Independent Bitcoin researcher studying holder behavior through cost-basis structures

Decentralized
Joined November 2024
Bitcoin Cost Basis Lab retweeted
Live Bitcoin data, right inside @claudeai. bitview has an MCP server: read-only tools for blocks, txs, addresses, mempool, mining and on-chain metrics. No sign-up. No API key. Free forever. mcp.bitview.space
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Bitcoin Cost Basis Lab retweeted
Resilience as an investor is all about how quickly you can rebound from the shock value of a market move, and adjust to the cards that lay on the table. In our latest newsletter piece, @_Checkmatey_ examines Bitcoin's latest sell-off, how investors are responding beneath the surface, and what the probabilities suggest about prices at 66k. Get it here: newsletter.checkonchain.com/…
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The proposed changes to the CGT Discount kicks out the rungs of the asset-ladder most often used to buy a home. With Members of ABIB opposed to the proposed changes, we've made a template and tool that you can use to let policymakers know what you think. Make the message your own, and send it to your representative - the tool can help you find who that is. You can find it at: bitcoinindustrybody.org.au/b…
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The Australian government just put forward sweeping changes to the capital gains tax system. They pitched it under the guise of helping young people access afforable housing. I ran the numbers, and undeniably, the policy harms, not helps young Aussies. newsletter.checkonchain.com/…
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Bitcoin Cost Basis Lab retweeted
- bitcoin didn’t crash because of jane street - whale distribution was significant, inevitable, necessary, healthy - wall st negativity on BTC is real but wrong - bitcoin’s fundamental value is real and right - you need to be robotmaxxing or you’ll be forever framemogged
Jane Street Didn't Crash Bitcoin. Here's What Did | @intangiblecoins We discuss: - Market Manipulation - The Bitcoin Bear Market - AI's Impact on the Economy - Lack of Narratives in Bitcoin Watch here: youtu.be/qHZI3S8qgo4
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Bitcoin Cost Basis Lab retweeted
👀Whenever you want a quick update of #Bitcoin, check the on-chain dashboard at dashboard.thebitcoinresearch… At a glance you get: - Price - Investors cost basis - Sentiment (STH MVRV) - Execution Pressure (STH SOPR) - Capital Flow - Conviction Release - URPD (supply walls)
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You have probably heard a lot about the Australian housing bubble. Compared to the AUD 🟢 it is out of control, and out of reach for the vast majority of people. However, when you price Aussie real estate in Bitcoin 🟠 it is in a 16y long & very nasty depression.
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Bitcoin Cost Basis Lab retweeted
😰 BREAKING: Crypto's further flush has sent Bitcoin's crowd sentiment down to its most negative statistical point of the year. Vocal traders are now showing severe FUD, and that's good news for contrarians who know markets move the opposite direction of retail's expectations. 👍
🧵 Bitcoin has enjoyed quite the journey in 2024's final stretch. The following graphic indicates the crypto community's mentions across X, Reddit, Telegram, 4Chan, BitcoinTalk, and FarCaster related to: 🟨 Bitcoin at $90K 🟥 Bitcoin at $100K 🟦 Bitcoin at $110K Continued 👇
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Bitcoin Cost Basis Lab retweeted
How much Bitcoin is enough? Every Bitcoiner grapples with this question on their stacking journey. I'm going to give you numbers. But first you have to understand that if you have ANY Bitcoin, you have more than ~93% of the entire world. Bitcoin is on a journey to become the dominant store of value asset. Meaning that the vast majority of the world still needs exposure. If we split up the ~17 million available coins equally amongst ever person on earth, we get a maximum of 0.002125 BTC, or 212,500 Satoshis per person. Acquiring your equal share costs $212 today. But of course, the 17 million coins will never be split equally. And increasingly coins aren't even held by individuals. They're held by governments, insurance funds, corporations, etc. The entities that understand Bitcoin are locking up coins for decades to come. Meaning the available supply that an individual can get their hands on is shrinking rapidly. Why does all this matter? Because Bitcoin isn't like other assets. The concept of "enough" in the Bitcoin world is entirely different than the fiat world. In the fiat world, today's enough is tomorrow's poverty. In the Bitcoin world, today's poverty is tomorrow's enough. Even a small amount of BTC today will be seen as a fortune in the future. Now, onto the numbers. Here are some meaningful targets on the Bitcoiner's journey: 0.001 - Get off zero. 0.01 - Satoshi millionaire. 0.1 - Satoshi deca-millionaire. 0.21 - Future legend 0.5 - Half-Coiner 1 - Whole-Coiner 2 - Multi-Coiner 6.15 - IYKYK 10 - Satoshi Billionaire 21 - The most beautiful target. 42 - Double 21. Answer to everything. 100 - Satoshi deca-billionaire. 1000 - Satoshi centi-billionaire. 10,000 - Satoshi Trillionaire. 1,000,000 - Satoshi Stack. Here's the crazy part: Every single one of these numbers is enough if you wait long enough. But in the meantime, your job is to climb up this scale as quickly as you can. And it gets harder by the day. The amount of value you need to create to hit these targets gets drastically higher as time goes on. You can either use that as motivation to find ways to create value at scale, or you can find solace in the fact that you stacked as hard as you could while the world was still waking up to Bitcoin. How you react is up to you. If you are stacking now and staying cash-flow positive, then you will have enough Bitcoin in the long run. If you have less than a whole coin, you should still be in hardcore stack mode, taking full advantage of Bitcoin still being severely underpriced. If you have a whole coin, congratulations. You have made exceptional life choices and set your family up for generations. But you should keep working hard to protect the coin and add to your stack. Don't rest on your laurels. If you have 10 coins, you will likely have the ability to very comfortably "retire" within 5 years if you want to. Stay focused, you're in fantastic shape. If you have >21 coins, you should be trying to figure out how you are going to use your wealth to maximize your family's life enjoyment and long-term wealth. Most of all, make sure you aren't discounting your time. More Bitcoin is always better, but never forget that your time is scarcer than Bitcoin. And you never know how much time you have left. The digits on the screen are nothing without the quality moments spent with family and friends in the real world. To some, $2.1 million in fiat may not sound like enough for an early quality retirement. But when it's in an asset growing at 40-50% CAGR you should realize that you have greater financial freedom than you may think. And if $2.1 million sounds like a fortune to you, just keep stacking, find ways to add more value, and remain focused on the long term. One day you'll wake up and smile as you realize you surpassed that amount. Believe it and you will.
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Bitcoin Cost Basis Lab retweeted
🎙️Such an insightful interview with James Check/ @_Checkmatey_ as he breaks down Bitcoin’s cycles, how to spot the market top, explains the multiplier effect, and shares why chopsolidation was crucial for the cycle — and much more. A must-listen! 🚀
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