Husband & Dad | Investor & Options Trader | Mindfulness Practitioner |
Joined July 2009
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L retweeted
$NBIS Arkady spitting fire 🔥 Day 2
Question:
" So you think Chips are the biggest upcoming constraint?"
Nebius CEO Arkady:
"Capacity hmm, will be there, we have enough contracted already.
Capital ... as i said before is not a problem, it is just a task. It is how you get there.
We have a pretty healthy balance sheet. We have always been more conservative here. We used all kinds of instruments.
From last week probably some of the capital sources are temporarily closed like asset backed and debt market ( 😅I chuckled at this more than I should have btw)
But we are now working with customer advances and several other instruments that will provide us with enough capital to buy this next GW "
And then my favorite Part :
Question 2:
Nebius has taken a more disciplined approach with the balancesheet. What is that? Is that coming from your background from running Yandex?
Nebius CEO Arkady:
"Just ... we are building a REAL company. A company is measured by earnings. How much value you generate. Healthy businesses generate cash"
🫳🎤
L retweeted
$META Platforms Q3’26 Earnings Highlights
🔹 Revenue: $64.60B (Est. $63.33B) 🟢; +26% YoY
🔹 EPS: $3.83 (Est. $5.89) 🔴; +265% YoY
🔹 DAP: 3.64B; +3% YoY
Guide:
🔹 FY26 CapEx: $135B-$145B (Est. $132.08B)
🔹 Q4 Revenue: $73.00B-$76.00B (Est. $73.68B) 🟡
🔹 FY26 Expenses: $175B-$179B
🔹 FY26 Oper. Income: Above 2025 operating income
🔹 Q4 Tax Rate: 15%-17%
Segment Revenue:
🔹 Advertising Revenue: $63.06B; +26% YoY
🔹 Family of Apps Revenue: $64.16B
🔹 Reality Labs Revenue: $443M
Segment Operating Income:
🔹 Family of Apps: $17.12B
🔹 Reality Labs: ($4.13B)
Other Q3 Metrics:
🔹 Ad Impressions: +10% YoY
🔹 Avg. Price per Ad: +14% YoY
🔹 Headcount: 66,775; -15% YoY
🔹 CapEx: $34.91B (Est. $39.72B)
🔹 Operating Cash Flow: $32.79B
🔹 Free Cash Flow: -$2.12B
🔹 Dividend & Equivalents: $1.36B
🔹 Cash & Marketable Securities: $82.45B
Financials:
🔹 Oper. Income: $12.99B (Est. $18.66B) 🔴
🔹 Operating Margin: 20%; vs 40% LY
🔹 Net Income: $9.86B (Est. $15.44B) 🔴; +264% YoY
🔹 Long-Term Debt: $80.92B
Key Updates:
🔸 Charges related to agreement with U.S. State Attorneys General: $9.9B
🔸 FY26 capex outlook narrowed from $130B-$145B
🔸 New Class C common stock approved, with an effective date in January 2027
🔸 One-time stock dividend of one Class C share for each outstanding Class A and Class B share
CEO Commentary:
🔸 “We hit major milestones this quarter toward delivering personal superintelligence for everyone - including launching Muse and Muse Wonder, our first frontier model,”
🔸 “Our investments are paying off, the core business is strong, and we're seeing velocity across the board.”
L retweeted
This is honestly insane.
Marc Boroditsky, CRO of $NBIS, just revealed that the company has 1 GW of Vera Rubin GPU capacity coming next year, with significant customer demand already lined up.
That alone could translate into tens of billions of dollars in ARR.
🤯
L retweeted
“Startup companies like Nebius are doing incredibly well.” - @JensenHuang, @nvidia CEO at #NVIDIAGTC Berlin keynote
L retweeted
Some of you are really losing it. Bigger pages panicking, declaring “there’s no edge,” and heading for the exits. Sign of the times.
“I can’t find an edge” doesn’t mean there isn’t one. Maybe you’re looking in the wrong places or lack imagination in how you structure trades. Options let you position for up, down, sideways, or nothing at all. Structure and price matter.
Learning to generate returns in tough environments makes you better. If you’re doing this long term, be beyond grateful you’re being forced to adapt in a challenging environment.
Anyone excusing your refusal to adapt is selling you complacency. Don’t hide behind “it’s not your fault.” If you refuse to learn, it absolutely is.
ADAPT. LEARN. The market filters out those who won’t. It is unforgiving.
L retweeted
I read that article about CRWV and Magnetar and it was enough for me to put CRWV in my DNT list.
propublica.org/article/the-m…
L retweeted
$NBIS up big today I believe because the market is realizing news that dropped yesterday.
Nbis isnt just building a GPU rental company. They’re building the infrastructure layer where AI gets trained AND actually used.
Train on nbis ….deploy on Token Factory…run billions of tokens through nbis.
Imagine what that looks like if open weights become the default for enterprise AI.
