Spotting social/economic trends before they happen and trading on them.
Joined August 2025
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$SPX 6900 by March, possibly by end of year if things really get crazy.
Jensen Huang, like many other extremely powerful people, was more than happy to be buddy buddy with Trump.
As I have been saying for over a year, when you use political relationships to create hype and send your stock parabolic, that exact same effect works in reverse as the political climate shifts.
That is a huge reason why I keep saying most of this AI trade is going to unwind.
It was built entirely upon vibes and political alliances, and the vibes turn sour fast when the politics change.
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Worth reading
Jensen Huang’s affair is just a trigger. What we are witnessing is a pre-planned power grab over Nvidia’s trillion-dollar computing empire, coordinated by Wall Street and Washington.
Some sharp Chinese-American commentators call it America’s new Red Scare targeting elite Asian entrepreneurs.
Bill Gates, Elon Musk and other white tech billionaires have faced repeated scandals over personal conduct. None were dragged into national security probes or boardroom takeovers. Only Jensen Huang, after a personal relationship misstep, faces an independent board investigation and hostile narrative from intelligence circles.
The double standard could not be clearer: For white elites, personal flaws are private matters. For a Chinese-born leader controlling a strategic tech asset, any tiny blemish gets framed as a national security risk.
Nvidia is the backbone of global AI computing, valued at roughly $4 trillion. Unlike Meta, where Mark Zuckerberg locks control with dual-class super-voting shares, or Microsoft and Amazon, deeply integrated with the Pentagon and intelligence agencies, Nvidia has no such protective structure.
Public filings from 2026 show Jensen Huang holds only 3.58% of shares, and all directors plus executives together hold merely 3.94%. Vanguard and BlackRock own 9.32% and 7.43% respectively, holding decisive voting power. Without institutional shields or deep political backing, this critical tech giant sits exposed on the chessboard of great-power competition.
The groundwork for this takeover was laid months ago. Longtime board allies of Huang, Mark Perry and Michael McCaffrey, stepped down from key committees. Insiders tied to Democratic establishment, Wall Street and U.S. intelligence quietly moved in:
✅ Suzanne Nora Johnson, former Goldman Sachs vice chair and co-chair of Brookings Institution, joined Nvidia’s audit committee in July 2026 with direct oversight of internal investigations and compliance. ✅ Kenneth Jacobs, vice chair of Brookings and incoming Vanguard chair, controls the largest institutional voting bloc and operates within the same inner circle as Johnson.
✅ Gilman Louie,founding CEO of CIA-backed venture fund In-Q-Tel and member of the President’s Intelligence Advisory Board, works alongside Johnson on the same national tech fund, overseeing intelligence acquisition of strategic tech firms.
The media rollout followed a precise political timeline. Initial trial balloons appeared on Oct 29. On Nov 6, the very day Democrats secured full control of Congress, Julian Barnes of the New York Times (national security beat) and Demetri Sevastopulo of the Financial Times published coordinated reports, citing intelligence memos while breaking the story of the personal scandal.
The real offense was never the affair. It was the 2025 deal Jensen struck with the Trump administration: offering a 25% revenue share to win export approval for H200 chips into China. A normal commercial negotiation, reframed by incoming Democrats as a dangerous compromise on U.S. AI sovereignty.
This investigation will not crash Nvidia’s stock — Wall Street holds massive stakes here. But it will deliver three strategic wins for the U.S. establishment:
1. De-founder and de-Sinicize Nvidia: A new permanent national security compliance committee, led by Johnson’s faction, will strip Huang of authority over chip exports and overseas strategy. His dual Chairman-CEO role will be split.
2. Lock down China’s AI ceiling: Washington will seize full command of global advanced computing supply, regulating chip flows to slow China’s AI progress.
3. Retroactively target Trump: Once Democrats take over congressional oversight panels in January 2027, this case will be used to accuse the Trump White House of negligence for approving the H200 export deal.
Jensen Huang spent 27 years building this computing empire, believing in rules, technical merit and business contracts. But there is a brutal truth in America’s power game: Top-tier strategic technology and wealth without political cover are nothing more than bargaining chips waiting to be carved up.
White elites get generous room for error. Asian pioneers who climb to the very top get almost none. This is not a story about infidelity. It is a raw demonstration of racial hierarchy, capital control and partisan power politics in the United States.
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$nvda Jensen is done. No excuse for an affair with a subordinate.
155 incoming
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As someone still very short and shorted NQ within 6 hours of the all time high, I’m now seeing a lot of people on here assuming this thing rolls back over immediately. Most of these people were very late to short and piled on last week.
I’m not so sure. Not liking this rally one bit.
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Burn this into your brain.
The research is slop. It’s garbage. It serves as supporting data/plausible deniability for managers to hold a name they already like and to justify it.
0 alpha in it. This effect will get even worse in the coming years as the easy money dried up and not even passive gives decent returns anymore.
