Analyst @SCEEUS_UI. Policy research Ukraine 🇺🇦, Eastern Europe, Russia🇷🇺-China🇨🇳 relations, South Caucasus 🇦🇲 🇬🇪 🇦🇿. Swedish 🇸🇪 🇪🇺

Joined January 2021
Hugo von Essen retweeted
Today, our Research Fellow @HosakaSanshiro presented his newest report "A Mountain to Climb: Russia’s Influence in the South Caucasus and EU Policy Options" which was followed by a panel discussion with Renata Skardziute-Kereselidze and @HugovonEssen. Moderator: @kai_kaarelson.
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The EU has 15 Russia sanctions packages, but transshipments to Russia via out-of-the-way places like Kyrgyzstan are worse than ever. This can mean only one thing: transshipments de facto have an official blessing. Deep reform to promote EU transparency & accountability is needed.
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Hugo von Essen retweeted
I'm honoured to become the new Director of @ICDS_Tallinn as of 1 January. We'll continue to do our best to analyse what's going on in the world and contribute to foreign and security policy debates in Estonia and abroad.
Congratulations to @KristiRaik who will be appointed Director of the @ICDS_Tallinn, starting January 1! Best wishes to the current director Indrek Kannik in his new role with @kajakallas @eu_eeas. More: icds.ee/en/dr-kristi-raik-to…
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Moldova's secret service (SIS) has published a 16-page report (in Romanian) about Russian interference in Moldova's presidential election and EU referendum. Some highlights in English that stood out to me. First, the Kremlin created a command center in 2024 to interfere ...
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The West should support Armenia’s security by supporting military reform, providing access to technology, promoting economic diversification and assisting diplomatic efforts to resolve regional conflicts. New report by @SCEEUS_UI colleagues @HugovonEssen and @hedenskog_jakob ⬇️
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Greek-owned ships (blue) are currently 30% of all oil tanker capacity out of Russian ports. If the EU wants to turn the screws on Putin, it is clearly in a position of power. It doesn't need the US to do this. It also doesn't need joint EU debt issuance. What are you waiting for?
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The election observation mission "My Vote" (@gevote24) provides concrete evidence of election rigging in Georgia, published by local media in the form of photos and video recordings—220+ files in total—documenting violations observed on election day. #Gvote24 The evidence is categorized by type of violation:
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🇨🇳🇷🇺🧵 Today's meeting between Putin and Xi before opening of BRICS summit is like an iceberg - the invisible part under the water is much bigger than the one meant for outside observers. However, there is an interesting detail in the Kremlin's otherwise laconic readout... 1/7
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It is really impermissible that the UN Secretary General visits a person declared wanted by the International Criminal Court, a UN institution. The West should: 1. Declare Guterres persona non grata. 2. Refuse to attend any meeting with him. 3. Oust him from the UN.
Europe should follow Israel's example and declare him persona non grata
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Hugo von Essen retweeted
Add to that: #Russia's special representative to the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) just said that Russia faces serious difficulties in transferring membership fees (which have to be paid in U.S. dollars) to the organisation’s budget: kommersant.ru/doc/7248672
Putin at the BRICS summit in Russia: we have defeated the U.S. dollar!!!Meanwhile, instructions for summit participants on the summit’s official website:
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Hugo von Essen retweeted
Let me get this straight. The head of an organization founded to abolish aggression and ensure the right to collective self defense, refuses to attend a peace conference called by the victim of armed aggression but does attend a meeting with the aggressor. Unconscionable
The UN Secretary General declined Ukraine's invitation to the first Global Peace Summit in Switzerland. He did, however, accept the invitation to Kazan from war criminal Putin. This is a wrong choice that does not advance the cause of peace. It only damages the UN's reputation.
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China now exports around $4 bn every month in machinery and electrical equipment to Russia. That's $4 bn monthly! Russia's war machine would not be able to keep going without this support from Beijing. China is Putin's biggest enabler in his war on Europe...
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South Korea's president warned today that North Korea's involvement in the war in Ukraine poses a "grave security threat" to the world. trib.al/k4qHeh1
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“Rather than owning up to collective responsibility, the opposition continues to separate the Russian populace from the actions of their state, effectively reinforcing a culture of denial and complicity,” writes Andrew Chakhoyan in their recent op-ed. kyivindependent.com/opinion-…
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russia invades Ukraine - no escalation russia commits war crimes such as mass rape, beheadings, castration and genocide - no escalation russia uses Iranian drones - no escalation russia uses North Korean, Nepali, Chinese and African soldiers - no escalation russia bombs a dam flooding southern Kherson - no escalation russia captures a nuclear facility - no escalation Letting Ukraine strike russian targets with western supplied weapons - NATO shits themselves. Unbelievable
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Hugo von Essen retweeted
Fascinating how North Korea, Iran, China simply help russia, no big events required for decisions to be made, no big media announcements, just action. Meanwhile, Ukraine still hasn't received the Patriot systems promised in July by allies. Shameful, disgusting, infuriating.
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China's monthly exports to Russia crossed above $11 bn for the first time ever in Sep. '24. Russia's war machine would not be able to keep running without all this help from Beijing. China is Putin's biggest enabler...
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Hugo von Essen retweeted
Russia has expanded the capacity of its shadow fleet of oil tankers by almost 70 per cent year-on-year despite a recent crackdown on insurers and shipping, enabling Moscow to circumvent sanctions, per new @KSE_Institute research. @NastyaStognei reports: ft.com/content/fbad4462-5ed8…
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Hugo von Essen retweeted
Mass executions of surrendering Ukrainian soldiers is happening too frequently and too systematically for it to be anything other than an official or semi official policy - either sanctioned directly by Russian commanders or going unpunished.
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