the more I learn… the more I realize how much I don’t know - Einstein. Partner of @aionanalytics
Joined January 2025
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Six sessions ago I timestamped our crash probability read on the S&P. Since then the Nasdaq has hit a new high, and the crash probability went up anyway. Breadth is worse. Credit volatility is moving while the VIX sleeps. 14 sessions left to find the fire.
Deep Inference retweeted
Dropped my first written article inside AION this morning. The floor window, the liquidity turn, the confirmation checklist, and the names I am watching while it builds.
One of the names was $MRVL. A member paid for his terminal subscription off that one heads up. Day one of the article existing.
The threads left the timeline. The work got deeper, it just lives inside now.
Code QUANT, 30% off, ends Oct 31.
$SPY l $QQQ
Deep Inference retweeted
"Next 5 sessions: average down 1.13%. Worst print, down 5.2%. Next 10 sessions: up 0.42%. Flat. Then it flips. 21 sessions out, median +3.31% with an 80% hit rate. 63 sessions out, median +4.77%, 80% hit."
"Seasonality says the air pocket is now. Positioning says it is dated Oct 20 to 23. The machine did not need the calendar to find it."
Mhm $QQQ
Even the calendar agrees with the book now.
$SPX in midterm years, from Oct 8 forward:
Next 5 sessions: average down 1.13%. Worst print, down 5.2%.
Next 10 sessions: up 0.42%. Flat.
Then it flips. 21 sessions out, median +3.31% with an 80% hit rate. 63 sessions out, median +4.77%, 80% hit.
That is the exact shape the dealer book has been drawing for three weeks. Soft pocket through late October, paid by year end.
Honest caveat, the sample is 5 midterm years and the terminal flags that itself. But the worst 63 session stretches on the board all started in windows that looked like this one.
Seasonality says the air pocket is now. Positioning says it is dated Oct 20 to 23. The machine did not need the calendar to find it.
My second article has gone live.
In this article I break down the current short term tail risks, my expectation on the coming months, and how I will be handling the week ahead.
For those on the inside, enjoy. 🤜🤛
Deep Inference retweeted
If you told me 12 months ago that the first US listed humanoid robotics stock would be valued at 2.5 billion, had options, and traded at NAV into merger, I would have assumed the world was in the midst of the 2nd Great Depression.
Congrats everyone.
Deep Inference retweeted
Community Research has been moved into the terminal.
No more digging through Discord for a note from last week. Community Research tab, everything in one place, newest on top.
Code QUANT expires October 31.
Two weeks left on code QUANT. 30% off, ends October 31. 🎃
What changed since we announced it: market research reports from @tradableastro and @deepinference are now part of the Tradable Insights Community Discord.
The first one went out this week.
This is the lowest price the terminal will be. New members and trials.
You are becoming a quant.
Deep Inference retweeted
Your last two weeks: watching red, checking the chart at 2am, wondering if you sell the low.
Our last two weeks: the drop we dated on Sep 24 playing out to the day. $QQQ down 7 to 10% by Oct 18 to 22, then the floor. Posted publicly, three weeks early.
$QQQ down 7%. $SOXX down 16%. $VIX up 37%.
The worst stretch of your year was sitting on a screen before it happened. So is the next move.
Members are reading the data right now. You are reading this.
Code QUANT, 30% off, dies Oct 31.
Deep Inference retweeted
I’ve begun scaling into some longs. I’m not saying it’s over. But this is not a bad place to start.
So here’s where I land, and I want this call to be clear.
The dip buyers bought the seam. The cushion under them expires tomorrow. The next real floor on SPY is 745 next week, QQQ doesn’t have one in frame, and the liquidity tide is still going out for a few more sessions. My guess is we bottom next week, not this week, with chop in between.
Then the setup flips. Everything is beat down going into it. When strength comes back, probably late October, November is strong, December is stronger, and this is a year we get the Santa rally and the everything rally with it. I think easing floods into equities sooner than most people are positioned for.
If you’re doing well this year, congrats. If you’re not, this hasn’t been an easy tape, and you’re not alone. Either way, inside Aion we have had the data and the community to see this coming. And our research just proved itself, again.
Not financial advice. Mathematically driven models.
I know you guys want to spend the weekend talking about how neoclouds are going to zero with 100% certainty, but imagine missing the dip right before a massive revenue inflection point.
Anyways these companies are going bankrupt.
Deep Inference retweeted
First written publication goes into the community Discord tonight. My full read.
If you have terminal access it’s under the Community tab, top right.
If you don’t, you’re missing out.
Code: QUANT 30% OFF. Ends October 31.
Deep Inference retweeted
Probably a good time to remember this.
Especially if the market decides to absolutely shit itself next week.
Deep Inference retweeted
The research is moving inside.
@DeepInference just dropped the first written report in the members channel. Full market research, the same engines behind the October call, in long form.
This is where the work goes now. The public threads got the warning on October 8 for free. The members got the dates, the levels, and the nightly regrades.
I said it earlier this week. Those were some of the last public threads I write. Not because the data stopped talking, but because the people who acted on it are all in one room now.
The machine does not post for engagement. Neither do we.
Research is exclusively for @AionAnalytics members.
Use code QUANT 4 30% off
$SPY l $QQQ l $VIX
Kinda bothered that I was posting Black Monday content before it was cool, and now it's all anybody wants to talk about this weekend. #TrendSetter
Anyone else seeing the resemblance here? Similar pattern, similar timing?
That, my friends, is 1987. I’m sure you’ve heard of a little thing called Black Monday.
The preliminary selloff began around October 6, accelerated into Black Monday on October 19, and bottomed on October 20.
Anyway, these charts look absolutely nothing alike… and it’s 2026, not 1987. The market never rhymes with itself, so obviously there’s nothing to worry about.
So yeah. Totally different. Nothing remotely reflexive or leverage-related hiding under the hood this time, right guys?
Deep Inference retweeted
Two weeks left on code QUANT. 30% off, ends October 31. 🎃
What changed since we announced it: market research reports from @tradableastro and @deepinference are now part of the Tradable Insights Community Discord.
The first one went out this week.
This is the lowest price the terminal will be. New members and trials.
You are becoming a quant.
Deep Inference retweeted
This.
I often fade what’s on X/twitter.
There is no point at looking at X analysis of the coming weeks and months when I have @AionAnalytics
The data is much more powerful than lines on a chart and half baked narratives.
My board is showing the clearest signal I have seen in months, now we wait and adapt.