Sinderpal Singh retweeted
Bilahari Kausikan on the "gangster logic" of nuclear parity in east Asia
The Korean Peninsula and the future of East Asian geopolitics | ThinkChina thinkchina.sg/politics/bilah…
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
If you're interested in Asia policy, then Noah Burke and I have gone through and compared what is in the House and Senate NDAAs to get a sense of what might be included in the final bill. Take a look here:
aei.org/foreign-and-defense-…
Pleasure to speak at the 7th EAS Conference on Maritime Security Cooperation in Kochi. Thanks to the @AIC_aseanindia for the invitation. It was interesting to hear various perspectives on the topic and reconnecting with old friends as well as making new ones.
𝐃𝐚𝐲 2 | 7𝐭𝐡 𝐄𝐚𝐬𝐭 𝐀𝐬𝐢𝐚 𝐒𝐮𝐦𝐦𝐢𝐭 (𝐄𝐀𝐒) 𝐂𝐨𝐧𝐟𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐨𝐧 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐒𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐂𝐨𝐨𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧
𝐒𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐕: 𝐀𝐝𝐝𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐄𝐦𝐞𝐫𝐠𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐌𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐒𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐂𝐡𝐚𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐧𝐠𝐞𝐬
The last session examined emerging challenges shaping the maritime security environment, including undersea infrastructure, autonomous systems, cyber threats, supply-chain disruptions, shadow fleets and grey-zone activities. The session was moderated by Dr Sacha Blumen, Director, Southeast Asia Strategy and Maritime Security Branch, Australian Department of Foreign Affairs and Trade (@dfat )
The session featured:
🔹 Capt. Ranendra S. Sawan, IN, Senior Fellow, National Maritime Foundation- NMF (@nmfindia ), India- highlighted the growing vulnerabilities across maritime supply chains and critical infrastructure, emphasising stronger regional information-sharing, protection of undersea cables, faster regional response mechanisms and enhanced Maritime Domain Awareness.
🔹 Dr. Sinderpal Singh (@sinder32 ), Senior Fellow, RSIS | S. Rajaratnam School of International Studies, Singapore- underscored the challenges posed by autonomous underwater systems, critical undersea infrastructure and cyber/electronic interference. He called for stronger cooperation between governments, infrastructure operators and technology providers, alongside exercises addressing ambiguous maritime incidents.
🔹 Dr. Rahul Mishra (@rahulmishr_ ), Associate Professor, Centre for Indo-Pacific Studies, JNU (@JNU_official_50 ), India- highlighted the need to bridge regional capability, strengthen information-sharing, address emerging technological threats, safeguard seafarers, and develop inclusive, region-wide mechanisms for maritime security cooperation and capacity-building.
𝐓𝐡𝐞 𝐝𝐢𝐬𝐜𝐮𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐨𝐧 𝐫𝐞𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐜𝐞𝐝 𝐭𝐡𝐞 𝐢𝐦𝐩𝐨𝐫𝐭𝐚𝐧𝐜𝐞 𝐨𝐟 𝐫𝐞𝐠𝐢𝐨𝐧𝐚𝐥 𝐜𝐨𝐨𝐩𝐞𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧, 𝐢𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐠𝐫𝐚𝐭𝐞𝐝 𝐢𝐧𝐟𝐨𝐫𝐦𝐚𝐭𝐢𝐨𝐧-𝐬𝐡𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚𝐧𝐝 𝐜𝐨𝐥𝐥𝐞𝐜𝐭𝐢𝐯𝐞 𝐩𝐫𝐞𝐩𝐚𝐫𝐞𝐝𝐧𝐞𝐬𝐬 𝐢𝐧 𝐚𝐝𝐝𝐫𝐞𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠 𝐚𝐧 𝐢𝐧𝐜𝐫𝐞𝐚𝐬𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐥𝐲 𝐜𝐨𝐦𝐩𝐥𝐞𝐱 𝐦𝐚𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐢𝐦𝐞 𝐬𝐞𝐜𝐮𝐫𝐢𝐭𝐲 𝐞𝐧𝐯𝐢𝐫𝐨𝐧𝐦𝐞𝐧𝐭.
@SKSharma_World @cmec_ris @MEAIndia
@AusHCIndia @nmfindia @ASEAN
@China_Amb_India @NZinIndia @dfat
@NSCPhil @indiatoasean @indembmanila
@HCICanberra @IndiainNZ @EOIBeijing
@hcikl @IndianEmbJkt @HCIBrunei @PV_Chat @DakshinNews
#EAS #MaritimeSecurity #RegionalCooperation #MaritimeDomainAwareness #CapacityBuilding #IndoPacific
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
“I know all these guys,” a former American official... told me. “They go into these meetings, and they are doing business right alongside their diplomacy. ‘O.K., enough about the ceasefire. We have this hotel we want to build.’ That’s the kind of foreign policy America has now.”
