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Cambridge, Ontario
Joined March 2024
Canada Stats Hub retweeted
Apartment Rental prices declined 1.7% over the 12-month period ending in March, the largest annual decline ever recorded 🚨🚨🚨
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
Office CMBS Delinquency Rate Hits Record 11.8%, Much Worse than Financial Crisis Meltdown. Multifamily Delinquencies Soar to 7.1%. Data via @TreppWire CRE loans on office and multifamily properties got further bludgeoned in October wolfstreet.com/2025/11/01/of…
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
Canada Justice System: Catch & Release On Steroids I am so damn tired of reading "the Crown quietly dropped the charges" it's become so common & it's so damn wrong Follow @scoopercooper for the truth about National Security
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
Our proprietary measure of ‘cyclically-sensitive’ CPI inched lower by -0.1% sequentially in May and is now down in each of the past three months.  The YoY trend is barely perceptible at a mere +0.8%.  That tells you a thing or two about the true shape of the economy and how corporate pricing power was fading ahead of the tariff war.  Jay Powell needs to find a replacement for “solid” to describe the macro backdrop – fast!
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
James Melville 🚜
@JamesMelville30 May 2025
Well knock me down with a feather. 🐄🌱
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
We are living through history. Only 0.25% of the time in the past century has the S&P 500 managed to rise nine consecutive days. A 1-in-400 or 3 sigma event! Guess what? Fully 80% of the time this dynamic happened in recessionary environments … not to mention just ahead of the October 1987 crash! Maybe this “bullish” (manic) move isn’t so “bullish” after all!
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
Who caused the Great Financial Crisis housing bust
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
JustDario
@DarioCpx25 Apr 2025
If anyone knows how else this can remain sustainable without the FED resuming QE please let me know - I am all ears 🙏
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
🚨 Canada’s deficit is worse than you think 🚨 - Current deficit: $61.9B - New Capital Gains Revenue Assumptions for this year: $6.9B - Actual deficit: $68.8B The government's own deficit figures assume $6.9B in revenue THIS YEAR from a proposed capital gains tax increase that hasn’t been passed by Parliament (and likely never will). Canada's projection is that the deficit will be $27.8B by 2028/29. Minus the $19.3B in capital gains tax increase revenue over the next 5 years? $47.1B. Sources: budget.canada.ca/2024/report… budget.canada.ca/2024/report… (Table 1, p. 4)
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My piece this week on why valuations matter, they in fact matter very much when it comes to forward returns
S&P 500 P/E ratios suggest investors are betting on decades more of skyhigh profits financialpost.com/investing/…
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
The 10 year yield is ripping again. About to hit 4.40%. New highs. Wen 8% mortgage rates? 💀
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
IceCap
@IceCapGlobal31 Oct 2024
Canada: Spooky Data will Frighten Bank of Canada. @SteveSaretsky @RichardDias_CFA
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
As expected. CPI is highly correlated with the money supply (M2) but with a lag. Here's my updated chart: CPI vs. M2 growth lagged for 16 months. At current trends, CPI is zero in January 2025 (but then spikes up, so don't get used to it).
BREAKING: Canadian inflation decelerates to 1.6% in September compared to 1.8% estimate www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dail…
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
CIBC mulls risk transfer transactions tied to $4.5 billion of corporate loans financialpost.com/fp-finance…
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"Bill C-293 is dangerous. Considering our food supplies, from farm to fork, the government shouldn't be the cook, ever." Tomorrow on The Food Professor Podcast, we'll debate the controversial Bill C-293, the strike in Vancouver, and more. LINK: podcasts.apple.com/us/podcas…
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
The federal government has announced it will raise the price cap for insured mortgages to $1.5M and expand them to 30-year amortizations. This is a demand side boost and inflationary for home prices. Reckless policy.
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BREAKING NEWS CANADA's YOUTH UNEMPLOYMENT RATE HITS 14.5% ONTARIO's HITS 17.5% AS CANADA CONTINUES TO ADD PEOPLE... BUT DOESNT ADD JOBS THIS IS A CRISIS!
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Canada Stats Hub retweeted
The unemployment rate for Canadians aged 15-24 rose to 13.5% last month, the highest rate seen since 2014 — not counting the pandemic. The employment rate among university students looking for summer jobs is currently the lowest since 1998. Not only has the economy slowed in recent months, but the job market hasn’t absorbed all the new job seekers after years of record-setting population growth. That mismatch leaves students and young graduates with a dwindling number of job prospects. Young people have been disproportionately affected by the decline in promotions and a rise in involuntary part-time work, leading many to take on jobs they’re overqualified for. Experts also point to the rising number of Canadians with degrees in fields that have slowed down hiring in recent months, including finance and professional services. According to RBC economist Carrie Freestone, new graduates who have difficulty finding their first job can struggle to hit career milestones farther into the future. The good news: hiring could pick up as the Bank of Canada continues to cut interest rates.
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