CRE water cooler chatter. Personal Dox: Industrial platform lead at investment/development shop out of TX.

Texas, USA
Joined May 2022
StructuralVacancy retweeted
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
5-Year Treasury @ 3.986% A 3 handle!!!
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
''The government f*cked up with a humongous 5+ trillion fiscal stimulus and we were sleeping at the wheel in H221, so we are going to get you unemployed to repair that. Thank you very much'' Jerome Powell, FOMC press conference
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
“Well if you look at GDP growth on a Pro-Forma Adjusted Last 2 Weeks Annualized Run Rate Basis, the economy is certainly not in a recession” - The White House, probably
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
“If you hang around superstars, good things happen” -Steve Kerr, championship night Same goes for business.
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
The only group upset about @elonmusk telling employees to return to the office is the media. I think the employees should be amped. Seeing people in person rocks.
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
if your cap rate expands from 3.5% to 4.5% you need ~30% NOI growth for the value to be slightly above purchase price, probably a useful lens for thinking about assets that are fine and ones that might struggle
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
We're wired to care deeply about what other people think of us. Worrying about this can influence our life choices and hold us back from living our best lives. Good continual reminder: everyone's actually focused on their own lives and not thinking about yours.
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
lmfffaaaooooooooooo
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
Beginners overvalue thinking and undervalue doing— —Advanced do the opposite.
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
🚨QT will BEGIN on June 1st 🚨 while it has been 🗣 the liquidity HAS NOT left the system yet. $QQQ $SPY Putting that into perspective we saw multiple rate hikes in 18’ & $500b QT for markets to shake up, and fed pivot. Don’t 👀 a FED put here anytime soon
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
zerohedge
@zerohedge25 May 2022
"Bear markets never occurred before recession started. The 20% threshold was typically hit roughly 2-3 months after the economic contraction started" - BBG Which means that a recession has already started
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
Y’all really took $3,200 from the government in exchange for crashing 401ks, $5-6 a gallon gas, higher property taxes, and 5.83% mortgage interest rates.
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
The predictive skills of “Wall Street economists” at full display in this epic chart.
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Real inventory levels for consumer goods in the U.S. Demand is plummeting. As @DiMartinoBooth always mentions.
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Not to trivialize this as an indicator of overall lower demand and slowing, but just some perspective, national industrial inventory is 16 billion sf, 400+ million sf of absorption last year, 3% of inventory is under construction and vacancy is 4%
*AMAZON WANTS TO SHED AT LEAST 10 MILLION SQUARE FEET OF SPACE *AMAZON AIMS TO SUBLET, END WAREHOUSE LEASES AMID COOLING SALES 👀 @Hedgeye @HedgeyeREITs $AMZN
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
Tweet of the week
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
San Francisco has about 28% of its total office inventory on the market for lease or sublease.
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StructuralVacancy retweeted
New Coinbase commercial just shows tweets of ppl pronouncing crypt’s death for past 10yrs. It’s effective and true. Crypto def resilient. But what they don’t say is they charge 149bps per trade, which makes 1970s’ stock brokers jealous.
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