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
The Delhi BRICS Summit offered an important picture of India’s place in a fragmenting world. New Delhi clearly sees value in a grouping that is non-Western, but little advantage in allowing it to become explicitly anti-Western. The objective is reform without rupture: a more representative international order, greater agency for the Global South and protection against economic coercion, without abandoning access to Western markets, capital and technology.
That distinction was made explicit by Prime Minister Modi when he said BRICS was “not against anyone”. India did resist attempts to turn the meeting into a platform of anti-American rhetoric. We did not witness endorsement of a common BRICS currency or dramatic declaration of de-dollarisation. The focus remained on national-currency settlements, faster cross-border payments, resilient supply chains, digital public infrastructure, health, food and energy security, and reform of the UN, IMF and World Bank.
India scored a significant diplomatic success in securing a unanimous New Delhi Declaration despite sharp differences between Iran and the UAE over West Asia. Consensus was preserved, but only through carefully generalised language. In this, BRICS’s value and its limitation was exposed : it can keep difficult conversations alive and affirm broad principles, but it struggles to assign responsibility or organise collective action when there is the occasional collision of the interests of its members .
The Modi-Putin meeting reaffirmed the durability of the India-Russia relationship at a time when Moscow is under Western sanctions and increasingly dependent on China. India continues to value Russia as an energy, defence and strategic partner, while seeking to broaden the relationship into technology, manufacturing and industrial cooperation. But New Delhi did not endorse Moscow’s more confrontational conception of BRICS as an alternative order
struggling to shake off Western rules. Engagement with Russia remains an important part of India’s strategic autonomy, but there is no evidence of alignment with a Russian-Chinese bloc.
The Modi-Xi meeting was more consequential, although its results were deliberately modest. Xi’s first visit to India in nearly seven years restored the political space for engagement. Both leaders supported greater business links, mobility and cultural exchanges, and discussed India’s structural trade imbalance, supply-chain vulnerabilities and need for meaningful market access. Modi reiterated that peace and tranquillity along the border, and mutual sensitivity remain essential to the wider relationship.
The outcome was therefore managed stabilisation, not a strategic reset. India and China have acknowledged the necessity of coexistence, competition and selective cooperation without pretending that mistrust has disappeared.
BRICS provides one of the few settings in which this competitive coexistence can be practised. It also allows India to engage China and Russia while maintaining its partnerships with the United States, Europe, Japan and Australia. BRICS widens India’s diplomatic and economic choices.
As C. Raja Mohan observes, India’s success may have been to keep BRICS “boring”: practical enough to be useful, abjuring boiler-plate ideology or rhetoric . The deeper achievement of Delhi was to preserve the manifest pluralism of the grouping.
The test will come under China’s presidency in 2027. Beijing will probably push for a “Greater BRICS”, stronger political coordination and reduced dependence on Western financial systems. India will support institutional reform and greater Global South representation, but resist conversion of BRICS into a China-led geopolitical pole.
BRICS matters to India not because it peddles a replacement world order, but because it helps prevent any single power or coalition from monopolising the existing one. It provides India more room for manoeuvre, in an age of unstable multipolarity.
#BRICS2026
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
Another balanced assessment of the India-China relationship going forward from Xi Jinping’s visit, from @StratNewsGlobal and @nitingokhale. Always worth reading their op-eds.
P stratnewsglobal.com/china/ch…
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
Cranky @Roshanjnu is the best Roshan: "Our public discourse today works on what is best described by paraphrasing Keynes: in the short run, we are all trolls, even inadvertently, and in the long run, we are all dead." hindustantimes.com/editors-p…
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
"As everyone agreed, China needs to be studied, assessed, observed, engaged purely through an Indian lens."
Been hearing this in India for yrs. This requires beaucoup investment in scholarships, research, academia/think tank positions, mentoring. Hope that investment is made.
It was wonderful to chair a session and stimulate some original thoughts on assessing the PLA’s current state during a larger China conference organised by Jayadeva Ranade’s CCAS and Pune International Centre on Friday and Saturday. As everyone agreed, China needs to be studied, assessed, observed, engaged purely through an Indian lens.
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
Excited to announce that @Stanford is offering a brand new open-access course on Indian foreign & defense policy. An abridged version of my Masters-level course, it will run for 6x lectures, online. Outline & registration details here: continuingstudies.stanford.e…
My piece in CNA about the politics of the Indo- Pacific..what's in a name!? @RSIS_NTU channelnewsasia.com/commenta…
Great to meet the team from ORCA at @RSIS_NTU and we had a very good conversation on ASEAN, China , India and Southeast Asia and how they fit (or don't!)Together.@ShantanuRC09
Director Ms. @eerishika and Senior RA Mr. @bhole_omkar represented @ORCA_India at a closed-door roundtable discussion hosted by @RSIS_NTU. Moderated by Dr. @sinder32, the discussion focused on #India’s evolving #China policy, #US-#China competition, India-China multilateral engagements, #SouthChinaSea and #India-#Singapore relations. This exchange reinforced the value of India–Singapore think tank dialogue and explored avenues for future cooperation.
