Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Replying to @0ldManMark
I don't have a problem with the approach per se. I do have a problem with how so many act like it doesnt have serious assumptions and risks. Coincidence the S&P 500 chart for marketing purposes starts around 1950? S&P as an index wasnt investable until 1978ish (Bogle). Proxy data goes back to at least 1928, why start in 1950? Probably cause the proxy dropped 86% and took almost 30 years to get even from 1920s to 1950s. But that doesn't work well for the marketing narrative. And so many nowadays act like ~9% is a money good God given right. What's worse is how insufferable they can be about it.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
From “Data Centers in Space” to “Space in Data Centers”
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Don’t overthink it. Hyperscaler and AI CapEx stocks are dumping because the assumption that there will be unlimited cheap debt to fund the AI buildout is proving false.
Only two ways around it:
1) Cut the CapEx
2) Fund it with equity
And both result in lower EPS.
Welcome to your first commodity cycle, Muse bros.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Citrini is the ad
The “collaboration” is structured for maximum visibility: Citrini’s large audience and outsider “non-experts testing AI for real health problems” framing makes Anthropic’s internal model look practically useful, while Anthropic’s parallel technical post and data release give the claim scientific weight.
What is AI really capable of in bio?
To separate hype from reality, we spent 3 months working firsthand with @AnthropicAI's internal research model to see if it could create an experimental scorpion antivenom.
Introducing Citrini Therapeutics.
citriniresearch.com/p/citrin…
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Well they are not solving humanity’s hardest problems. They’re doing little projects to pump the IPO.
I, myself, am actually making more contributions to “humanity’s hardest problems” than you or the entire Anthropic Life Sciences dept.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Replying to @liensofnewyork
We can learn a ton about the labs based on how one of their own has approached the market, twice
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
I’m seeing people confused with the weakness of stocks when bonds (USTs) are rallying.
The narrative of bonds trading on inflation is an old, stale narrative. It’s not 2022 anymore. I’m amazed by the number of accounts with large following still clinging to it and pushing it.
This market cares about 1 thing only… AI.
When bonds start to rally now, it’s not because of inflation. It’s panic in the AI space, especially the AI credit space, and treasuries are the flight to safety.
You do not want to be long stocks when bonds really start rallying.
There are going to be tons of people bagholding stocks because they see bonds rallying without even realizing that the bonds rallying are signaling that the AI trade is starting to collapse and people are bailing on positions in the AI space, and those flows are entering treasuries as risk-off.
Remember, this is the long term top in the indices.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Another one today. Almost every day now we get a 12-1pm headline that rips NQ 200 points.
As someone who has watched the market microstructure every day for a decade, I’ve never seen tape like the past few weeks.
They are getting desperate to prop this market up until the election. They have made it very obvious, the playbook is:
- Battle the inevitable morning selling for the first 45-60 minutes. Just contain the damage.
- Turn on the buy programs around 10:15-11am est.
- The buy programs are doing everything they can but the selling is still going, resulting in heavy chop.
- Release a bullish headline around 12-2pm EST. Provides a quick algo-driven thrust higher that disrupts the trend day lower.
- By the time the headline buying wears off a bit, there isn’t enough time left to do much damage, and we end in balance or higher most days.
You could argue that like 5-6 of the last 10 days would have had significant intraday trends lower that were saved by headlines. Some headlines were lies. (3 straight Iran peace deal headlines that were all untrue). Some seemed significant (Fed comments).
Things to look out for are a day where we get no headline, or dare I say a day where we get a significant bearish headline.
I’m surprised it hasn’t blown up yet, but there will come a day when it will. When someone pushes a market, the market always eventually pushes back even harder. I think it bleeds over the next month.
And when this is the kind of buying holding it up, who is left to buy when this stops?
Replying to @DeItaone
I have never seen anything like this. We got 3 straight Iran peace deal headlines right around noon EST the past 3 days and now today this one at the same time.
Is their plan to release a bullish headline at noon every day until the elections to try to hold this market up?
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
So apparently, circular financing deals aren't helping Nvidia's stock anymore, and neither are press releases about GPUs being approved for sale to China.
In what looks like a last hurrah, Jensen asked the board to approve an aggressive buyback program, bigger than anything Tim Cook's Apple has ever announced. Nvidia has released a plan to execute a total of $235 billion in buybacks through FY28. That's six quarters, or roughly $40 billion per quarter. Even if Nvidia doesn't end up using the full plan, it shows Jensen is ready to use whatever it has to support its stock.
Will he succeed?
Nvidia has over $279 billion in commitments as of July 26, 2026 (and that number will probably grow a lot more). Nvidia repurchased only $40 billion in FY26. Last quarter alone, it repurchased $20 billion. Dividends: around $12 billion. Free cash flow last quarter: $21.34 billion.
A $40 billion quarterly buyback pace is nearly double last quarter's free cash flow, before dividends and before a single dollar of those commitments.
On top of that, Nvidia needs more cash to support its SPVs (the neoclouds), Oracle and the labs.
Jensen is going to fight with everything he has, and the market should be ready for more debt raising, and maybe even an equity offering, from Nvidia.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
The sad thing is that Dario knows better.
He was a PhD student. He knows the significance level of this result. He knows that if he had walked into Bill’s office (his advisor) with “we found an interesting system, but we still don’t know what it does” and said he was ready to graduate, Bill would have kicked him out of the room.
