Software developer, AI researcher, tinkerer, writer. Currently working on TypeSensei and writing about the history of AI on https://xitter.cf/t.co/HZBNlaeEyt

Joined February 2025
I am going to make a group chat full of people hacking insanely cool things onto hardware. Reply or retweet and I’ll add you to the chat.
I have discovered $50 amazon photo frames to be the PERFECT home display screen They can be rooted, updated to run a modern browser, have WiFi and can be powered from USB 1280×800 resolution with a nice touch screen I detailed how to hack these yourself in my latest video wesbos.com/hacking-smart-pho…
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a cute factorial program from assembly. recursion with nothing but registers, calls, and the stack
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😅 Just in case you believe these lying influencers fed from altman's hand who have been posting all day about how GPT-5.4 is changing everything. (The pic isn't fake; the screenshot is mine.)
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We will see much, much more of this happening. AI is changing open source incredibly rapidly. Rewriting an open source project to a new language/framework used to be a massive effort: AI is making it trivial as Cloudflare just showcased with their 1-week NextJS rewrite
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We still don't have LLMs that can make us consistently laugh. They can tell jokes and unintentionally be funny, but true cleverness simply isn't there. Assuming (as they say) that AI will kill us all soon, it'll be a tragedy how models just jump from dull to cataclysmic.
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For millennia, jocks ran everything. The nerds finally take over. And what do they do? Develop AI that wipes out their own coding/math/analysis moats. Creating a social premium on interpersonal skills. The irony.
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I flip cards of a randomly shuffled 52-card deck over one by one. At any point you can say "STOP" and you win if the next card flipped is black. What's your probability of winning? It turns out the answer is 50%. It feels like waiting to collect info should help but it doesn't - eg if you wait til the last card you will know for sure what it is, but it will still only be black 50% of the time. The analogy in startups is: waiting longer makes you more likely to know if you're right. But not more likely to be right. Just do things!
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seeing this literally hurts me physically I am not kidding look how fast the program launched, and how quick it was to compile the code. what the fuck is happening to software
You used to be able to just create a Native GUI App in 10 seconds. No Electron, no Game Engines, no Web frameworks. Just a lean fast .EXE produced in seconds. Works on any Windows machine WITHOUT Internet connection. Software Development is actually going backwards.
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This (medium size, tawny/brown coat, prick ears, and a curled tail) is scientifically known as the Long-term Feral Morph or the Pariah Morph. It's convergent evolution to the most biologically efficient design for a dog that lives as a scavenger on the fringes of human society
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Replying to @AIRevolution1a
it appears to be an outstanding ladder that won’t get us to the moon
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this is what they took from you
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The rats in MIT, subject to the vast selection power of student-made traps over many generations, surpasse average human intelligence. The smartest mouse has applied to the school and just got his reply. Opening the envelope, he is struck suddenly by spring-loaded steel.
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I do wish all these tweets were public internet blogs - there is so much knowlegde and professional experience insights on this platform and elon locked it all away - really depressing what the internet has become/is becoming if you think about it (IMO)
Below is a deep dive into why self play works for two-player zero-sum (2p0s) games like Go/Poker/Starcraft but is so much harder to use in "real world" domains. tl;dr: self play converges to minimax in 2p0s games, and minimax is really useful in those games. Every finite 2p0s game has a minimax equilibrium, which is essentially an unbeatable strategy in expectation (assuming the players alternate sides). In rock paper scissors, for example, minimax is 1/3rd on each action. Is minimax what we want? Not necessarily. If you're playing minimax in Rock Paper Scissors when most opponents' strategies are "always throw Rock" then you're clearly suboptimal, even though you're not losing in expectation. This especially matters in a game like poker because playing minimax means you might not make as much money off of weak players as you could if you maximally exploited them. But the guarantee of "you will not lose in expectation" is really nice to have. And in games like Chess and Go, the difference between a minimax strategy and a strategy that optimally exploits the population of opponents is negligible. For that reason, minimax is typically considered the goal for a two-player zero-sum game. Even in poker, the conventional wisdom among top pros is to play minimax (game theory optimal) and then only deviate if you spot clear weaknesses in the opponent. Sound self play, even from scratch, is guaranteed to converge to a minimax equilibrium in finite 2p0s games. That's amazing! By simply scaling memory and compute, and with no human data, we can converge to a strategy that's unbeatable in expectation. What about non-2p0s games? Sadly, pure self play, with no human data, is no longer guaranteed to converge to a useful strategy. This can be clearly seen in the Ultimatum Game. Alice must offer Bob $0-100. Bob then accepts or rejects. If Bob accepts, the money is split according to Alice's proposal. If Bob rejects, both receive $0. The equilibrium (specifically, subgame perfect equilibrium) strategy is to offer 1 penny and for Bob to accept. But in the real world, people aren't so rational. If Alice were to try that strategy with real humans she would end up with very little money. Self play becomes untethered from what we as humans find useful. A lot of folks have proposed games like "an LLM teacher proposes hard math problems, and a student LLM tries to solve them" to achieve self-play training, but this runs into similar problems as the Ultimatum game where the equilibrium is untethered from what we as humans find useful. What should the reward for the teacher be in such a game? If it's 2p0s then the teacher is rewarded if the student couldn't solve the problem, so the teacher will pose impossible problems. Okay, what if we reward it for the student having a 50% success rate? Then the teacher could just flip a coin and ask the student if it landed Heads. Or the teacher could ask the student to decrypt a message via an exhaustive key search. Reward shaping to achieve intended behavior becomes a major challenge. This isn't an issue in 2p0s games. I do believe in self play. It provides an infinite source of training, and it continuously matches an agent with an equally skilled peer. We've also seen it work in some complex non-2p0s settings like Diplomacy and Hanabi. But applying it outside of 2p0s games is a lot harder than it was for Go, Poker, Dota, and Starcraft.
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Replying to @shl
A website is the fancy doormat some computers put at their front p̶o̶r̶c̶h̶ port
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Nikita Bier
@nikitabier10 Oct 2025
One of the things that seems like a huge distraction but has helped give me a pulse on the X userbase: I sit down with 2-5 users per day and go over their timeline and how they use X. And I try to do it with the most diverse set of users: moms, heads of state, scientists, artists, crypto traders. There is nothing more important than hearing people ask: • Why am I seeing this? • Why does this work that way? It’s normal for things to not work, but you need to have answers to these questions. Every decision an app developer makes has to be extremely intentional—or else who are you building for.
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Had an interview today and my belly rumbled, the lady goes 'missed lunch?' i told her na im hungry for success LOOOOOOL🤣🤣
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Glad to see reporting on this. The article is weak (though tbf this isn't easy science reporting) and these are necessarily predictions with wide error bars, but it's important to be clear about the track record of prominent AI forecasters.
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the world if Elon got into AI gooning one year earlier
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dax
@thdxr9 Aug 2025
"look the LLM was wrong about this one thing it's useless" people should join up with the "look the LLM got this one thing right it can do anything" people and fuck off together
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