This quoted post is unavailable.
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Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
I don't have a problem with the approach per se. I do have a problem with how so many act like it doesnt have serious assumptions and risks. Coincidence the S&P 500 chart for marketing purposes starts around 1950? S&P as an index wasnt investable until 1978ish (Bogle). Proxy data goes back to at least 1928, why start in 1950? Probably cause the proxy dropped 86% and took almost 30 years to get even from 1920s to 1950s. But that doesn't work well for the marketing narrative. And so many nowadays act like ~9% is a money good God given right. What's worse is how insufferable they can be about it.
Static (This is the Generational Top in Equities) retweeted
From “Data Centers in Space” to “Space in Data Centers”
There were gown men taking trading advice from him (21) and now down horrendously
And in a surprise to absolutely nobody, pods are blowing up.
I hope this is the end of the pod hype.
It’s one thing to have skilled PM’s, but feels like it has just devolved into total slop the past few years.
Young guys with no skill just buying a research/newsletter subscription and all taking the exact same trades. Nothing beyond first order thinking.
As the pod bubble pops, so does the momentum bubble.
Game theory is telling you to expect the next 5 years to be the opposite of the last 5.
Do not buy momentum. Expect chop and very few names to trend nicely.
Many of the sheep have been zero’d already, and many more will be wiped out trying to trade momentum strategies in a regime that no longer supports it.
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Monster rotations out of semis into everything the pod dorks have been shorting for a year.
Don’t know how high this goes but it won’t be slow, it will be fast and super violent. ES funny enough now retraces 50% of its dump from the October highs.
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They were all too busy to notice that the generational top in indices was being printed right in front of their eyes
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On the back of $amzn reporting -$40 billion fcf…
What the hyperscalers have done here will be taught in finance textbooks for generations to come.
These were the most profitable companies in history, with unique core businesses and moats. They had unprecedented cash flows and cash reserves.
As the years went by, they struggled to innovate at the same pace.
AI came along and in a mixture of greed, fear, excitement, and relief, they all threw every dollar they had into the exact same narrative.
And now the money is gone, and it’s not coming back
$meta $goog
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Entire generation of pod shop dorks all long the same stuff watching their yearly P&L dip into the red and watching their year end bonuses evaporate before their eyes.
Entire generation of tech bros who thought that trading was easy because they understood the technology.
The next 5-10 years is going to teach these folks that they had no edge to begin with and lucked their way into the biggest bubble of their lifetimes, and many STILL blew up.
There will be no easy money left. The days of sitting long passive and collecting your free 15% per year are gone.
The days of understanding the tech and using that to buy any relevant name at any price and being up 10% a week later are gone.
The indices will be lucky to average 5% annually from now on. Treasuries will likely outperform the indices over the next decade.
Only skilled operators will be able to extract money from these markets. For the rare few that have the ability, it will be the most lucrative trading environment ever. For the larps and the sheep, it’s lights out.
The last name to buckle will be the one that started the bubble 3 years ago….$nvda. 150 coming soon.
$intc $amzn $meta $nvda $goog
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$INTC remember when they said this wasn’t an earnings bubble? 😂
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$goog see you at 230 very soon. So many bagholders are stuck long this one. It’s only gonna get worse.
Google was pitched as the “safe and can’t go wrong” AI bet. All the people who didn’t see the vision with NVDA and weren’t in AI early piled into $GOOG after the entire AI narrative was had already become very obvious and consensus.
Those types of buyers who are late to a narrative will almost always have their entries retested (mid 200s for many of them). The guys in the clear where they never feel any pain on the positions are the guys who bought NVDA at $40 BEFORE the AI trade was consensus, not the people who panic bid Google at 300.
It’s stayed up here longer than I thought and gone higher than I thought, and I’m surprised they even got that final move from 300-400, but it’s going back to 200.
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The Anthropic s-1 is forcing buying, along with short profit taking into FOMC and mega tech earnings this week.
Looks like I timed the exit on the nq short pretty well when I made the post about cutting it last week.
Next week or two is a coin flip as to where it goes. There’s a world where we dump and there’s a world where $spx wicks the ATH again.
Most importantly ….this is the part of the narrative where they shake out all but the grittiest shorts with what seems like a narrative-changing piece of news (the s-1). It’s not. Don’t let it fool you. Do not get shaken out. Use wide stops. You must be able to take some pain.
This thing will likely roll over again into end of year with a huge leg down by March.
SPX -> 6900 coming soon.
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Memory bro portfolios down 50, 60, 70, 80% in the last 4 months. Some have even been zero’d out already.
And this is all the index has done so far.
Now imagine a 10 year stretch where passive doesn’t give everyone a “free”15% per year (like they all expect) and instead the index suffers an extended drawdown and just chops around with no meaningful return for a decade.
That is max pain and that is what’s coming.
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