (impacted by shutdown) September +108,000 August -26,000 July +72,000 June -13,000 May +19,000 I believe it's a combination of tariff impacts, AI, and cost cutting. Americans are feeling it. #jobs
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Christopher Wlezien retweeted
The obsession with getting your kids into an Ivy+ college is overrated. The same kids who are able to get into an elite school will earn just as much money if they get into a good public school. The income gain is literally 0% Why are people obsessed with it then? Because those schools offer access to the *most prestigious* jobs, like elite law firms and grad schools. academic.oup.com/qje/advance…
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