
I ask questions and attempt to spit facts. #georgism #ClassConscious #NeuroDivergent
Joined May 2021
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I've always wondered about that. I've been really into understanding Marxism as someone who believes in class consciousness and economic justice, and I remember an encounter with a guy I befriended playing Counter-Strike who literally called himself "Marxist Feminist."
He loved our conversations about hedge funds, financial markets, and the concentration of economic power. Eventually we invited each other into our respective Discord servers, but he really didn't appreciate the "gamer language" in my friend's server, which struck me as an oddly bourgeois attitude for a Marxist.
Then one day I casually mentioned that I thought one of my stocks might be unethical because platinum tends to surge during wars. He banned me from his Discord shortly afterward.
I always found the irony amusing. Here we were discussing the structural contradictions of capitalism, but apparently acknowledging my own participation in those contradictions was a step too far.
I've never understood how a philosophy rooted in materialism and class consciousness becomes an exercise in moral puritanism and policing other people's behaviour.
I think you're also overlooking the MMT component here, and treating government finances as though they operate like a household budget. A monetarily sovereign government doesn't need to collect taxes before it can spend, nor is paying down the national debt inherently a prerequisite for providing public benefits. The real constraints are inflation, productive capacity, and available resources.
More importantly, a citizen's dividend isn't necessarily welfare or dependence on the state. It's the distribution of economic rents that rightfully belong to the commons. The state is collecting and distributing that value, not creating it.
George explicitly entertained dividing surplus revenue per capita in his 1885 discussion with David Dudley Field. I'm not arguing he considered it a necessary component of the single tax, only that the concept was present in his thinking.
I personally frame it as economic justice because I've thought through the mechanisms by which asset inflation squeezes households, and how LVT and a citizen's dividend could address them.
Here in Canada, household credit-market debt exceeds $3.2 trillion, with nearly three-quarters tied up in residential mortgages. A tremendous amount of private debt is tied to inflated property values and the capitalization of economic rents.
An LVT could put downward pressure on land valuations and speculative borrowing, while a citizen's dividend would give households additional income they could use to pay down existing debts. Together, they could facilitate gradual private-sector deleveraging, reducing debt-servicing pressures and potentially easing the inflationary pressures associated with housing.
There's also a broader transmission mechanism here that I think gets overlooked.
@JamesYoung has documented Federal Reserve research showing that house-price inflation systematically leads rent inflation by roughly 12–24 months, with correlations around 0.7–0.8. Steve Keen, discussing Young's research, summarized the relationship: "What drives wage changes is actually house prices."
In other words, housing inflation isn't necessarily downstream of wage inflation. Housing costs can rise first, squeezing household purchasing power and creating pressure for subsequent wage adjustments, which may then feed into broader consumer prices.
Inspired by that Post-Keynesian literature, I put together an empirical analysis of this mechanism in Canada a few months ago. My results found that housing-price inflation preceded shelter-cost inflation, and shelter inflation preceded wage growth, with statistically significant lead-lag relationships. The analysis doesn't establish structural causality, but the findings are consistent with the hypothesis that wages are responding to earlier housing and living-cost pressures rather than initiating them.
samsteprojects.github.io/Can…
This is why I see LVT and a citizen's dividend as complementary policies. LVT addresses the upstream capitalization of economic rents into land prices, while a dividend returns some of that socially generated value to households, potentially reducing private indebtedness and weakening the downstream transmission of housing inflation into rents, wages, and consumer prices.
And I don't think eliminating economic rents automatically eliminates involuntary poverty. People still experience unemployment, disability, illness, and economic insecurity.
Georgism can address a major structural source of inequality without necessarily eliminating every other cause.
It's not simply redistribution to me. It's an intentional attempt to address the mechanisms producing asset inflation, excessive private indebtedness, and economic inequality in the first place. That's why I consider it economic justice.
Replying to @sam_ess604
First, a pension is something workers get after they retire. And replacing Social Security with public revenue from the single tax is a reasonable consideration. But it isn't a UBI or a CD, which would make everyone dependent on the state for survival and unnecessarily raise the cost of living.
