This account uses a custom model to forecast daily ridership on the Washington Metrorail and then compares to actual figures when published. Created by @dcadamb
Washington, DC
Joined June 2026
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Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
Sunday, the runners were out! We had 9,500 trips at Pentagon station before the start of the Army Ten-Miler and about 29,000 trips systemwide before 9 a.m.! Congrats to all the race participants and thank you for taking Metro to the starting line!
#RunArmyRunStrong
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
Last week, ridership hit a high note! 🎶 Over six days, concertgoers made more than 30,000 trips through Gallery Place station to see legendary performances by @jonasbrothers, @charli_xcx, @weezer, and more, proving once again that Metro is the best way to get to world-class entertainment! 🎤✨
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
September was a huge month with ridership up 6% compared to last year, bringing new post-2020 station highs to these six stations! 🚇👏
☑️ NoMa-Gallaudet U: 33.3k trips
☑️ Anacostia: 13.4k trips
☑️ Hyattsville Crossing: 13.3k trips
☑️ Downtown Largo: 8.6k trips
☑️ West Hyattsville: 6.6k trips
☑️ Benning Rd: 5.4k trips
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
Great to see a new ridership record at NoMA! Not too surprising given continued growth in the neighborhood.
ALT High rises along Florida Ave NE.
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
4 stations set post-pandemic records!
🟢Anacostia: 6,385 (prior record of 6,309 on 8/26/26)
🔵⚪️Benning Rd: 2,561 (prior record of 2,456 on 6/4/26)
🟢Naylor Rd: 1,738 (prior record of 1,734 on 4/24/25)
🔴Silver Spring: 9,015 (prior record of 8,904 on 6/3/26)
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
Very impressive! Typically October is the busiest month for Metrorail, so hopefully this is just the start of an exciting autumn to come 👀🤞
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
🔵⚪️Downtown Largo had 3,953 recorded tapped entries. This sets a post-pandemic record, breaking the previous amount of 3,819, set on 6/18/25. Also, 🔴Takoma recorded 5,819 tapped entries. This also sets a post-pandemic record, breaking the previous amount of 5,747 set on 6/3/26.
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
🟢🟡Hyattsville Crossing had 6,200 recorded tapped entries. This sets a post-pandemic record, breaking the previous amount of 5,990, set on December 6, 2025
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
Here is an interactive dashboard via Google Sheets (apologies, I am not particularly tech-savvy):
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
Looks like my intuition was correct — the numbers for Wednesday, Aug 12th were revised upwards by 80k. Unsure why the initial figures were incomplete, but glad to see some redemption for my model.
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
I made some graphs showing the impact of various weather — the extremes (100+ degrees, 4+ inches of snow) are a bit odd just due to low sample size. But it mostly matches intuition. Glad I found a way to incorporate these factors
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
On it's first day in action, V2 of the Metrorail Ridership Model is much more accurate! Systemwide error was only -0.80% (🤯). The most accurate station prediction was 🟠⚪️Cheverly (0.22% error) & the least accurate was 🔴Medical Center (-90.14% error).
xitter.cf/MetrorailModel/status/…
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
Very excited about the launch of V2 of the Metrorail Ridership Model! On its first day, it performed way better than I expected! Hoping this is a good bellwether for the long-term performance of V2 🤞
On it's first day in action, V2 of the Metrorail Ridership Model is much more accurate! Systemwide error was only -0.80% (🤯). The most accurate station prediction was 🟠⚪️Cheverly (0.22% error) & the least accurate was 🔴Medical Center (-90.14% error).
xitter.cf/MetrorailModel/status/…
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
Days as the busiest station since 1/1/23:
🔴Union Station - 414 (32%)
🔴🟡🟢Gallery Place - 306 (24%)
🔴🔵⚪️🟠Metro Center - 211 (16%)
🟢Navy Yard-Ballpark - 150 (12%)
🔵⚪️🟠Foggy Bottom - 126 (10%)
🔵⚪️🟠Smithsonian - 27 (2%)
🔴Dupont Circle - 16 (1%)
🔵🟡Pentagon City - 10 (1%)
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
Ridership keeps on rising! 📈 Last week saw strong numbers, with rail averaging 532K weekday trips + 587K weekend trips. Bus ridership rose 6% year-over-year, averaging 355K weekday trips + 457K weekend trips.
To top it off - As we closed FY2026 at the end of June, Metro recorded 266.7M total trips (151.3M rail and 115.4M bus), marking a 2% overall increase from FY2025. 👍
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
I can’t believe it took me over two weeks to hear about this! Cool project! I love to hear about ridership data!
Metrorail Ridership Forecaster retweeted
I am pretty impressed with the Model’s performance! I had projected that 🔵🟡King St-Old Town station would have 5,882.93 entries on 6/17/2026. The actual amount was 5,883, as close as you can get!