But somehow, when the IPO is around the corner, this becomes “AI is starting to drive biological discovery.”
Today we announced the Claude-led discovery of a molecular machine that we suspect could represent a new gene editing mechanism. Its precise function, biotechnological utility (if any), or level of significance is not yet clear, but at minimum it is work I would have been proud to do as a PhD student. The work was done mostly, though not entirely, by Claude: our life sciences team suggested a broad area of research, Claude read through the literature and a bunch of genome data and discovered something interesting, then Claude proposed experiments to verify the discovery and our team carried them out.
It’s easy to dismiss this as a one-off or curiosity, but we’ve repeatedly seen a pattern where AI performance in new intellectual domains goes from weak to superhuman in a matter of a few years. In 2023 models struggled to do math at the level of an average high-school student. In 2024 they started to do well on math competitions for the best high-schoolers in the country, in 2025 they started to solve minor open problems, in early 2026 more significant open problems, and in late 2026 they are beginning to solve the top few open problems in all of mathematics. We believe AI for biology is on a similar exponential trend.
The main difference between biology and mathematics, of course, is that math can be done purely theoretically, while biology requires experimentation. Some have used this to draw the conclusion that AI’s utility in biology will be limited. We think this is wrong. As we’ve demonstrated today, humans can collaborate with AI to perform the experiments, validate key results in a few weeks and, if necessary, work with the AI to iterate on what they find. Eventually it may even be possible for Claude itself to safely perform the experiments by autonomously controlling lab equipment, with appropriate safeguards in place, but we aren’t doing that today (our lab is also a BSL1/BSL2 facility that doesn't handle materials dangerous to humans).
More broadly, biomedical advancement has many stages — from fundamental biology discoveries, to translational research, to drug discovery, clinical trials, and finally the actual delivery of medicines and health care to patients. We are also interested in these later stages, but even simply accelerating the first stage of fundamental biological discoveries has the potential to speed up and broaden the entire pipeline. Improving our understanding of biology and sharpening biologists’ tools can drive forward all of the later stages, for example by identifying new drug targets, finding new therapeutic modalities, allowing for more precise measurement, and speeding up the experimental loop which itself further accelerates our understanding of biology. This will not in itself speed up clinical trial times, but if it succeeds it could greatly increase the number of promising candidates that go into the pipeline — an increase in throughput even though latency remains.
In Machines of Loving Grace, I wrote about AI’s potential to “cure most diseases in 5-10 years” — a goal that sounds impossible, but one I believe is just barely possible if AI is applied to every stage of the pipeline. The first step is showing that AI can first help with, and then drive, biological discoveries.
Claude’s discovery is the latest in a line of related prior work that goes back decades, beginning with systems like CRISPR, and continuing with discoveries like the bridge recombinase and VIPR in the past few years. Recently, there has been heightened interest in systems based on reverse transcriptase (RT) enzymes, the enzyme underlying the system Claude identified. And most recently, a Stanford team working independently described a novel RT system with an associated non-coding array that is in some ways similar to the one Claude found, though they are distinct systems that evolved independently from each other. I believe that we’re at the very beginning of finding such systems and developing them into powerful tools for biotechnology.
I’m proud of the resources Anthropic has invested in accelerating the public benefits of AI through the life sciences, and we’re aiming both to grow our life sciences team and to work with other scientists to extend this approach to a broad range of problems. If you have a proposal for a research collaboration or are interested in joining our life sciences team, please reach out.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Ed is saying $100 to $300 billion of GPUs were pre purchased but not installed.
If projects are delayed due to power constraints or financing issues then you quickly go from supply constrained to awash in supply.
Interesting times.
Joined the Tech Report to discuss how Microsoft only has 2GW of AI chips in service, suggesting that it has at least $82 billion of GPUs in warehouses, and that the industry as a whole may have pre-purchased anywhere from $100 billion to $300bn of GPUs.
youtube.com/watch?v=8C-J2sRB…
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Replying to @Fink_Money
I have never seen a trader blown out of a position and rush back into the market with fresh money and put on the same position and not blow out again, ever +30 years😃
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Today marks the day where no one can reasonably deny that the AI labs are a loosely coordinated cartel, acting in collective self-interest, and seeking to establish themselves as a government protected monopoly.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Right as open source models catch up to frontier closed source ones for 1/10th (or less) of the cost suddenly it's time to hit the brakes! Funny how that works.
BREAKING: Anthropic CEO calls for immediate slowdown in AI development
axios.com/2026/09/12/anthrop…
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
Goal of Anthropic and OpenAI doomers is to force legislation making it illegal to use open-source models on the grounds they are dangerous, forcing everyone to use only theirs. That is why doomers are coming from inside companies making the models. It is not a contradiction.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
BREAKING: Elliot Page to play Anthropic AI doomer Jacob Coxon in upcoming film titled “GIVE US A REGULATORY MOAT OR WE’RE ALL GOING TO DIE”
"This is not a PR stunt" - Yes it is, or else you wouldn't need to mention it.
"Progress isn't slowing" - It measurably is and has been shown in research
Every lab is racing towards superintelligence.
Nothing said that doesn't sound like fud.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
I spent $120 so my kids could make $60 at a lemonade stand. And they are keeping the $60. Call me Sam Altman.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
The only problem with this position is that AI companies are, in reality, making utterly unfathomable year-on-year losses.





























