Joined November 2023
Thankful for everyone subscribed to Duality Research! ๐Ÿ™๐Ÿผ If you havenโ€™t already, join 2000+ readers โ€” including hundreds of paying subscribers โ€” getting our weekly Substack! ๐Ÿ“ฉ substackfwd.xyz/?url=https:/โ€ฆ
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Fan favorite.. S&P 500 P/FCF ... the multiple has compressed from near 30x to under 27x It was near 10x in 2010-11 @dualityresearch
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Wow - Health Care is now more expensive than Tech @dualityresearch
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The S&P 500 is now in bear-market territory.. ..the valuation, that is. P/E has contracted from 23.2x a year ago to 18.7x today.. .that's just about a 20% de-rating @dualityresearch Multiple is the cheapest since Liberation Day April 2025
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A Bloodbath in Large-Cap Tech ๐Ÿฉธ Read more here ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
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3 weeks later... ๐Ÿ”„ Read more here ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
If breadth is bad, donโ€™t own breadth! (as of Friday's close) dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
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Duality Research retweeted
๐Ÿ’ธ September US CPI +3.74% YoY The chart shows the weight of the three main CPI categories and their respective sub-groups on the left. On the right, you can see how each item contributes to the overall index YoY. Read more here ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
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Duality Research retweeted
๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ The one silver lining in this hot inflation print is that Core CPI ex-Shelter held steady at 2.0%, right in line with its longer-term average.
๐Ÿ’ธ September US CPI +3.74% YoY The chart shows the weight of the three main CPI categories and their respective sub-groups on the left. On the right, you can see how each item contributes to the overall index YoY. Read more here ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
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๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ The one silver lining in this hot inflation print is that Core CPI ex-Shelter held steady at 2.0%, right in line with its longer-term average.
๐Ÿ’ธ September US CPI +3.74% YoY The chart shows the weight of the three main CPI categories and their respective sub-groups on the left. On the right, you can see how each item contributes to the overall index YoY. Read more here ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
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๐Ÿ’ธ September US CPI +3.74% YoY The chart shows the weight of the three main CPI categories and their respective sub-groups on the left. On the right, you can see how each item contributes to the overall index YoY. Read more here ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
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Truly awesome what @PolycarpFX has built here! If you've been looking for a great place to track markets, with slick dashboards, great-looking charts and live-updating data, definitely check it out. Really well done, and genuinely happy to see a friend build something this good! ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿผ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿผ๐Ÿ‘๐Ÿผ
Introducing the new Polycarp Research Platform ๐Ÿ“Š Find the best setups in the market with live dashboards of risk and opportunities, seasonal paths and technicals, and that isn't even the warm up. ๐Ÿ‘‡ The trial is totally free, let me know what you think and hope you enjoy, cheers ๐Ÿฟ (direct link in the comments)
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Duality Research retweeted
hard to call it a bubble via @DualityResearch valuations are *way* below what profitability typically fetches It sure seems like Mr. Market is unpersuaded the profits will continue
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The market has taken a hit โ€” just not in price! The market is already pricing in more than just the obvious: slower earnings growth and some moderation in profit margins. Our Valuation vs Profitability framework suggests valuations have already de-rated meaningfully relative to the risks out there. Read more here ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
"When we map recent developments onto our Valuation vs Profitability framework chart, we can see that the market is now trading close to three standard deviations below its long-term trend." @DualityResearch
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Duality Research retweeted
"When we map recent developments onto our Valuation vs Profitability framework chart, we can see that the market is now trading close to three standard deviations below its long-term trend." @DualityResearch
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Duality Research retweeted
In todayโ€™s note, we discuss how the market has taken a hit โ€” just not in price. And why that de-rating may leave enough room to absorb further macro pressure without derailing our year-end target. Read more here ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
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Duality Research retweeted
Headline from yesterday... ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿผ *SOUTH KOREA OCT. 1-10 EXPORTS RISE 102% Y/Y Highest reading in years!
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In todayโ€™s note, we discuss how the market has taken a hit โ€” just not in price. And why that de-rating may leave enough room to absorb further macro pressure without derailing our year-end target. Read more here ๐Ÿ‘‰๐Ÿผ dualityresearch.substack.comโ€ฆ
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Headline from yesterday... ๐Ÿ‘‡๐Ÿผ *SOUTH KOREA OCT. 1-10 EXPORTS RISE 102% Y/Y Highest reading in years!
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The plurality of stocks trade with a 10-15x P/E @dualityresearch
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The 'average' tech stock is +62% YTD @dualityresearch
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