FaZe vs BCGame, Dust2 + Nuke, through xK: BCGame: 181 kills from 137.3 expected FaZe: 158 kills from 115.3 expected Both teams beat their xK by almost the same amount (+43.7 vs +42.7). The gap came from chances, not finishing

BIG vs The MongolZ, 3 maps (cache, inferno, mirage) through xK: BIG: 173 kills from 131.1 expected MongolZ: 170 kills from 131.3 expected Almost identical on paper. BIG beat its xK by +15.5 on Cache, MongolZ by +15.5 on Inferno. On Mirage MongolZ simply had the bigger chances: 56.4 xK vs 43.9.

@h4rncs over 9 Acend matches: 138 kills from 104.8 expected (xK). That’s +3.7 per match, best on the roster. Sides: CT +18.6, T +14.6. He’s the only one on the team stronger on CT, and the best CT player on Acend by a wide margin (next best +12.2).

xK (Expected Kills) Breakdown – Spirit vs Mongolz Spirit: 156.85 xK → 143 kills (-13.85) Mongolz: 162 xK → 159 kills (-3) Both teams underperformed, but Spirit left way more kills on the table. Player diffs: Mzinho +8.55 (47 kills!) sh1ro +5.56 donk +0.16 tN1R -10.55 bLitz -7.61 Full visuals below

xK (Expected Kills) Breakdown – PARIVISION vs Spirit PARIVISION: 140.6 xK → 140 kills (-0.6) Spirit: 119.89 xK → 112 kills (-7.89) Both teams underperformed, but Spirit with way less chances. Player diffs: nota +3.62 donk +5.17 🔥 zweih –2.43 magixx –5.20 😬 Full visuals below 👇

donk went absolute GOD MODE: 56 kills (42.61 xK) → +13.39 diff Only donk & ultimate finished with positive xK diff Team totals: Spirit → 172 kills (162.97 xK) Liquid → 146 kills (157.16 xK) Full expected vs reality table below.

xK (Expected Kills) Breakdown – Falcons vs NRG Falcons: 131.3 xK → 144 kills (+12.7 overperformance 🔥) NRG: 143.85 xK → 149 kills (+5.15) NRG came in with the higher expected output… but FLC showed way more clutch overperformance! Player diffs: Sonic +9.34 Nucleonz +7.49 😬 kyxsan –6.7 (ouch) Full visuals below 👇

Astralis beat FaZe 2-1 in ESL Pro League yesterday. FaZe was creating way better chances overall, but one game decided everything. Jabbi was deciding player as he overperformed his 37,59 expected kills with crazy 49 kills, but he wasn't alone, as top 3 players of this match up were all from Astralis (+staer +6 xK diff and phzy +6 xK diff)

Good pickup

xK Explained | CS2

Falcons vs PARIVISION in the BLAST Bounty final Stats for the whole event on the graphic. PARIVISION actually creates slightly more kill opportunities per round, but Falcons are much better at converting them. The difference in efficiency is not small: Falcons get about 0.11 more kills per round from basically the same chances. If Falcons keep converting like they have all tournament, it’s going to be really hard for PARIVISION to keep up, even if the rounds stay close. xK says this final is tight. Efficiency says Falcons have the edge.

analyzed all 160 players at BLAST Bounty, and here is the xK recap

His last major was not so good

In this post, I will break down Vitality’s performance against Virtus pro using xK (expected kills) and xD (expected deaths) to show how much of their win came from overperformance. Key takeaways from the graphic: - ZywOo and mezii clearly overperformed, each of them having ~+7.5 kills above xK - apEX had the lowest fragging impact (–1.19 kills less than expected), but compensated by surviving ~5.5 deaths fewer than expected -flameZ recorded both the highest deaths and the largest negative xD differential This metric goes beyond raw K/D and takes into account positioning, weaponry, HP, and shot difficulty, giving a better picture of how “deserved” the result actually was.

All player stats

To finalize our StarLadder Budapest Major 2025 analysis, we ran our tool across all stages & playoffs to see individual player's performance. Something only our metrics can do at this depth. Top 5 BEST & WORST performers shown on chart. (all stats below) One guy always STANDS OUT🐐

m0NESY is a strong top 3 HLTV contender for 2025. At the Budapest Major: • xK: 146.8 • Kills: 173 • Diff: +26.2 That’s +2.34 diff per map (ZywOo: +4.76), putting him ahead of ropz (+1.30).