@RHerman

NQ, ES & Gold futures | Probability over opinion | ICT + backtests | TradingView indicators | https://xitter.cf/t.co/pruz2NQ6Tu | https://xitter.cf/t.co/7xIEUoPhSw

 Portsmouth, United Kingdom
hermantrading.pro
Joined December 2017
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Hold or fail is a coin flip. Which side NQ sweeps first is not: 74.3%, 12 of 12 years.

I tested 33,879 clean 1-hour NQ candles. After a sweep of the previous high or low, the candle closed beyond it 49.95% of the time. A coin flip.

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Plain ORB is break-even on NQ. 3 filters took it to PF 2.31, every year positive.

I tested 4,320 ways to trade the NQ opening range. The average one made nothing: PF 0.96.

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NQ took the overnight high after 08:00 on 93% of these days.

86 days since 2022. On 80 of them, NQ traded above the overnight high after 08:00.

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I Studied Every NFP Release on NQ Since 2024. The First Move Is Rarely the Real Move.

By @RHerman | Herman Trading

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The Mathematics of Profit: Why Patterns Lie and Statistics Pay (An NQ Case Study)

Introduction

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NQ London Playbook — Decision Tree (with stats)

Backtested statistics (Jan 2022–Aug 2025); hypothetical, for education only—not financial advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

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Deep Asia–London Session Study: 17 Years of NQ Futures

4262 Trading Days ≈ 17 Years of Historical Market Behavior ➡️ Based on 1-minute data from: https://www.backtestmarket.com/en/

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Historical Sweep + Return to Open Study on 1H Candles [NQ]

I analyzed thousands of historical 1-hour candles on Nasdaq Futures (NQ) to answer one key question:

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