Donald Crowhurst retweeted
When a stock trades up ~10% the day after a majority of directors were not re-elected…
The company should take a hint.
Make the single director who was legitimately elected the chairman. The rest should step down. Now.
Replying to @ragnarisapirate
$RGS is a textbook example of what happens when a good business is held hostage by bad management and an entrenched Board. Again let's look at the facts. 92% franchised. 3,448 franchise locations. $30M+ in EBITDA. Several consecutive quarters of positive operating cash flow. And the stock trades at not even ~6x EBITDA. Again, GA just paid ~$611K per location for European Wax Center. RGS trades at an implied ~$41K per franchised salon. A nearly 15x disparity! Make it make sense. A refinancing could unlock another $4–6M in annual free cash flow. How long do you think the shareholders will wait before they revolt at the lack of resignations following the election results?
@finance_schmidt
@WyetznerGary
@joinyellowbrick
@boujee_banker
@deepvaluedude
@CapitalFang
@DheerajJMM
@ValueOptimist
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Donald Crowhurst retweeted
Looks like the majority of directors were voted against in a major way at $RGS. All members except Bill Charters offered their resignations.
And an executive VP is gone. That’s $750k or so to the bottom line.
Will be interesting to see what happens with all of this.
sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
on $NN -
FCC filing out , SpaceX is asking the FCC to add the 902-928 MHz band to the Supplemental Coverage from Space mentions NEXTNAV
fcc.gov/ecfs/document/261100…
General Atlantic recently acquired European Wax Center for ~$640M EV, or ~$611K per location. $RGS trades at ~$176M EV. Back out ~$34M for its 264 company-owned salons, and you're paying just ~$41K for each of its 3,448 franchised locations. That's a nearly 15x valuation gap. Not perfect apples-to-apples. Different unit economics, growth profiles and franchise models. But a 15x disparity?!!
Either European WC was extraordinarily expensive or $RGS is still extraordinarily cheap....
@finance_schmidt @WyetznerGary @ragnarisapirate @joinyellowbrick @boujee_banker @deepvaluedude @CapitalFang @DheerajJMM @ValueOptimist @kingdomcapadv
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
Replying to @Crowhurst68
I would not wna short it if we get a strong crypto and ZEC market $HSCS
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
Replying to @compoundersjrnl
Find our response to your comments at the bottom of the $SNWV Post. biggercapital.com/blog-posts…
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
$TCRT
A concurrent private placement of Series C non-voting convertible preferred stock (the “Private Placement”) was led by Fairmount with participation from Venrock Healthcare Capital Partners, certain accounts advised by T. Rowe Price Investment Management, Inc., Wellington Management, Janus Henderson Investors, Access Biotechnology, BB Biotech, Perceptive Advisors, Sirenia Capital Management LP, ADAR1 Capital Management and other leading investment management firms. The private placement resulted in gross proceeds to Alaunos of approximately $350 million and is expected to fund operations into 2029, enabling the generation of key proof-of-concept data sets for VLR199 and VLR360, as well as through initial regulatory filings for VLR247 and VLR258.
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
IMO the market is heavily discounting how successful the acquisition will be. Not saying $CDNL will exceed expectations, but R/R remains skewed up. GLTA, and DYOR (2/2)
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
$XRPN $XRPNW @evernorthxrp Updated Estimated NAV: $8.43/share
Following this morning's 8-K, we've updated our NAV calculation. Please do your own diligence and feel free to flag any errors.
Share Count
23.64mm Class A shares
31.39mm Class C shares
22.95mm Pathfinder units
77.98mm basic shares
Both Class C shares and Pathfinder units are convertible/exchangeable into Class A on a 1:1 basis.
After accounting for warrant and convertible debt dilution based on the current trading price, we estimate 84.8mm diluted shares.
NAV Calculation
473mm XRP valued at ~$645mm ($1.36/XRP)
$75.7mm pro forma cash
$6.18mm related-party payables
~$715mm net assets
84.8mm diluted shares
Estimated NAV: $8.43/share
This calculation has been more complicated than it should be, largely because Pathfinder units were disclosed separately from Class A and Class C shares, making the total economic share count difficult to reconcile.
Sources:
Updated share count (Oct. 13):
sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…
Pro forma balance sheet:
sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/…
$NN could be a $50+ stock. But there's a catch.
The bull case hinges on unlocking the value of NextNav's 900 MHz spectrum.
Here's the upside, the downside, and the FCC decision that could change everything. 🧵👇
$NN $TSLA $TMUS $T $VZ $ASTS $SBAC $AMT $CCI $SPCX @elonmusk @CalgaryLeveen
2/8
NextNav ($NN) owns nationwide 900 MHz spectrum licenses.
Think of spectrum as an invisible highway for wireless signals.
If regulators allow broader broadband use, that highway could become much more valuable.