Also, admitting that a CD would be possible with excess public revenue is not even close to suggesting such a thing is a component of basic economic justice. If he thought it were, the concept would be found somewhere within the many quite voluminous books he wrote. But, it isn't.
If he were alive today, do you think he would suggest that it might be fair to pay out such dividends while saddling future generations with the mountain of debt our nation has accumulated since his day? He was fair-minded. Why wouldn't he say excess public revenue should go to paying off the national debt? Cleaning up our polluted oceans? Health care research?
Suggesting a UBI or CD might be necessary under georgism implies that the single tax will not eliminate involuntary poverty. To avoid deceiving the gullible, we should avoid such implications.
I've been thinking about this a lot. Georgism seems like a good starting point.
A huge share of private credit expansion in Anglosphere economies has been absorbed by housing and land, inflating asset prices rather than productive capacity. Tax land values, capture economic rents, and potentially extend that logic to AI/data rents, then return part of those rents as a social dividend.
That could simultaneously reduce land speculation, de-financialize housing, and give households an income floor that isn't dependent on selling their labour.
Then pair it with macroprudential policy aimed directly at private credit creation: restrain leverage during booms, prevent another property-credit spiral, and allow periods of private debt deleveraging without collapsing aggregate demand.
The dividend matters here because it supports household balance sheets and consumption while debt is being reduced.
So rather than UBI creating a politically powerless underclass, the goal would be to socialize part of the economic rent generated by land, technology and the commons, while structurally reducing household dependence on debt and wages in the first place.
You kill two birds with one stone: curb private-debt accumulation and asset inflation, especially housing costs that eventually feed into wage demands and broader consumer prices.
(I think this answers a handful of your thread. It maintains capitalism but removes part of the financialization machine that came about with neoliberalism.)
Pt.2 in original thread.
Replying to @TyKeynes
1/6) How the hell do we organise society in the next decades if AI can rugpull 80% of the jobs?
I can see how UBI is totally possible. But that ain't going to cut it
That will just crate a UBI underclass and will soon be totally without political power. Most of the influence I
The capitalist machine — institutions, corporations, and government — making race, gender, and sexuality more important than a person's material conditions is recognition without redistribution. Reifying people through those identities while leaving their material conditions untouched functions as a barrier to class consciousness.
Sam 🇨🇦 🔰 retweeted
What I think the Canadian turnaround requires
7. Change the tax incentive from speculation toward production.
This requires careful design, but the broad principle is important.
I'd rather Canada tax: economic rents and consumption more heavily than: work, entrepreneurship and productive investment.
Taxes should discourage rent extraction more than productive activity.
The OECD independently reaches part of the same conclusion, recommending shifting some taxation away from personal and corporate income and toward consumption.
I'd go further conceptually.
A tax system should ask:
What behaviour do we want more of?
If the answer is entrepreneurship, capital formation, labour, technology and business creation, taxing those things heavily while allowing extraordinary land appreciation to become the national wealth strategy is backwards.
Sam 🇨🇦 🔰 retweeted
Communism is a democratized economy. When the White House says it “has no place in America,” it exposes the class reality: workers may vote for which capitalist faction runs the state, but they cannot control the economy that rules their lives. That’s the dictatorship of capital.
Sam 🇨🇦 🔰 retweeted
betterdwelling.com/canadas-p…
The economists at CMHC need to find different jobs. They now say 4 million new homes needed to get prices down to 50 percent of median take home pay.
“The agency now says adding 4.4 million homes by 2036 will restore affordability to 2019 levels. That’s not a typo—the target affordability is now the same as pre-pandemic. Using RBC’s math, the goal post went from 36% of the median household income, to hitting 42.7% “
github.com/openai/codex/issu…
github.com/openai/codex/issu…
Awaiting the day this is fixed so I can resume developing while i'm at my pleb job @thsottiaux
Sam 🇨🇦 🔰 retweeted
Above roughly 4× income, housing credit increasingly stops building the economy and starts capitalizing land.
Once housing prices move materially above roughly 3–4× household income, an increasing share of mortgage credit becomes economically unproductive.
It does not build factories, raise productivity, create new technology, or expand export capacity. It primarily bids up the price of an existing asset.
The higher housing rises above income, the more future income is pledged simply to service yesterday’s asset inflation.
