Ray (@RayCapitol) header
Ray (@RayCapitol) profile picture

Trador and Web3 profit Maxi, this is my public journal Now a vibe systematic trader too apparently

its u vs urself, get gud
Joined February 2021
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$BTC, convince me cycle top isnt in pls
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Midterms literally have a 100% hit rate on marking the start of a giga dump on btc last 3 cycles The dump usually mark the cycle low, since many are confident cycle low is in (just like previous cycle), imagine we get smth like multi week crash to 60-45k
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For us stocks its insignificant, 2014 bottom, 2018 top, 2022 bottom. Its pretty much giga bear crypto only
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$BTC Have we considered that bottom isn’t in? If we look at previous cycles 85%-75% correction from top, this cycle is nowhere close at only 50% drawdown. Time wise top-bottom also usually 11-12 months, this time only 8 months
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Both crypto and stocks have been massively correlated recent month, will it continue? Also trading wise, with how accessible RWA is now, it feels stupid to be trading alts over stocks For example on yesterday’s bottom, if you caught alts, you had to be catching the main movers-
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-to be outperforming stocks like $HOOD or $CRCL, which bounced as hard, harder than top alts like $HYPE even. Plus with platforms like variational, it’s easy to access at almost 0 execution cost So are 98% of alts just purely useless now, even for trading/volatility purpose?
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so many hyperliquid prop firms, when variational prop firm?
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Meanwhile @breakoutprop a 12 unit BTC positions has a $55 / 4 hour funding rate... meaning there is a bleed of $220 on this $1m notional position (at max leverage on 200k Turbo) @VestExchange a 4.4 BTC until position has and almost $200 / 4 hour funding rate... bleeding any position dry (at max leverage on a 25k) This is how I know every influencer jumping on this bandwagon has no clue what perps are, how they work, nor what a quality product is in this space... Vest is surely getting what THEY paid for.
LOL Target creep is REAL The "funding" rates at @VestExchange are so big you can literally watch a trades target and failure DLL drift in real time. I have over $700 in funding costs for a trade I have been in for like 15-16 hours. I went long yesterday evening... full size as one should on this type of account. That's the game at this exchange: scalpers have wide spreads and high commissions to deal with... over trading will end you swing traders have huge funding ratesonto of that that will bleed you dry over time... waiting will end you size multiplies these effects The casino always creates their edge
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Ray retweeted
the top 25 pumpfun deployers: > launched 770k tokens > extracted $128M from the trenches > produced only 6 tokens with a 20M+ MC that's $128M extracted just by 25 devs
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Trading in Financial markets is the great leveller. I've taught thousands of people indirectly via Video Programs and hundreds of people directly in person via formal Mentoring Programs. Informally also at Investment Banks & Hedge Funds. There is a correlation between intelligence and results but not the way you think it works. There is a minimum IQ threshold of 90. If you're below 90 you're going to struggle. No matter what. There is no "maximum" IQ BUT ive found that over 130 weaknesses and blind spots start to become apparent. Over 140 they become much more pronounced. I've seen the smartest academic guys crumble and implode and struggle to even make money from the outset. Ive seen average IQ guys do very very well. Ive seen +1 STD guys become incredible traders. In my 30 year career, the sweet spot seems to be an IQ range of 110-125 with a consistent strong work ethic, no entitlement, an ability to stay objective, a focus on the numbers and never to be emotional / resentful. The 130+ guys need to learn how to manage their entitlement, work ethic and emotion, just like everyone else. But they find it more difficult. Why? because they've never had the harsh lesson of constantly being wrong and having to get back up repeatedly after being punched in the gut, over and over and over. A lot of them just can't accept it and retreat to their comfort bubbles where people tell them they're "smart" all day. .., and if you think im being resentful towards smart people think again. Im comfortably over 130 IQ. I had to learn all that myself over many years. Everyone has their own struggles in life and in trading. BUT in trading the patterns are very apparent and predictable as a Mentor when we encounter a new students personality and psychological profile. It is teachable. But there are limits. Assuming a minimum level of intelligence, the student has to overcome those limits themselves.
