fxevolution retweeted
$TSM TSMC Q3 FY26:
C.C. Wei: "We have no intention to leave food on the table for others, and we want to capture every piece of business possible."
• Revenue +41% Y/Y to $46.7B ($1.0B beat).
• HPC 68% of revenue (+11pp Y/Y).
• EPADR $4.60 ($0.09 beat).
FY26 outlook:
• Capex ~$62B (unchanged).
• Revenue +44% Y/Y (+40% Y/Y prior).
fxevolution retweeted
Our CTA positioning indicator for US Treasuries reached a record low ahead of the rally.
fxevolution retweeted
Tech vs Defensives: the biggest valuation gap since 2000. @FortuneOptions
I ran the numbers on when defensives actually beat tech, using XLK against an equal-weight XLP/XLU/XLV basket since 1999. Three charts. 🧵
fxevolution retweeted
What is happening between copper and silver is remarkable.
Copper’s resilience while other metals sell off is too important to ignore.
There is plenty of skepticism around metals right now, and I think this is a very important window of opportunity.
tavicosta.substack.com/p/sil…
fxevolution retweeted
💸 September US CPI +3.74% YoY
The chart shows the weight of the three main CPI categories and their respective sub-groups on the left.
On the right, you can see how each item contributes to the overall index YoY.
Read more here 👉🏼 dualityresearch.substack.com…
fxevolution retweeted
The new all-time high on the S&P 500 last week came on a day in which new lows exceeded new highs.
That combination hasn't happened often in the past and when it has it usually signals an uptick in volatility and weakness in the index - not a sudden turn around in breadth.
fxevolution retweeted
$JPM JPMorganChase Q3 FY26.
• Net revenue +8% Y/Y to $50.9B ($0.3B miss)
• Net income +6% Y/Y to $15.3B
• Equities trading +49% vs. fixed income -4%
• Asset & Wealth AUM +13% Y/Y to $5.2T
• FY26 NII guide raised by $0.7B to ~$106.2B
fxevolution retweeted
CPI tomorrow, and the S&P 500 is down today. We've seen this script before. $SPX fell the day before CPI but rallied on release day in each of the last 3 cases.
In fact, SPX was positive on CPI day in 9 of 12 cases when prior day was negative. Another green day tomorrow?

ALT Bluekurtic Market Insights heatmap showing S&P 500 returns around CPI releases from December 2023 to September 2026, including CPI actuals versus forecasts, prior-day returns, release-day returns, and 5- and 10-day performance. The S&P 500 declined before each of the last three CPI releases but rallied on all three release days. Green and red cells highlight positive and negative returns.
fxevolution retweeted
Buybacks in KOSPI are gone. Was an important source of support throughout the rally.
fxevolution retweeted
The S&P 500 bull market officially turns 4 today! $SPX has delivered a 21.6% annualized return, the second highest among bull markets lasting 4+ years.
SPX has also seen only eight pullbacks of 5%+ and two of 10%+. Looking at prior history, this is not uncommon.
fxevolution retweeted
$KORU (3x South Korea) - We have a new #1 trade as price revisits the #2 trade from July.
volumeleaders.com/register
fxevolution retweeted
Average return for small caps after 4 negative weeks in row? 👀 $IWM
@fxevolution
fxevolution retweeted
JPMORGAN, on oil:
“October is beginning to look a lot like April. .. The problem is not simply how many tankers are available, but how efficiently they can be used. .. If freight costs rise beyond what refiners can economically absorb, refinery runs .. will eventually decline.”
fxevolution retweeted
Is this the most important question for October? Who follows who between oil and yields?
@fxevolution






