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Nancy Fraser was writing about the redistribution/recognition problem back in the 90s. Her later critique of “progressive neoliberalism” describes much of what bothers me about institutional DEI.
You can make an institution more representative by race, gender or sexuality while leaving its underlying class hierarchy completely intact. In cases like elite academic hiring, the affirmative remedy is often being distributed among people who are already highly educated and economically privileged.
That isn't redistribution. It's changing who gets admitted into the managerial/professional caste while preserving the caste itself.
Recognition matters, but recognition without redistribution is remarkably compatible with neoliberalism.
So as a Conservative MP @DeanAllisonMP , would you advocate for real redistributive measures targeted at socioeconomic disadvantage, or is your answer simply to tear DEI down? Because that would just be another remedy without redistribution: removing the recognition while leaving the underlying class hierarchy exactly where it was.
Housing prices are falling at the margin, but that doesn't mean affordability is returning. The underlying land value remains structurally elevated. Unless land rents are actually compressed, through much more supply, taxation of land value, or a major credit/deleveraging event, cheaper transactions won't undo decades of land-price inflation.
To be fair, the one's who are currently going bankrupt are the "speculators in chief", the investors, developers, etc. "For Rent" signs are everywhere because both rents and real estate prices are continuing to drop like a stone! #bcpoli #affordablehousing
I think people are putting too much weight on Bitcoin's four-year cycle and not enough on the macro environment underneath it.
Bitcoin is, first and foremost, a high-beta liquidity asset. It performs exceptionally well when money is cheap, credit is expanding, leverage is available, and investors are willing to move further out on the risk curve.
The reverse is also true.
If the world economy is moving toward recession while global financial conditions tighten, you can't simply draw a line from a 2026 bottom to another enormous bull run because previous Bitcoin cycles happened to rhyme.
The important question is: where does the liquidity for that bull market come from?
Right now the risk is that we get some combination of higher funding costs, tighter credit, deleveraging, a yen carry-trade unwind, and an energy shock feeding inflation. That's particularly ugly because it can create a stagflationary environment where growth weakens but central banks are constrained from immediately flooding markets with liquidity.
The sequence could look something like:
Oil/inflation shock → higher yields → tighter financial conditions → carry trades unwind → leverage comes out of the system → credit growth slows → risk assets get repriced.
Bitcoin tends to amplify those moves.
A recession could eventually create the conditions for the next Bitcoin bull market, but the recession itself isn't bullish. The bullish part comes later, when inflation breaks, central banks can ease, yields fall, credit conditions loosen, and the global liquidity cycle turns upward again.
Bitcoin would probably anticipate that turn before the real economy does.
So I'm not saying a $55K–$60K Bitcoin bottom is impossible. It's completely plausible.
I'm saying "2026 was the bottom in the previous pattern, therefore this is the next super-cycle bottom" isn't a macro thesis.
Show me the liquidity inflection.
Until then, a global deleveraging event could take Bitcoin considerably lower than a four-year-cycle chart suggests.
🚨 OH F*CK... I THINK BITCOIN IS ABOUT TO FORM ITS NEXT SUPER-CYCLE BOTTOM
Look at this chart carefully.
2015 → Bottom
2019 → Bottom
2022 → Bottom
2026 → NEXT?
Every major Bitcoin cycle has ended the same way:
ATH → Correction → Final Capitulation → New Cycle
And I believe we’re entering that FINAL phase again.
The relief rally already did its job.
Now my roadmap is simple:
$78K → $62K → $65K → $56K
That final flush is the move almost everyone will panic through.
But I’m watching it for the exact opposite reason.
Because if this cycle repeats, 2026 won’t just mark another Bitcoin crash.
IT COULD MARK THE NEXT SUPER-CYCLE BOTTOM.
And that’s where the roadmap gets interesting:
2026 Bottom → New Bull Cycle → 2030 ATH
Most people will focus on the dump.
I’m focused on what comes AFTER it.
Keep in mind:
I publicly called the 2022 Bitcoin bottom and the $126K top in 2025.
Save this chart.
When I believe the final bottom is in, I’ll post it here first.
Turn notifications on.
