SNE (winter) weather enthusiast • Earth and Planetary Sciences at Harvard • Instagram: https://xitter.cf/t.co/IRPEvQPfPW - opinions are my own

Eastern Massachusetts, USA
Joined March 2023
My take is SNE has already seen peak heat (early July) Don’t see us getting back up to the 100s unless August somehow pulls it off (unlikely IMO) Been like this past several years it seems, 2020s have brought us a late June/early July heatwave each summer then moderates
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It's a T for Tyler!
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My spidy-sense is thinking our first realistic snow chance will be around late November
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All-time GFS long range classic on the 12z run
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Wake up babe, it's the southern New England weather conference bluehill.org/events/cwc/
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WeatherBoyTyler retweeted
Pretty rather substantial failure by the ai modeling with the offshore low this week. Physics based modeling was never interested in impacts from it. Ai insisted and failed.
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We’ve nearly achieved the elusive “no rain anywhere in the CONUS” besides a few light showers out west and in S Florida
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Lmao models are being so silly Its only deterministic GFS but really does seem like models try to push for classic El Nino warm eastern North America and then get adjusted in the short/mid range I believe its connected to the EPO, when I saw strong -EPO and warmth, signals just didn’t add up Now the -EPO remains and models seem to have more realistic grasp on evolution
Now that’s looking more realistic
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AI models not on board so we’ll see if this holds (det Euro also kinda with the GFS) or if they cave back to classic nino look
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WeatherBoyTyler retweeted
Folks do not seem to grasp that the low itself, a storm, is not classified (as a nor'easter.) The term simply refers to strong persistent north east winds along the coastal communities. You actually do not need a low to have a nor'easter. A stalled continental high can duplicate.
If you're a pro and think 10-15mph sustained winds out of the N/NE is a nor'easter, please just sit this one out. Or go back school.
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Now that’s looking more realistic
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WeatherBoyTyler retweeted
Contrary to social media dismissal of the initial NOAA Winter 2026-2027 seasonal forecast, NOAA's forecasts for the last two strong El Niños were not too warm. The forecast should not be dismissed out of hand to confirm one's hopes or biases.
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Just imagine… ☃️
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Bruh Icon no, bad *spray bottle*
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I will not be satisfied if we get only one big snow storm this year
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WeatherBoyTyler retweeted
NOAA came out with their winter forecast, no surprise with the result; so here's your annual reminder of their forecasts and what actually happened.
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It's like watching the pitch drop experiment
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It’s happening! First “widespread” snow in New England this season ❄️ 🎉 Temperatures marginal so likely light to no accumulation expected except in higher elevations/far northern Maine
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WeatherBoyTyler retweeted
Sink your teeth into this: The strength of the developing El Niño, combined with a persistently negative PDO and westerly QBO, has no direct modern precedent.
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