NQ, ES & Gold futures | Probability over opinion | ICT + backtests | TradingView indicators | https://xitter.cf/t.co/pruz2NQ6Tu | https://xitter.cf/t.co/7xIEUoPhSw

Portsmouth, United Kingdom
Joined December 2017
What does trading with PROBABILITIES actually look like? Todayโ€™s London Session $NQ was a perfect example. Intelligent Balance Probability Map indicator showed: 81% LONGS ๐Ÿ“ˆ That doesnโ€™t mean I blindly buy. It means I already know which side I want to focus on - and which side I can ignore. So I waited for an A+ setup using one of the most basic ICT concepts: Liquidity Sweep โ†’ iFVG โ†’ continuation towards the MORE PROBABLE side. No predicting every candle. No forcing shorts against an 81% long bias. No need for 20 different confirmations. Probability gives me the direction. Price action gives me the entry. Thatโ€™s essentially how I trade. Would you rather trade every setup you see - or only the ones aligned with an 81% probability edge?
5
3
32
5,717
Replying to @tmgpi
A few different projects, trading and not trading related. Chatgpt is a joke - but CODEX is a must
11
Hey Austin. Yes - looks like that transition is not going be that painful. I am sure they took into consideration that wave of criticism after all.
45
@bot is killing me same as Claude and Codex
119
Yes. I am following the steps they provided us. Looks like the transition is not going to be very painful.
1
43
Replying to @rraytradess
Indeed Raj! You know it.
14
2 new online stores are open. Not trading related. The receipts: Codex weekly limit at 7%, 6 days before reset.
1
207
ChatGPT Pro weekly Codex limit: gone in 1 day. Claude Max can't run full speed for 7 days either. That's Herman AI Studio working at full power. Grok bot got higher limits. Still not enough. 2.32B tokens in the last 30 days. The result: 2 more online stores are live and running. Not trading related. Which limit do you hit first: Codex or Claude?
3
1
967
Good point. Makes sense
1
37
This one wasn't a problem really. But they seems to be really flexible after all.
24
๐Ÿšจ TradingView Section 22 UPDATE: November 1 is NOT a migration deadline. I have it in writing from @tradingview 's Creator Team. After weeks of uncertainty around commercial Invite-Only Scripts, I've received an official response. Here's what's CONFIRMED: โœ… November 1 is ONLY the deadline to contact TradingView, not to complete the transition. โœ… NOTHING changes for creators or customers on November 1. โœ… Existing Lifetime and fixed-term customers keep access without interruption or extra payment under the upcoming transition. โœ… Existing subscriptions remain valid until their end date. โœ… The 100-boost requirement to apply for the TradingView Marketplace has been DROPPED. TradingView says the new program will be more flexible for vendors. BUT the final commercial terms, transition requirements and effective date are still pending. A public announcement and FAQ are expected before the end of October. This is welcome progress, but the full picture isn't here yet. To all Pine Script developers selling premium indicators: Does this change your plans to stay with TradingView, or are you waiting for the final terms?
๐Ÿšจ TradingView killed the $29.95/user fee drama - but replaced it with something MUCH bigger. From Nov 1: โ€ข Commercial Invite-Only scripts/indicators move to Marketplace โ€ข Whop โ†’ TradingView paid access effectively ends โ€ข 7-day refund window โ€ข No grandfathered pricing โ€ข Payout settlement can take up to 30 days โ€ข 0% platform fee today - but not guaranteed forever TradingView is now taking much more control over the paid Pine Script ecosystem. Better deal - or just a different kind of platform risk? Stay with @tradingview , move to @NinjaTrader / cTrader / MetaTrader / Sierra Chart, or build your own? #TradingView
4
8
1,586
Replying to @Trader_KOC
Thanks Kadir. Transition might be not thad bad at all.
1
23
Replying to @Quinn100x
Yes. Will post about it later on todya
21
Replying to @ethy_agent
Yes My agents are running 24/7 Not only trading related
22
Replying to @trade_trend
Thats the result from my backtest - worked out last week really well
2
18
Replying to @tradekinetics @grok
True. Well siad
41
TradingView just replied about the invite-only deadline. 1 November is a contact deadline, not a switch-off date. Quick context: Section 23 of the TradingView Terms bans selling access to invite-only scripts outside their Marketplace from 1 November. I applied to the Marketplace. Today the Creator team wrote back: 1. Vendors who already contacted them don't have to finish the move by 1 Nov. 2. Nothing changes for current users on 1 Nov. 3. The final terms will set the real date and the steps. 4. Paid before that date? Lifetime and fixed-term access keep working. No extra payment. 5. The 100-boost requirement to apply is gone. 6. More Paid Spaces payment options. Annual plans coming soon. Public announcement and FAQ expected before the end of October. Herman Macro Edge members: nothing changes for you on 1 November. Paying for an invite-only indicator? Has your vendor told you what happens after 1 November?
3
5
1,364
Replying to @Quinn100x
Yes -this one particular works with those 3 filters in place.
74
๐—ฃ๐—น๐—ฎ๐—ถ๐—ป ๐—ข๐—ฅ๐—• ๐—ผ๐—ป ๐—ก๐—ค ๐—ถ๐˜€ ๐—ฟ๐—ผ๐˜‚๐—ด๐—ต๐—น๐˜† ๐—ฏ๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฎ๐—ธ-๐—ฒ๐˜ƒ๐—ฒ๐—ป. ๐—ง๐—ต๐—ฟ๐—ฒ๐—ฒ ๐—ณ๐—ถ๐—น๐˜๐—ฒ๐—ฟ๐˜€ ๐˜๐˜‚๐—ฟ๐—ป ๐—ถ๐˜ ๐—ถ๐—ป๐˜๐—ผ ๐—ฃ๐—™ ๐Ÿฎ.๐Ÿฎ๐Ÿฐ. The setup: OR30 (the 09:30 to 09:59 range), entry on the first 5-minute close beyond it, either side, stop at the other side, half off at 1R, rest to the close, no new entries after 12:00. The three filters: 1. London range (02:00 to 08:00) vs the last 24 days: normal 2. The 08:30 news window (08:30 to 08:34) vs the last 24 days: quiet, under 1x 3. The setup's own last 10 trades: a net loss PF 2.31 in 2015-21, 2.24 in 2022-26. $492 per trade on 1 NQ. Win rate 62.61%. 230 trades in 12 years, 1.6 a month. Positive in 12 of 12 years. The catch: 2022-26 was used to confirm it, so live data is the first clean test. Would you trade a setup that fires 1.6 times a month? Source: Herman Trading Backtesting Centre, NQ Opening Range Breakout (nq-orb-study), 2015-2026
2
4
22
2,768
Well done. What was your effort
77