You do NOT want to miss the next call.
It's a combination of things. One is that modern neoclassical economics largely treats land as a form of capital, whereas Georgism comes out of the classical tradition that treats land and economic rent as fundamentally distinct from productive capital. So the framework itself sits somewhat outside the economic orthodoxy that informs modern policy.
Then there's the political economy of it. In Canada, and in a lot of other countries, we've built enormous parts of the economy around protecting the FIRE sector. Rising land and housing values support mortgage lending, bank balance sheets, household wealth, construction, real estate activity, and ultimately measured GDP.
Housing and other real assets are also deeply embedded in institutional and retirement portfolios. Once you've structured the financial system around continually appreciating asset values, deliberately taxing away land rents or allowing land prices to fall becomes politically very difficult.
That's part of why Georgism is such a strange middle ground politically. It doesn't require abolishing markets or private property, but it attacks one of the most politically protected forms of private wealth: the capitalization of economic rent into land prices.
Replying to @sam_ess604
Sam - I've been following your page for a while, and as an avowed libertarian your posts nonetheless have me intrigued by Georgism. Out of curiosity, why do you suppose so few popular politicians are proponents of Georgism? It seems like such a logical economic middle ground.
This is why many of the strongest UBI proposals pair it with taxes on economic rents.
If you fund a social dividend by capturing land rents, monopoly rents, resource rents, and other unearned income, the policy goes much further than simply handing people cash.
It starts stripping away the rent extraction that creates and sustains oligarchic wealth in the first place.
Capture economic rent at the source, distribute it broadly, and UBI becomes a form of predistribution: the value created collectively flows back to the public instead of being privately captured by landlords, monopolists, and resource owners.
Replying to @NewProgressUSA
Oh, not at all. I absolutely want everyone to have stable income, why would you think otherwise?
UBI Is a trap because it’s goal is to protect the oligarchs. It is an attempt to appease the workers temporarily without actually taking power away from the oligarchs.
Sam 🇨🇦 🔰 retweeted
The "laissez faire" physiocrats (classical economists), like Henry George, advocated abolishing all taxation except on land ownership. But, neo-classical economists say land is just another form of capital because hiding the land issue is how society is kept financially enslaved.
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Sam 🇨🇦 🔰 retweeted
The classical economists said to tax land ownership instead of labor and commerce. But our establishment adopted "neo-classical" economics to treat land like capital, which keeps the cost of living as high as possible and therefore, the price of labor as low as possible.
IT’S NOT JUST A WAGE PROBLEM.
THE CEILING THAT KEEPS RISING IS ECONOMIC RENT.
WHEN WAGES GO UP BUT LAND VALUES, RENTS, MORTGAGES, AND MONOPOLY PRICES RISE FASTER, WORKERS DON’T GET AHEAD.
THE EXTRA INCOME GETS CAPTURED UPSTREAM.
BY LANDLORDS.
BY BANKS.
BY MONOPOLIES.
BY OWNERS OF SCARCE ASSETS.
YOU CAN KEEP RAISING WAGES FOREVER.
IF YOU DON’T TAX ECONOMIC RENTS AND STOP REWARDING THE OWNERSHIP OF LAND OVER PRODUCTIVE WORK, THE CEILING JUST KEEPS MOVING UP.
THAT’S THE GEORGIST PROBLEM.
A wealth tax is a politically convenient affirmative remedy. It taxes the distributional outcome without changing the structures that generate concentrated wealth in the first place.
A transformative remedy would target economic rents at their source: land rents, resource rents, monopoly rents, and other forms of unearned scarcity income.
Tax the rent-generating structure, not merely the fortunes it produces.
Hi Sam, I'm Sam.
Building more housing can depress prices at the margin, especially in the short run. But that isn't the end of the story. The infrastructure, amenities, and accessibility built around new density can then capitalize into the underlying land value.
Vancouver is a good example. It has added substantial density and housing, but improvements in transit, infrastructure, and access make particular locations more valuable. In a geographically constrained metro, those gains are increasingly captured in land prices.
So yes, supply matters. But if you ignore land-value capitalization, you're only analyzing half of the housing market.






















