Teamster trucker by night, Investor by day, 100% debt free, Redsox fan, Georgist
Alabama, USA
Joined February 2021
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- Followers425
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Getting in the mood for the Christmas season now :) make sure to spread some joy, kindness, and the love of Christ!
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Chart based on Steve Keens work on credit impulse. Private credit levels worsen recession. Perhaps the coming recession won't be as bad as 2008, or perhaps the stress will come from another area.
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The 10 yr real yield in golds 2006 correction holds a lot of similarities to 2026 & golds current correction. Note real yields currently topping (I think) at the same 2.49% level. When it comes down, Gold & silver will likely end their correction
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Tech stocks are not my cup of tea. Buy a basket of em, hope you picked the one or two that goes up a lot. I prefer cyclical stuff that gets hammered in the 18 yr land cycle recession + occasionally commodities when the K-wave calls for it.
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The 18.6 year land cycle & Kondratiev cycle are the most powerful tools an investor can use. Once you learn them, you simply need to find what performs well for the stage of the cycles you are in. Mining stocks on occasion & construction cos are all you need really.
Thinking that yields peak before end of yr & metals probably show a bit of strength prior to that. 1H 2027 should be quite productive for metals. Late 2027 recession begins? We will see
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Silvertrucker21 🔰 retweeted
DXY (P&F 1 điểm × đảo chiều 1 ô) — 13/10/2026
12 năm đồng đô la gói trong một trang sổ: không có trục thời gian, chỉ có cung và cầu.
📒 Cách đọc
* X = cột tăng, O = cột giảm, mỗi ô = 1 điểm chỉ số
* Chỉ cần đảo chiều 1 ô là sang cột mới → thấy rõ từng nhịp
* Đường nét đứt: D1 = cầu chính, S = cung chính, SW = cung của nhịp giảm từ 2022
📍 Biểu đồ kể gì
* Ba đáy 80 (2014) → 90 (2021) → 97 (2026) nằm trên cùng một đường cầu D1
* Đỉnh 114 (2022, cao nhất 20 năm) vượt đường cung S = quá mua → về vùng 100–107 (2023–24)
* 109 (T1/2025) thất bại → đi ngang 97–101 suốt 2025–2026
* 05/10/2026 in X 102 = phá đỉnh ba tăng dần (100 → 101 → 102). Giá 102,37.
🎯 Mốc cần theo dõi
✅ Cột X in 107 = vượt cung SW ≈106,3 (trần từ 2022) (+4,5%), mở đường tới mục tiêu 112
❌ Cột O in 96 = thủng đáy ba 97 và cầu D1 (−6,2%), mục tiêu 86
Không phải khuyến nghị đầu tư.
#DXY #PnF
Silvertrucker21 🔰 retweeted
The Fed's hawkishness won't change from today's report. The unemployment rate rose from 4.14% to 4.18% and lowered the amount the Fed is behind the curve from 3.4 hikes to 3.2. 3mo. avg. payrolls is 51k, steady and above most estimates of breakeven (mine: 34k). That's the extent of it. Jobs day<PCE day.
Be careful with worrying about a national debt or current interest rate fluctuations, especially if you're a gold/silver investor. When the K-Wave peak comes and goes, gold & silver will be much higher, and there will be cheap stocks to rotate into..1/2
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Silvertrucker21 🔰 retweeted
Private credit stress is starting to show.
It will lead to tears once the cycle turns over.
Watch my new video.
What's if there's one more cruel twist in the AI nonsense? The hyper scale people cut back on spending, improving their cash flows, sending the indexes to a glorious blow off top before the real estate cycle recession gets going. Just thinking aloud
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Silvertrucker21 🔰 retweeted
Consumer prices rising? Conventional thinking is to raise the interest rate.
Let's look at an airline, to see how it works.
A new widebody is about $500M. An airline builds a business case to buy one, because fares are higher. It works, just as economic theory predicts.
But, before they buy, the Fed hikes the rate, i.e. the cost of financing the plane.
Each 1% higher adds $5M in annual cost. About triple the payroll for captain and crew.
So now the airline won't buy the plane, won't add capacity, won't push down fares.
Supppse fares rise some more, as part of overall inflation. The airline has its business case again. Until the Fed acts to fix it by, you guessed it, hiking rates again!
Make sure the analysts you pay the most attention to understand the K-Wave & 18.6 yr land cycle. People like @graddhybpc @Phil_J_Anderson @AkhilGPatel @LandCycle , otherwise the people you're following are flying in the fog
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Great improvement on my work boots thanks to Generation Laces. Check them out if you need some long lasting laces.
generationlaces.com/?srsltid…
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Silvertrucker21 🔰 retweeted
What if the property market isn't as unpredictable as it feels?
It's not magic. It's land, credit, and human psychology doing what they always do.
Swipe through and let us know: does this change how you see the market? 👇
