@wxjerdman

@weatherchannel Sr. Meteorologist. MS @CSUAtmosSci; BS @UWMadison; Insightful. Interesting. Impactful. Weather. Also on Bluesky. Opinions mine, not my employer.

weather.com
Joined December 2009
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BTW...you can also follow me on that platform with the blue butterfly, if you prefer that. bsky.app/profile/wxjerdman.b…
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Soon to be #Typhoon #Champi forecast to rapidly intensify as it tracks near or over #Guam this weekend.
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In addition to some "first frosts & freezes" for some in the Midwest and Northeast this weekend, some record cold highs Saturday in upstate New York & the Champlain Valley. Bundle up if you're leaf peeping this weekend.
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100% would buy one of these shirts. Is there anyone else most deserving of #mlb comeback player of the year? #thisismycrew #brewtober
Curt Hogg@CyrtHoggOct 15
In section 106 tonight, a 45-minute drive from home, was a man wearing his lucky Jake Bauers shirt. Stu Bauers has worn his son’s t-shirt the last four Brewers games. They are 4-0. It hasn’t been washed yet and at this rate it may never be.
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Monday, Springfield, IL had its record latest in fall 90s (91˚). Today, Indy could accomplish that, and check out these heat indices near 100˚ possible today in southeast MO and southern IL. It is October, right?
NWS Paducah, KY
@NWSPaducahOct 13
Heat index values today may approach all-time October records with readings in the middle 90s to near 100 degrees.
Graphic has a picture of blue sky along with a table showing forecast heat index values today and the current all-time October records for our 5 main climate stations.

ALT Graphic has a picture of blue sky along with a table showing forecast heat index values today and the current all-time October records for our 5 main climate stations.

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Jonathan Erdman retweeted
NWS Buffalo
@NWSBUFFALOOct 12
Today marks the 20th Anniversary of the October Surprise Storm, where a historic snowfall of 22.6 inches fell here at the Buffalo Airport. This storm created devastating impacts due to the amount of foliage on the trees. ...see next post for more info...
Today marks the 20th anniversary of the October Storm of 2006. Over a foot of snow fell across the Buffalo metro area with close to 2 feet falling across the neighborhoods to the east of Buffalo. See the map for more details on how much snow fell and where.

ALT Today marks the 20th anniversary of the October Storm of 2006. Over a foot of snow fell across the Buffalo metro area with close to 2 feet falling across the neighborhoods to the east of Buffalo. See the map for more details on how much snow fell and where.

The October Storm of 2006 wreaked havoc across much of the Buffalo area and surrounding neighborhoods and to this day can be considered as one of the most damaging storms that hit Buffalo.

ALT The October Storm of 2006 wreaked havoc across much of the Buffalo area and surrounding neighborhoods and to this day can be considered as one of the most damaging storms that hit Buffalo.

From this storm WNY residents learned first hand that leaves and snow don’t mix. There was over 150 million dollars in storm damage, over 3 million cubic yards of debris and 90% of trees were damaged.

ALT From this storm WNY residents learned first hand that leaves and snow don’t mix. There was over 150 million dollars in storm damage, over 3 million cubic yards of debris and 90% of trees were damaged.

To this day the 22.6 inches that fell at the Buffalo Niagara International Airport remains as the highest amount of snowfall in a 24 hour period in the month of October.

ALT To this day the 22.6 inches that fell at the Buffalo Niagara International Airport remains as the highest amount of snowfall in a 24 hour period in the month of October.

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Only 6 times since 1872 has the Twin Cities reached 90˚ in October. Two of those times were both days this past weekend, including their record latest in fall 90˚ high. Par for the course in what has been America's record warmest year-to-date in 132 years. #mnwx
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Isaias already crushed a "latest first #hurricane" record. Now we could set another record as the 2026 Atlantic "hurricane" season may have double entendre. weather.com/2026/10/08/storm…

Hurricane Isaias breaks record for latest first hurricane

In the 60-year modern era, never before have we waited until October for the first Atlantic Basin hurricane, until Isaias. 2026 could still set another record.

weather.com
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Brutal #heat wave for SoCal starts Friday. We're forecasting highs near 100˚ in L.A. for 7 straight days into late next week. #MLB really needs to move the Sat. afternoon start at Dodger Stadium to the evening. Then, move #Padres / #Brewers to an afternoon game (highs there in low 60s with sunshine).
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Some "first frosts/freezes" early next week in the Great Lakes and interior Northeast. Welcome to October!
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We're already over two weeks beyond the previous record longest wait for the first Atlantic #hurricane of the season. Now with both Fay and Gonzalo on the struggle bus, it looks like we'll have a rare "0 for September" for Atlantic hurricanes. weather.com/2026/09/26/storm…

Rare Atlantic September hurricane shutout appears likely

We expected the Atlantic hurricane season to be quieter than usual, due to a strong El Niño. But a quiet September is unusual.

weather.com
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You know it's a strong #ElNiño when season-to-date ACE in the eastern half of the Pacific has now exceeded that of the western Pacific.
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Not every day you see a mention of rainfall #flood threat from an active #tropical storm in an NHC forecast for parts of western Africa (though tropical waves can dump heavy rain). Not too many NNW'ward tracks just off Africa in the NOAA database, either, for "Cabo #Gonzalo".
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With an #Elniño as strong as this, there are some things to keep in mind as you plan your winter getaway #travel. weather.com/2026/09/17/trave…

How super El Niño could impact your winter getaway travel

If you usually escape winter weather where you live, or can't wait to hit the slopes, a record-strong El Niño could make your trip a little different this year.

weather.com
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Through Wednesday, Dallas-Ft. Worth tallied 13 straight days with highs of 100˚ or hotter. By far the longest such streak entirely in Sept. in their recorded history. Most prior streaks have been a July or August thing, there. #txwx #DFWwx
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Record hottest first half of September tied or set for almost four dozen major reporting stations from the central and southern Rockies to the Southeast. Includes Austin, Dallas, Denver and Nashville. (Data kudos: @SERCC)
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We've arrived in the middle of September. Average Atlantic season #hurricane pace this week: 4 2026 Atlantic hurricane count, so far: 0
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Jonathan Erdman retweeted
Philip Klotzbach@philklotzbachSep 14
Main Development Region vertical wind shear remains extremely strong, with record high levels of vertical wind shear in the western Atlantic (10-20°N, 85-50°W) for the past 30 days. The 2026 Atlantic #hurricane season continues to be remarkably quiet. #ElNino
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This season's #NFL schedule is the most potentially #weather compelling I've seen in years. My potential favorite games👇 weather.com/2026/09/11/sport…

These NFL games may have the most interesting weather

These are the NFL games in 2026-27 that caught a meteorologist's eye the most.

weather.com
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