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TradingView charges $2,399 a year to plot 16 charts on one screen. Starting today, you can do the same for free on OpenMarket. Everyone now gets: → up to 16 charts per layout, any grid from 1x1 to 4x4 → no limit on classic indicators: RSI, MACD, moving averages, Bollinger and more → 5,000+ economic series from 200+ countries and 50+ central banks And beyond candles: footprints from every trade, not estimates, and live order book heatmaps from real depth, on crypto, CME futures and more. Every market, one terminal: • US stocks and tokenized stocks • Crypto • CME futures • Forex, commodities, indices • Prediction markets • Macro: CPI, GDP, rates, M2 for 200+ countries openmarket.xyz
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Ray retweeted
Opus 5.5 made an edit of our Trade Journal project Free, open source, journal your trades with charting & everything you'd previously pay for in a subscription. github.com/LuxAlgo/trade-jou…
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I resigned from Anthropic today. I spent the last three years doing pretraining research at both OpenAI and Anthropic. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to self-improving superintelligence and gambling with our lives. More thoughts below.
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🚨 ANNOUNCEMENT NEW FREE INDICATOR 🚨 I’ve just released a brand-new FREE + OPEN SOURCE indicator:Sweep Reversal Map [Herman] This one is built around the ICT Reversal concept explained in @I_Am_The_ICT classic teaching on liquidity sweeps and reversals. The idea is simple, but powerful: Liquidity gets swept → price reclaims the level → structure confirms the reversal. The indicator automatically maps: • confirmed swing liquidity • liquidity sweeps • developing reversal zones • reclaim of the swept level • local structure confirmation • displacement confirmation • confirmed historical reversal zones No random BUY/SELL signals. No magic arrows. Just a visual map of where a real sweep → reversal sequence is developing or has already been confirmed. And yes…100% FREE. 100% OPEN SOURCE. 🔗 Link to the FREE indicator in the comments. Would you trust a reversal more if the liquidity sweep was already mapped for you?
I will review the why, on the long in the morning. I'll teach you about sessions and market phases too. Meanwhile study this video, prior to that. youtu.be/0LhteuLVuDU?is=Rqd2…
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raycapital.netlify.app turning into a vibe quant cuz bear market
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The Fight Club competition on @PhoenixTrade is a scam. They don't reward traders. They reward a couple of KOL's. KOL's get a good meal in Dubai, traders get shit. Below is the 6 biggest claims of the first 15k$ day. 5 wallets claimed 6k$ of the 15k$ and hardly traded anything. Pure referral income.
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Free Kimi K3 API. $30/month in credits, refills every month. No card. Modal just put Kimi K3 on their inference API, and their standard $30/month free compute credit covers it. Use K3 free, month over month — in their own words. $30 ≈ 10M input or 2M output K3 tokens a month. One-click OpenCode setup. Any OpenAI-compatible tool works, some need a small proxy. The credit covers their whole endpoint catalog: GLM, DeepSeek, Qwen, Gemma 4, GPT-OSS. Plus raw GPU for anything else. What people run on the free tier: → ComfyUI + Flux image gen (~50 T4 hrs/mo) → 600 AI videos/mo (one guy, $0) → Whisper, LoRA fine-tunes, TTS → small apps that scale to zero — $0 for months We've tested it — setup takes minutes, and $30/month is genuinely generous. Exceed $30? Workloads just stop. No surprise bill. Credit doesn't roll over. Not a student thing. No .edu, no waitlist, open to everyone.
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Ray retweeted
el fundador de una empresa china de IA valorada en más de $20,000,000,000 acaba de dar una clase de 40 minutos sobre enjambres de agentes la explicación más clara que he visto sobre sistemas de IA a gran escala cámbiala por tus 2 horas de Netflix de esta noche
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