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Chicago
Joined May 2019
25% off the full football season with code FOOTBALL26. One pass covers every NFL and college football tool on xEP.ai: Player props with projections and grades The NFL Vault: trends, usage and odds Cheat sheets for every game Game data for every FBS matchup Many more tools to come!
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62,758
Great afternoon sweat, but they all come through✅ Research from the xep.ai was crucial
My favorite props today after researching with the xep.ai
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5,717
xEP Network | Sports Analytics retweeted
Every stat a receiver carries, next to every stat the defense allows. One screen. Targets, target share, air yards share, yards after catch, red zone looks, and a week by week usage table. Then the same stats for the defense he's facing, ranked 1 to 32. That's the player research page at xep.ai, for every player on the slate. You stop guessing what the matchup means. You see it.
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4
9,816
What is Herbert doing?
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6,877
Never mind Rodgers comes thru in OT! Let's go Josh!
Rodgers so close all day to TD #2 but Steelers keep settling for field goals! Big game by Tet
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7,265
Cam Ward and the Titans get their first W of the season! Ward delivers another wild stat line…
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6,996
Rodgers so close all day to TD #2 but Steelers keep settling for field goals! Big game by Tet
My favorite props today after researching with the xep.ai
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9,596
First half cash for Tet!
Tetairoa McMillan has a great matchup this week! I did a full deep dive on his yards prop👇
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7,637
There is a WR playing on Sunday Night Football who's line is 31.5 and is seeing a 71% snap share and 5.4 targets per game... Hello Ryan Flournoy!
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8,403
Chargers @ Chiefs Game Cheat Sheet
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9,264
Projected: Packers 26, Cowboys 25. The market has Green Bay by 1. So do we. The difference is the total. 53.5 posted, 51.6 projected. The case for fewer points: Green Bay's run game is last in football, 62 yards a game with a 30.3% stuff rate. On third down, 31.1%, 3rd percentile. The case for more: Dallas is last in EPA per play, success rate and yards per play allowed.
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11,044
Khalil Shakir's receiving line is 38.5. xEP.ai projects him for 57.2. Las Vegas allows 169.6 yards a game to wide receivers, 24th in the league. His matchup score is 73, where 100 is the softest. Only two books have it posted so far. 4:25 in a dome. 18.7 yards between the line and the projection.
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9,675
Nico covers the line late! ✅
Worst defense in football against receivers. Projection: 5.5 yards over the line. Nico Collins vs Jacksonville Our projection: 78.0 Line: 72.5 Matchup score: 86 of 100 Jacksonville gives up 203.8 a game to receivers. Dead last. He's averaging 83. We have him at 78. The line is 72.5.
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8,054
xEP Network | Sports Analytics retweeted
At this rate Stroud is definitely getting that 65M per year this offseason
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2,665
Two more finds with data that backs both!
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16,106
My favorite props today after researching with the xep.ai
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16,989
The best offense in football by yards per carry gets a run defense in the bottom fifth of the league. Our projection: Chiefs 28, Chargers 14. Kansas City runs for 5.6 a carry and 152 a game. 29.5 points a game. Best yards per play in the league. The market has it at 7.5. We have it at 14.1. The total, though? Ours and the market's are both 41.5. All the disagreement is about who scores, not how much.
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8,812
Line: 283.5 Our projection: 312.3 Matthew Stafford vs Arizona, Sunday 4:05, in a dome. Why the number lands that high: he throws 43 times a game, more than 99% of quarterbacks. Arizona gives up 9.1 yards an attempt and the deepest throws in the league. He's averaging 314. The line is asking for 284.
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9,031