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Duality Research retweeted
Fan favorite.. S&P 500 P/FCF ... the multiple has compressed from near 30x to under 27x
It was near 10x in 2010-11 @dualityresearch
Duality Research retweeted
Wow - Health Care is now more expensive than Tech @dualityresearch
Duality Research retweeted
The S&P 500 is now in bear-market territory..
..the valuation, that is. P/E has contracted from 23.2x a year ago to 18.7x today.. .that's just about a 20% de-rating @dualityresearch
Multiple is the cheapest since Liberation Day April 2025
A Bloodbath in Large-Cap Tech ๐ฉธ
Read more here ๐๐ผ dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
3 weeks later... ๐
Read more here ๐๐ผ dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
If breadth is bad, donโt own breadth!
(as of Friday's close)
dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
Duality Research retweeted
๐ธ September US CPI +3.74% YoY
The chart shows the weight of the three main CPI categories and their respective sub-groups on the left.
On the right, you can see how each item contributes to the overall index YoY.
Read more here ๐๐ผ dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
Duality Research retweeted
๐๐ผ The one silver lining in this hot inflation print is that Core CPI ex-Shelter held steady at 2.0%, right in line with its longer-term average.
๐ธ September US CPI +3.74% YoY
The chart shows the weight of the three main CPI categories and their respective sub-groups on the left.
On the right, you can see how each item contributes to the overall index YoY.
Read more here ๐๐ผ dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
๐๐ผ The one silver lining in this hot inflation print is that Core CPI ex-Shelter held steady at 2.0%, right in line with its longer-term average.
๐ธ September US CPI +3.74% YoY
The chart shows the weight of the three main CPI categories and their respective sub-groups on the left.
On the right, you can see how each item contributes to the overall index YoY.
Read more here ๐๐ผ dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
๐ธ September US CPI +3.74% YoY
The chart shows the weight of the three main CPI categories and their respective sub-groups on the left.
On the right, you can see how each item contributes to the overall index YoY.
Read more here ๐๐ผ dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
Truly awesome what @PolycarpFX has built here!
If you've been looking for a great place to track markets, with slick dashboards, great-looking charts and live-updating data, definitely check it out.
Really well done, and genuinely happy to see a friend build something this good! ๐๐ผ๐๐ผ๐๐ผ
Introducing the new Polycarp Research Platform ๐
Find the best setups in the market with live dashboards of risk and opportunities, seasonal paths and technicals, and that isn't even the warm up. ๐
The trial is totally free, let me know what you think and hope you enjoy, cheers ๐ฟ (direct link in the comments)
Duality Research retweeted
hard to call it a bubble
via @DualityResearch valuations are *way* below what profitability typically fetches
It sure seems like Mr. Market is unpersuaded the profits will continue
The market has taken a hit โ just not in price!
The market is already pricing in more than just the obvious: slower earnings growth and some moderation in profit margins.
Our Valuation vs Profitability framework suggests valuations have already de-rated meaningfully relative to the risks out there.
Read more here ๐๐ผ dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
"When we map recent developments onto our Valuation vs Profitability framework chart, we can see that the market is now trading close to three standard deviations below its long-term trend."
@DualityResearch
Duality Research retweeted
"When we map recent developments onto our Valuation vs Profitability framework chart, we can see that the market is now trading close to three standard deviations below its long-term trend."
@DualityResearch
Duality Research retweeted
In todayโs note, we discuss how the market has taken a hit โ just not in price.
And why that de-rating may leave enough room to absorb further macro pressure without derailing our year-end target.
Read more here ๐๐ผ dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
Duality Research retweeted
Headline from yesterday... ๐๐ผ
*SOUTH KOREA OCT. 1-10 EXPORTS RISE 102% Y/Y
Highest reading in years!
Our latest Thoughts on the Market ๐๐ผ
substackfwd.xyz/?url=https:/โฆ
In todayโs note, we discuss how the market has taken a hit โ just not in price.
And why that de-rating may leave enough room to absorb further macro pressure without derailing our year-end target.
Read more here ๐๐ผ dualityresearch.substack.comโฆ
Headline from yesterday... ๐๐ผ
*SOUTH KOREA OCT. 1-10 EXPORTS RISE 102% Y/Y
Highest reading in years!
Duality Research retweeted
The plurality of stocks trade with a 10-15x P/E @dualityresearch
Duality Research retweeted
The 'average' tech stock is +62% YTD @dualityresearch



