3/8
🚀 THE BULL CASE
SpaceX just agreed to acquire a nationwide low-band spectrum portfolio in a deal reported at roughly $8B.
That deal could give investors a new comparison for valuing spectrum.
Could $NN benefit? That's the opportunity.
4/8
💰 WHAT COULD $NN BE WORTH?
🔴 Bear: $4–$5 — transition blocked
🟡 Base: $11.45 — uncertainty continues
🟢 Bull: $50–$58 — broadband transition unlocks value
These are illustrative scenarios based on the supplied analysis, not guaranteed outcomes.
5/8
⚠️ THE BIG RISK
No successful transition, no bull case.
If $NN can't unlock broader spectrum use, investors may value it far below the optimistic estimates.
Cash burn and the cost of turning spectrum into real revenue matter, too.
6/8
🌌 WHAT COULD SEND IT HIGHER?
Watch for two potential catalysts over the next 1–2 quarters:
A favorable FCC development.
A spectrum-leasing deal with a major carrier.
Together, they could make the opportunity more tangible.
7/8
The disconnect:
At $11.45, the supplied bull case points to enormous upside.
But $50–$58 depends on regulatory progress and successful monetization—not just the headline price of another spectrum deal.
Big potential. Big uncertainty.
8/8
The SpaceX spectrum deal has put wireless competition and spectrum values in the spotlight.
I'm watching $NN for a different angle on the story.
Who's following this trade?
Follow the spectrum, telecom and satellite trade—and share your take on $NN. 👇
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
Sanuwave ($SNWV): Punished for Its Neighbors’ Sins biggercapital.com/blog-posts…
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
#SEI $SEI.V @sintanaenergy This is an interesting development. Over time the company is morphing into a kind of 'royalty company'. Free carries into production aka the Mopane block (worth about $250m to Sintana). This deal appears to be a short cut into that type of position.
:- Zero capital requirements on this well, or any subsequent wells, or any field development costs (5% of billions of dollars!)
:- They will receive about $4m after tax as part of the deal
:- Further payments on "appraisal and production milestones". Reading between the lines, I see this as further drilling and FID/first oil.
:-The kicker and huge value add is this bit, 'including the revenues associated with commercial production'..... what exactly does this mean? Sounds like they will get some kind of share of production, a royalty of some kind.
:- Plus the money raised earlier in the year to fund their share of the well is now not going to be spent, circa $5m-$7m.
:- So save $5m , receive $4m, get more cash payments down the line and get some points on production.
:- Cash runway for well over three years or capital to invest in existing assets/ new deals.
Worth remembering Sintana paid about $12m for all the five Namibian assets back in the day. Return on capital is fabulous.
Really looking forward to reading the broker notes.
vhttps://www.londonstockexchange.com/news-article/SEI/pel90-participating-interest-exchange-with-chevron/17816485
$SEI.V $SEUSF has executed an exceptionally attractive transaction on PEL 90.
Sintana’s 49%-owned Trago is selling its 10% interest to Chevron for $11M cash upfront + substantial contingent consideration tied to appraisal and production, including economics equivalent to an estimated 1.5–2.5M barrels of oil if commercial production is achieved.
The key: Trago retains meaningful exposure to the upside—including the upcoming Nabba-1X well—while eliminating ALL future funding obligations and capital risk on PEL 90.
In other words: monetize today, eliminate the downside of future exploration spend, retain exposure to a potentially enormous Orange Basin discovery tomorrow.
...asymmetric capital allocation
@tottaway22
@rynokinsight
@RAIDERTRADERS
@rickbader1
@Oilman_Jim
3
549
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
Sintana Energy announced an agreement with @Chevron relating to Trago Energy’s 10% interest in PEL 90 offshore Namibia.
The deal includes US$11M at completion plus contingent consideration, while preserving exposure to the upcoming Nabba-1X well.
🔗 accessnewswire.com/newsroom/…
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
$VASO is up ~75% since we first covered it in December.
Yet after selling off its IT business, it looks even more interesting today.
Nearly 92% of the market cap is backed by cash, and the stock trades at just 1.3x EV/EBIT.
Free write-up below:
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
$sgmo A revision to my previous Sangamo Equity Waterfall. I forgot to add in the Armastice warrants, and now I'm treating the $35 mil DIP as being fully used in all 3 scenarios. Still hard to nail down where we'll land, but risk/reward from here to me is very beneficial imo....
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
Slow, but steady sales ramp. I would argue that $sgmo's hemophilia gene therapy better product profile for hemA than Hemgenix for hemB.
Donald Crowhurst retweeted
Replying to @stockplaymaker1
$PRHI trading less than book and just had a profitable quarter. Way undervalued IMO. GLTA
