🔗orcasia.org/events/external-…
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
India Should Stop Panicking About Trump - The emotional Indian discourse obscures the strategic logic of U.S.-India ties. foreignpolicy.com/2026/07/01…
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
I have a different view than @HappymonJacob: India's seen the world -- & China -- v much from its own lens for not just last 25 years but since independence.
India didn't adopt US view of China (nor vice versa). Both's view converged over last 25 yrs (for each's own reasons)
A very thought provoking piece by Happymon. Deserves wide debate.
What about Samir Saran's take : While the White House may be hostile, with the American State it continues to be buisness as usual and the wider American community is actually enthused with India. So, the Indo-US relationship is segmented - not all gloom and doom.
Of course, Capacity is fundamental to Strategic Autonomy. But, till we build the same, we have to be close to one of the two - USA or China. Until we can begin to trust China, the USA is the only option, Trump's tantrums notwithstanding.
Strategic Cunning may be a good resort for now.
Indian Grand Strategy for the next decade must focus relentlessly on two metaphors : Capacities embedded in Integrated Deterrence.
Or to borrow a term from a recent era : Just Hide and Bide
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
Congrats to @LisaCurtisDC on her new role leading RFE/RL.
They're fortunate to have her do so.
Replying to @RFERLPress
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
It was a great pleasure and privilege to edit this research monograph cum policy report. Thanks to @sinder32 and Prof Pant for their stewardship across 2 institution and timezones.
This @orfonline-@RSIS_NTU monograph maps the trajectory of #India-Southeast Asia ties, analysing how the #IndoPacific vision, #MAHASAGAR, and the Act East Policy are elevating Southeast Asia in India’s geostrategic calculus.
Edited by: @shounakset & @AVIRAL96 or-f.org/39023
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
#ORFevents
.@orfonline, is hosting a panel discussion and launch of ORF- RSIS Special Report titled ‘India and Southeast Asia: Mapping Strategic Convergence in an Era of Great-Power Competition’ in collaboration with the South Asia Programme at the @RSIS_NTU with @sinder32, @ProfHarshVPant, @shounakset, @AVIRAL96, @sayantan_h, @ApilaMongzar, Sarah Soh, Ambassador Preeti Saran, Rahul Mishra, & Bich Tran.
The event will bring together scholars, policymakers, and practitioners to discuss the evolving trajectory of India–Southeast Asia relations and emerging strategic opportunities in the Indo-Pacific.
🗓️ 2 June | ⏱️2 PM | 📍Conference Hall, ORF Delhi
Sign up now ➡️ or-f.org/38982
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
#ORFevents
.@orfonline, is hosting a panel discussion and launch of ORF- RSIS Special Report titled ‘India and Southeast Asia: Mapping Strategic Convergence in an Era of Great-Power Competition’ in collaboration with the South Asia Programme at the @RSIS_NTU with @sinder32, @ProfHarshVPant, @shounakset, @AVIRAL96, @sayantan_h, @ApilaMongzar, Sarah Soh, Ambassador Preeti Saran, Rahul Mishra, & Bich Tran.
The event will bring together scholars, policymakers, and practitioners to discuss the evolving trajectory of India–Southeast Asia relations and emerging strategic opportunities in the Indo-Pacific.
🗓️ 2 June | ⏱️2 PM | 📍Conference Hall, ORF Delhi
Sign up now ➡️ or-f.org/38982
Sinderpal Singh retweeted
.@orfonline hosted a panel discussion and launch of ORF- RSIS Special Report titled ‘India and Southeast Asia: Mapping Strategic Convergence in an Era of Great-Power Competition’ in collaboration with the South Asia Programme at the @RSIS_NTU
The event saw discussions between scholars, policymakers, and practitioners about the evolving trajectory of India–Southeast Asia relations and emerging strategic opportunities in the Indo-Pacific.
Here are some glimpses of the day 📷
Read the Special Report: or-f.org/39023
It was a great pleasure to be back at ORF to launch and discuss another joint publication between @RSIS_NTU and @orfonline , this time on India-SEA relations. Big thanks to @shounakset Harsh Pant Abhishek Sharma for getting this over the line!
.@orfonline hosted a panel discussion and launch of ORF- RSIS Special Report titled ‘India and Southeast Asia: Mapping Strategic Convergence in an Era of Great-Power Competition’ in collaboration with the South Asia Programme at the @RSIS_NTU
The event saw discussions between scholars, policymakers, and practitioners about the evolving trajectory of India–Southeast Asia relations and emerging strategic opportunities in the Indo-Pacific.
Here are some glimpses of the day 📷
Read the Special Report: or-f.org/39023
This publication continues the ongoing research collaboration between RSIS and ORF over the last few years. Those in Delhi interested in this topic, pls do try to join us for a book discussion on India-SEA relations linkedin.com/posts/observer-…
































