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Outside Zone retweeted
WR's with AMAZING matchups this week
For Yards:
Nico Collins
Parker Washington
Tre Tucker
Denzel Boston
Luther Burden III
For Receptions:
Jakobi Meyers
Mike Evans
Jalen Coker
George Pickens
Christian Watson
Alabama with two straight losses now and a combined 3 points in both second halves. Hard to win with that!
Two offenses with strong 1st quarter matchups on Sunday:
Colts vs TEN: Daniel Jones 45.8 1Q pass yds, Josh Downs 23.0 rec yds, Tyler Warren 12.6
Packers vs DAL: Jordan Love 62.8, Christian Watson 28.4, Tucker Kraft 13.2
Both defenses sit top 10 in 1Q passing yards allowed.
2025 vs 2026, 1st quarter passing yards per game:
Michael Penix Jr.: 64.6 → 17.3
Cam Ward: 43.9 → 21.3
Both have slow starts this season. Ward gets Indy, a top 6 matchup for 1Q passing.
Outside Zone retweeted
Matthew Golden is 99th percentile in air yards, 96th in yards after the catch and 98th in 3rd down targets.
He gets the Cowboys on Sunday night
Outside Zone retweeted
Seattle's defense is 100th percentile in yards per play allowed, yards per dropback allowed and passing yards allowed. All three.
Denver throws for 185.6 a game, 3rd percentile in the league. Tough game for a possible Bo Nix bounceback
Outside Zone retweeted
Tetairoa has seen heavy usage in the first few weeks and now he faces a statically below average PHI defense to WRs
His line: 65.5
Projection: 77.6
Matchup score: 81/100
Jaxon Smith-Njigba is doing it on volume.
50 targets and a 131.4 passer rating when targeted. Nobody else with 40+ targets is above 117.
He's alone in the top right. WR1 again this year?
Brock Purdy leads the NFL in EPA per attempt (+0.405).
He's doing it on 7.8 air yards per throw, just under the league median.
Josh Allen gets to +0.307 by pushing it 9.5 yards downfield.
Two different ways to be elite. Which do you trust more?
Harold Fannin Jr. averages 6.1 yards of separation. No one else is above 4.7.
Mike Evans averages 1.6, tied for 2nd-lowest in the league, and still posts a 113.7 passer rating when targeted.
One gets open. One doesn't need to.
Who would you rather target on 3rd down?
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5 of the top 12 pass catchers in passer rating when targeted are tight ends.
Mike Gesicki is #1 overall at 143.4. Brock Bowers sits at 119.7, George Kittle at 116.9.
Ja'Marr Chase is at 107.0.
Are QBs just better off throwing to the big guys right now?