Ray

For us stocks its insignificant, 2014 bottom, 2018 top, 2022 bottom. Its pretty much giga bear crypto only

Midterms literally have a 100% hit rate on marking the start of a giga dump on btc last 3 cycles The dump usually mark the cycle low, since many are confident cycle low is in (just like previous cycle), imagine we get smth like multi week crash to 60-45k

-to be outperforming stocks like $HOOD or $CRCL, which bounced as hard, harder than top alts like $HYPE even. Plus with platforms like variational, it’s easy to access at almost 0 execution cost So are 98% of alts just purely useless now, even for trading/volatility purpose?

Both crypto and stocks have been massively correlated recent month, will it continue? Also trading wise, with how accessible RWA is now, it feels stupid to be trading alts over stocks For example on yesterday’s bottom, if you caught alts, you had to be catching the main movers-

Since what moved us from Oct 2025 top is mostly macro. What if the next leg down of overall “risk” assets is also something macro? SP500 have reached a 200% extension from tariff fud dump, and extended well above monthly EMA bands, a 10-15% pullback would be normal

Daily Failing this range, would open possibility towards 60k where real liquidations is, which would probably lead to a new leg down sub 50k. Everyone’s looking at mid 70ks worst case, but its an empty area where price teleported through it twice already. Why not a third time?

$BTC Have we considered that bottom isn’t in? If we look at previous cycles 85%-75% correction from top, this cycle is nowhere close at only 50% drawdown. Time wise top-bottom also usually 11-12 months, this time only 8 months

youtu.be/sbtHaIWqq7A?si=pyCr… here tutorial

Done, ill be the maxiest hype maxi if i win this

4/4 Friday 9:30 NY open swing long $BTC planned another asia range setup during london, end up playing out, wasnt there to execute, missed like 2.5R 9:30 gave such a beautiful squueze and entry opportunity after vshaping tho, so longed instantly delivered towards target, 0 MAE

3/4 Thursday 9:30 NY open swing short $ETH planned a london reversal and rotation from asia high to low. flipflopped to the btc long above, but the low tf fvg inversed, so flipped back to bear closed on btc-eth smt, and the obvious target taken (asia low) +1.3R (after fees)

2/4 Thursday pre-NY long $BTC asia prev day low (daily fvg) squueze low of day potential cut early on 3m fvg fail on both btc and eth. Flipped bear on next setup -0.42R realized (after fees)

This week's trade before-afters. Back and sharper more than ever 1/4 Wednesday pre-NY long $BTC big pamp htf london range PO3 setup 6R+ win, +3.1R realized (after fees), partialed most at first sussy area to recover 7 loss streak

good thing is just got a banger with first trade in April. Took a lot of courage to start executing on accounts that matter again. April pls be good

March result shittiest month since I started this journal so far. 6 trades first 2 weeks, hit with 4 loss streaks. Including the losses from late feb it was 7-8 loss in a row. Took 2 more trades, kinda breakeven and felt like couldn't execute at all. So went grass touching

Feb results Started the month so fkin good, shorted early month dump, longed the bounce, then got fked trading the chop, mainly from shorting hype, it is dumping but manages to chop me out of 4 shorts -4R total on hype alone. Never touching hype again, will check back sub 20

$HYPE is finished here man, see u at sub $20

One final AI blowofftop rally? Meta to 950 & 1200

Once the March market is available, and if odds are good (when we bounce to like 70k+), i think 55k yes gonna be decent buy, atleast for trading