This account uses a custom model to forecast daily ridership on the Washington Metrorail and then compares to actual figures when published. Created by @dcadamb
Washington, DC
Joined June 2026
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The most accurate station prediction was 馃敶Glenmont (0.27% error) & the least accurate station prediction was 馃煝馃煛Mt Vernon Sq (46.11% error). The station with the highest ridership was 馃敶Union Station (20,295), as predicted
The actual systemwide tapped ridership on Tuesday, October 13, 2026 was 538,431, a -10.94% error from the V2 forecast. This is the 53rd most accurate forecast since the V2 model began on 8/1/2026 (29th percentile)
On Tuesday, October 20, 2026, there is a home Capitals game. The V2 Metrorail Ridership Model forecasts that there will be 611,326 passengers systemwide and the most used station will be 馃敶馃煝馃煛Gallery Place (24,852)
The most accurate station prediction was 馃煚鈿笍New Carrollton (-0.21% error) & the least accurate station prediction was 馃敶Shady Grove (+72.47% error). The station with the highest ridership was 馃敶馃煝馃煛Gallery Place (12,310)
The actual systemwide tapped ridership on Monday, October 12, 2026 was 305,885, a -11.50% error from the V2 forecast. This is the 55th most accurate forecast since the V2 model began on 8/1/2026 (25th percentile)
On Monday, October 19, 2026, there are no special events in the Washington region. The V2 Metrorail Ridership Model forecasts that there will be 487,810 passengers systemwide and the most used station will be 馃敶Union Station (19,626)
The most accurate station prediction was 馃數鈿笍Benning Road (-0.98% error) & the least accurate station prediction was 鈿煍礎rlington Cemetery (-108% error). The station with the highest ridership was 馃敶馃煝馃煛Gallery Place (13,872), as predicted
The actual systemwide tapped ridership on Sunday, October 11, 2026 was 243,802, a -16.70% error from the V2 forecast. This is the 64th most accurate forecast since the V2 model began on 8/1/2026 (11th percentile)
On Sunday, October 18, 2026, there is a concert at the Verizon Center. Also Rosslyn, Arlington Cemetery & Courthouse are closed. The V2 Metrorail Ridership Model forecasts that there will be 229,063 passengers systemwide and the most used station will be 馃敶馃煛馃煝Gallery Pl (13,677)
馃數鈿笍馃煚Eastern Market recorded 8,292 tapped entries. This sets a post-pandemic record, breaking the previous amount of 8,038, set on 9/21/24. Saturday, October 10 was the inaugural Capitol Hill Porchfest! 馃搱 @CapitolHillBID
The most accurate station prediction was 馃敶Twinbrook (-0.23% error) & the least accurate station prediction was 馃煝馃煛College Park-UofMD (-59.63%% error). The station with the highest ridership was 馃煝Navy Yard-Ballpark (25,715), as predicted
The actual systemwide tapped ridership on Saturday, October 10, 2026 was 373,963, a 2.52% error from the V2 forecast. This is the 18th most accurate forecast since the V2 model began on 8/1/2026 (76th percentile)
On Saturday, October 17, 2026, there are home Capitals & Spirit games. Also Rosslyn, Arlington Cemetery & Courthouse are closed. The V2 Metrorail Ridership Model forecasts that there will be 335,705 passengers systemwide and the most used station will be 馃敶馃煛馃煝Gallery Pl (22,479)
The most accurate station prediction was 鈿笍Tysons (-0.71% error) & the least accurate station prediction was 馃數馃煛Pentagon (-43.80% error). The station with the highest ridership was 馃敶馃煝馃煛Gallery Place (18,780), as predicted
The actual systemwide tapped ridership on Friday, October 9, 2026 was 471,719, a -12.918% error from the V2 forecast. This is the 57th most accurate forecast since the V2 model began on 8/1/2026 (19th percentile)
On Friday, October 16, 2026, there is a concert at the Verizon Center. The V2 Metrorail Ridership Model forecasts that there will be 486,204 passengers systemwide and the most used station will be 馃敶馃煛馃煝Gallery Place (18,560)
Fascinating update! The Metrorail Forecast Model predicted 37,968 paid trips at 馃煝Navy Yard-Ballpark station this past Saturday. It looks like the actual ridership blew this estimate out of the water! Looking forward to the full data release in two days 馃憖馃敎
Last Saturday at Navy Yard was busy with two huge events: @TheSavBananas Banana Bowl at @NationalsPark and @USWNT vs. Spain at @AudiField. 鈿撅笍鈿斤笍 Navy Yard station saw more than 53,000 trips, leading to the 7th busiest Saturday there since 2020.
The most accurate station prediction was 馃數馃煛Braddock Road (-0.07% error) & the least accurate station prediction was 馃煝馃煛College Park-UofMD (-31.37% error). The station with the highest ridership was 馃敶Union Station (19,512), as predicted
The actual systemwide tapped ridership on Thursday, October 8, 2026 was 536,092, a -11.49% error from the V2 forecast. This is the 53rd most accurate forecast since the V2 model began on 8/1/2026 (24th percentile)