Beam is another piece of the puzzle.
The market is still valuing the pieces….soon they will see what it’s worth when these pieces come together.
$NBIS BIG NEWS🚨
Another day, another banger.
Beam is coming to Token Factory soon @nebiustf
This is bigger than it looks 👇
Corporate adoption of open weights has been restricted by a massive trust deficit regarding foreign origin (chinese) architecture.
Some enterprises flat out refuse to integrate them into their core operations.
The arrival of Beam (and the german LLM Kolbri for that matter) shifts this entire landscape.
We are seeing a western model that matches established (open) competitors in complex reasoning tasks while reducing the required computing power by over 70%.
This specific combination of a trusted geographical origin and extreme operational efficiency clears the path for a new wave of commercial integration.
Businesses finally possess a financially viable reason to build and own their intelligence layer instead of perpetually leasing access from closed providers.
The transition toward real enterprise ownership will accelerate.
L retweeted
🚨 AIB Data Centers signs a contract with $NBIS for 50 MW of AI data center capacity in the U.S.
The contracted capacity is supported by AIB’s previously announced 15-year Electric Service Agreement covering 65 MW of utility load at the site, with no significant additional electrical infrastructure upgrades required.
AIB expects to deliver the capacity across two data halls.
“Time-to-power is the binding constraint on AI infrastructure today, and AIB’s existing power position gave us a clear path to bringing this capacity online on a timeline that works for our customers. This agreement adds dedicated capacity in the southeastern U.S. for training and inference workloads.”
— Andrey Korolenko, Head of Infrastructure at $NBIS
L retweeted
$MU Sep 30 earnings map:
Deep long-gamma (+$0.72B/1%), spot ~20% above the ~873 flip,
call-walled at 1,100–1,200. ±8% priced sits right at MU's typical move → the vol crush (78%→~40%) is the edge, not the direction.
Skew call-side, downside too cheap to sell.
Magnets, cone & tail plays inside the thread 👇
L retweeted
Way too many calls hit the tape on Monday - not at all surprised by some consolidation here. Should present some good opportunities.
L retweeted
The hard work is done. Raise stops, sit on hands and let positions work!
“You can never go poor taking profits, but neither do you grow rich taking a four point profit in a bull market”
L retweeted
$QQQ Week of Sep 21-25
NQ +0.50% ~725 QQQ - just above the ~721-723 flip, Firm side, but a thin buffer not a floor: hold it and dealers dampen, lose it and they amplify.
If it holds, odds re-anchor to ≈ 38 / 25 / 38 (down/chop/up) - case softens.
Scenarios + plays in the thread 👇
L retweeted
$SPX Sep 18 0dte
SPX Friday hinges on 7650-53. Most likely it just coils there, chop with no clean edge. Confirmed break up grinds to 7700, break down steps to 7600/7550.
L retweeted
ES1! - S&P Futures bouncing off 7575 (key support level) & now testing the 8dEMA from below.
Seems like a bull-flag is forming as we approach earnings season next month.
This entire year has been a climb over a wall of worry driven by strong earnings QoQ.
L retweeted
Just like in basketball, traders have to find their spot and take a shot.
Nobody knows what the market is going to do exactly. We all have models for what we expect based on conditions. If I see conditions that represent a pattern I’ve seen play out before with an asymmetric reward with high probability, I trade it.
You can hit profit or your risk. Winners pay for losers. Your job is to manage risk and only take trades when conditions are met.
L retweeted
🚨 $NBIS just posted five first-place results in the latest MLPerf AI inference benchmarks, including leading full-rack performance on NVIDIA's GB300 NVL72.
Nebius was also one of only two companies to submit results on NVIDIA's next-gen Vera Rubin NVL72 platform, already running DeepSeek R1 at 603K tokens/sec across 72 GPUs in the preview category.
Another strong validation of $NBIS' infrastructure, technical execution, and close engineering relationship with NVIDIA.
L retweeted
Many have interpreted the news over the weekend as the pop of the AI bubble. I doubt that.
If we want a stable AI market and sustained innovation, AI progress has to be thoughtful with guardrails to protect humanity. Slowing down frontier development will not destroy demand for AI, but it will slow down the move toward AGI, which quite frankly, is long overdue without controls/regulation in place and oversight by the public. As we drive toward AGI in the next 5-10 years, the “morals” of that AGI are important. The US and international governments should accept the existential risk and work on solutions.
Infrastructure still has to get built out for existing technologies, with growth expanding on usage, as more companies/people adopt, regardless of frontier model advancement. AI infrastructure growth and enterprise/consumer demand will continue to grow and is unlikely to slow meaningfully in the near-term. I expect the market to price this over time even with possible short-term corrections.
L retweeted
Last chart, and perhaps the most important one: smooth through the noise.
August core CPI: +0.29%
3m avg: ~0.16%
6m avg: ~0.21%
One noisy print doesn’t make a new inflation trend.
