
🧠 Founder @predyx_markets ⚙️ Architect of a new financial primitive ⚡ Lightning-native markets Degens, data, and markets — Bitcoin 2014
La Jolla, CA
Joined July 2016
- Tweets2.1K
- Following1.5K
- Followers638
- Likes3.4K
Pinned Tweet
X open-sourced its algorithm last week, so I used LLM to read the actual code.
Turns out every action on your post has an exact price. If a like = $1:
Copy link → $40
Reply → $10
Quote post → $10
DM share → $10
New follower → $8
Retweet → $2
Like → $1
Profile click → $0 (yes, zero — it used to be one of the biggest signals)
And the algorithm predicts the downside too, per viewer, before your post even ranks:
Not interested → -$86
Block → -$62
Mute → -$118
Report → -$468
One report erases 470 likes.
Stop chasing likes. Make things people reply to and send to their friends.
Full breakdown in plain English:
Sanjay Shah retweeted
With all of the BTC hacks lately, I’m actually thinking the bad guys might be miscalculating a bit. Ok it’s getting easier for you to pwn things, but consider that tracking thieves might also get way easier. It often takes a while but it isn’t uncommon that people do get caught.
I asked @typesafeai's Jev who wins Super Bowl LXI with zero data in the context.
Chiefs 66%, Rams 10%, Niners 6%.
It's not a forecast, it's a prior. Every model has one baked in. The whole point of a prediction market is to find out what's true instead of what's memorized.
Sanjay Shah retweeted
I shipped AI autocomplete that runs 100% on my Mac. 7.5 MB. No server, no account, no subscription. It writes the rest of your sentence in any app, Tab takes it.
Sanjay Shah retweeted
An understated aspect of LN security is that the funds are distributed so there isn't a single honey pot to attack. Funds sit with you and your peers, so functionally attackers need a way to compromise thousands of different types of deployments. And nodes can select known peers.
Sanjay Shah retweeted
A potential protocol extension to LN that could be interesting would be a regularly scheduled opening and closing. For efficiency this could be like a hermit crab shell dance if groups do it at once. Can be good for privacy, lowering state requirements and useful in shared UTXOs.
Sanjay Shah retweeted
LNC is a fun way to connect to your LND node but all it is really is a firewall tunneling proxy so you don’t have the port forwarding hassle. Another proxy idea that might be fun could be an onion messaging rpc proxy so you could connect to your node over LN itself. LNception…?
Sanjay Shah retweeted
NEW MARKET: Who will mine the Bitcoin block 96500?
Current odds favouring Foundry USA 👀
beta.predyx.com/market/bitco…
Sanjay Shah retweeted
JUST IN: 88% Chance GTA Six will be coming in 2026.
beta.predyx.com/market/will-…
Sanjay Shah retweeted
🔥New Pleb Post🔥
It’s been a while, but time to welcome in some new community members! Join us today in the Bitcoin Army space: Bitcoin Fixes this with me @Vacrypto2 and @Novanoodle5165 tonight at 7pm
@HardBasisHQ
@TheBTCoinQueen
@Emperoo247
@funzitoshi
@iamreddsebasti
@HubertusVIE
@kboom42
@Crypto50plus
@EricFJ_Conduit
🔥4 Rules
-Bitcoin Content Only
-Engage, Connect, and uplift the community.
-Be the STRONGEST link 🔗
-Be yourself and HAVE FUN
🚫NO SHILLING 🚫
Big BTC Board Meeting! Learning to Respect Da Pumps! Join Us!
xitter.cf/i/spaces/1AGRnZjyomaGl
Sanjay Shah retweeted
Turns out that with enough math a counterparty can do multisig in a Lightning channel without changing the protocol: eprint.iacr.org/2026/1757
Sanjay Shah retweeted
Congrats. Almost 3.5 bitcoin:native paid to the winners. We’ve come a long way.
🎉 Congratulations to all the winners!
The BIP-110 market has officially RESOLVED & PAID OUT — ₿349.96M distributed to 140 winners.
Huge THANK YOU to everyone who participated and made this one of PREDYX’s biggest markets yet!
beta.predyx.com/market/will-…
Sanjay Shah retweeted
Huge shoutout to the @predyx_markets squad / @mega_dreamer for being the only functional market to trade the BIP110 failure
At least from my end, all my withdrawals processed without a hitch and fully exited! 🫡
Lastly, thank you #BIP110 squad for funding a family vacation 😂
Trading halt: "Will BIP-110 activate and be enforced on Bitcoin by Sept 1 - 7, 2026?"
Trading is paused effective now. Positions and balances are unchanged. Nothing has settled.
Why: BIP-110 proponents have announced a hard fork with a PoW change. This market defines Bitcoin as the chain with the greatest cumulative proof of work. The fork keeps the shared history and 1-to-1 balances, but from the split it accrues work under a different function. Measured in SHA-256 work, its total freezes at the fork block while the incumbent chain keeps compounding. The SHA-256 chain is strictly heavier from the first post-fork block, and the gap grows every block.
Shared history does not transfer the name. BCH and BSV kept the chain data, credited every holder 1 to 1, competed in the same work function, and still never held the most cumulative work. A fork that leaves SHA-256 is not in that race. Under this market's rules it is a different asset, and BIP-110 activating there cannot satisfy the Yes condition.
The only remaining path to Yes is enforcement by the heaviest chain during the evaluation window, 64 blocks after activation height 965664, expected early September.
If that path closes definitively before the window, we may resolve early. Any early resolution will be published with full written reasoning at least 24 hours before settlement. Otherwise the market resolves at the window, per the criteria as written.
Criteria: beta.predyx.com/market/will-…
Congrats. Almost 3.5 bitcoin:native paid to the winners. We’ve come a long way.
🎉 Congratulations to all the winners!
The BIP-110 market has officially RESOLVED & PAID OUT — ₿349.96M distributed to 140 winners.
Huge THANK YOU to everyone who participated and made this one of PREDYX’s biggest markets yet!
beta.predyx.com/market/will-…
Sanjay Shah retweeted
Replying to @adam3us
happy to list an inverse perp on BIM. funding rate will settle the debate faster than the mailing list ever did
Great bitcoin educational video.
SOMEONE CODED A WEBSITE THAT VISUALIZES THE ENTIRE #BITCOIN NETWORK AS A POST OFFICE
REAL PAYMENTS = LETTERS
MEMPOOL = SORTING ROOM
BLOCKS = MAIL TRUCKS
WATCH PAYMENTS GET DELIVERED GLOBALLY WITHOUT BANKS IN REAL TIME 🔥













