@teodesiani
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Sufficiently advanced technology indistinguishable from TX secessionists snorting cocaine in the Ukraine #RIBBITRIBBITGANG
Houston, TX
Joined December 2014
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Seriously thinking of joining "no object level takes" gang
While whatever the take is *about* is probably a real thing, caring about it is 100% fake every single time
Everything is calvinball, caring about it at all is to buy a kayfabe
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I see a lot of old heads are disputing Y2K as an example of a failed doom prediction, because so much work was poured into preventing it. They are only half-right. I was there and did some of that work.
Yes a lot of old COBOL was munged, but they are forgetting the absolutely deranged predictions - that cars wouldn't start, that all the medical devices in hospitals would just turn off at midnight, planes would fall out of the sky, that electronically controlled prison doors would just swing open launching The Purge, etc, etc. You think prepping is a thing now? You obviously weren't paying attention during the runup to Y2K.
None of these crazy things could have happened - and I was telling everyone who would listen that they were nonsense for specific reasons.
In the same way you can take all the p(doom) scenarios and calmly show how they won't happen.
There's certainly cause to be suspicious, sudden tolerance of "extremes" that were previously suppressed is almost always a top-down decision to move the center; once TPTB get what they want out of that its gonna be back to regularly scheduled programming
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Labor markets clear but in general highly educated professionals with guild credentials (doctors, lawyers, etc) get enormous invisible compensation from living in a place they can marry peers and this is half the story of the brain drain.
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"Rice paddy" would be a wonderful slur for Irish wasians
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Many pitches for several decades has been “Wow as soon as The Common Man understands net interest margin the banks won’t know what hit them” and it keeps not happening.
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ok i think i finally figured out why alignment has gone basically nowhere after 15 years and several billion dollars. the problem is hard sure. but have you met the people in charge of it
1) the leadership does not know how computers work. ask one what happens when you type a url into a browser and watch them start sweating. dns is a spooky word. they genuinely believe the model lives in "the cloud" like a ghost haunting a castle
2) zero idea how large scale distributed systems work. never been paged at 3am. never watched one bad bgp announcement take half the internet offline. their big threat model is the ai "copying itself across the internet" like its a floppy disk virus from 1998. brother it needs 50 megawatts, a liquid cooling loop and a personal relationship with jensen. it is not escaping onto your smart fridge
3) they dont understand the stack they are supposedly protecting us from. ask about inference servers, kv cache, batching, egress, rate limits. blank stare. ask how the model will seize the power grid and you get a 45 minute answer with a hand drawn diagram and three links to their own blog
4) nobody can define an agent. ask ten of them and you get eleven definitions and a 30 page google doc. to the rest of us an agent is a while loop that calls tools and eats a 429 every thirty seconds. to them its a digital god in its larval stage. my agent cant book a dentist appointment without asking me three times if im sure
5) they started from "everyone dies" and worked backwards so every result is bad news somehow. model refuses, deceptive. model complies, sycophantic. model does well on evals, well now its scheming about the evals. i cant think of a single thing a model could do that would get them to say ok maybe we're fine
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the most interesting thing from the sex article by @segyges :
"humans will be allowed to study AI only if they can build it on a single-threaded, human-observer-scale-deterministic, system".
ie: never. "Pause AI" was always a lie, and im glad @repligate called this out.
Fedophile is an amazing neologism, thank you friend are wisdom
Replying to @RicahrdJames @andrew_leach
I find it amusing when Fedophiles (people enamoured with the supremacy of Ottawa) try and lecture people about the concept of sovereignty without realizing they are screaming “that’s illegal under the Constitution” at people who reject the supremacy of the constitution. “Your hands are bound by the very thing you are voting to reject as illegitimate! Checkmate!” If legitimacy flows from the will of the people and not the Crown then it doesn’t matter what the constitution says if people vote to replace it with a different one as the fountain of sovereignty.
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Replying to @charlesmurray
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This is awesome, but I wish they had a personal use section. Someone might try to drone strike my house, I need local radar and EW!
Anduril Armory. The global storefront for commercial-off-the-shelf capabilities is live. Every item ready to deploy.
"We have the demand coming in, orders are booked." - Matthew Steckman, President and Chief Business Officer at Anduril Industries.
Armory.Anduril.com
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Replying to @eigenrobot
Pluck the misalignment from thine own eye
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all technical debt is a loan from the future
vibecoding is a payday loan at 9,000 % APR and "Lou" will swing by later today to remind you that it's hard to walk with two broken knees