This is nonsense. Trump ran on a fake immigration and transgender crisis.

I legitimately think Biden should, just to get SCOTUS on record saying you can't do that.

What's your plan for the inevitable Trump recession?

Women also didn't show up for women. They voted for ballot measures to protect their state and then voted for Trump.

I would say she would be doing worse

2020 wasn't particularly close and the first swing state wasn't called until 11:30 Eastern

Biden won Maricopa county by 2.2%

I think you need to wait a bit longer to include Hamilton in this analysis

I mean, you can a little bit. It's a heavily white Midwestern county that isn't in a swing state. Seems to align with what we saw in late polls in Kansas and Iowa data.census.gov/profile/Boon…

And when it does, I'm going to laugh at you and then you're going to pretend like you didn't say it was going to be +10.

I've been saying Harris is likely to lose Arizona for months, though I think there's a chance we're not correctly measuring Latino voters. Here I'm saying that Rs margin in ballots by registration isn't likely to go up from 2pm on election day. It's going to go down.

Bookmarking because you somehow think Rs margin will increase somehow between 2pm and when polls close and I get to laugh at you when that doesn't happen.

Yes, exactly. Polls close at 7. You'd have to have a much larger margin for Rs at this point to see a +10 final margin.

This isn't a report of who people voted for.

Sam, thanks for the reporting! What happened to the turnout by party graph?

US: well, they stormed the Capitol and tried to blow up the political headquarters, but they didn't succeed, so, it's not a real coup attempt Great Britain: every year we have bonfires and fireworks to remind us of that time 400 years ago when someone found some gunpowder

My dude, the entire country of Great Britain has fireworks every year on November 5th celebrating the defeat of something very much like the storming of the Capitol that happened there about 400 years ago

X engineers? Really? Is that really what the menswear guy said? Be better