"Be more Baltic!" is our motto. Founded by @edwardlucas, we are a thinktank (and do-tank) specialising in Estonian, Latvian and Lithuanian national security
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ALT A phone shows the Sky News article “Sky News’ Defence Insider gets exclusive access to staged Kaliningrad ‘crisis simulation’.” Beside it, on dark green, Sky News, October 19: “This time around, it is Moscow that is under the most pressure.”
ALT Slide 1 (X 1/8): Map of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and their neighbours, with the main power and gas routes inside the three countries and the links beyond them: power links to Finland, Sweden and Poland (EstLink 1, EstLink 2, NordBalt and LitPol Link), gas pipelines to Finland and Poland (Balticconnector and the Gas Interconnector Poland-Lithuania), liquefied natural gas terminals at Klaipėda and Inkoo, and gas storage at Inčukalns. Text: “Baltic Barometer. No longer an energy island. Energy Security.” Credit: “Map data: © OpenStreetMap contributors, Natural Earth.”
ALT Slide headed “Renewables as a price shield.” Large figure: “~40%,” with the line “lower wholesale electricity prices in Estonia and Lithuania during periods of high wind and solar generation compared with low-output hours, from January to July.” Text: “In Latvia, the gap was 19%. This renewable dividend offers only limited protection: when weather-dependent generation falls, gas and oil shale still often set the market price.” At the foot: “Baltic Barometer: No longer an energy island.”
ALT End slide with the BISC logo, headed “What’s next?” Text: “More energy storage and stronger interconnection to neighbouring markets will help reduce exposure to costly hydrocarbons and extend the renewable dividend. Bolstering electrification, particularly in transport, would further reduce dependency on fossil-fuel imports. Effective regional collaboration could help make small modular reactors another pillar of Baltic energy security.” Then: “Read Caspar Schulze’s full Baltic Barometer at securebaltics.org” and “Subscribe to our newsletter: bisc.s.gy/subscribe.” At the foot: “Baltic Barometer: No longer an energy island.”
ALT Map on a white background of Kaliningrad between the Baltic Sea, Lithuania and Poland. The border with Poland is drawn as one heavy straight line with a ruler’s tick marks beside it; every other border and coastline is thin. The quote reads: “Straight line borders are a sign of colonial rule.” Below it, smaller: “This is what happens when outsiders come in and they just draw lines on the map.” Edward Lucas, Founder-director, BISC. In conversation with Ramūnas Bogdanas, October 9, 2026.
ALT Press conference in the atrium of ISM University of Management and Economics, Vilnius. Journalists and camera operators film a panel standing at a white table, beside a large green screen reading “Kaliningrad Crisis Simulation, October 2026”. In the foreground a woman holds up a phone to film.
ALT Quote card on a dark green background. On the right, a faded map of the Baltic Sea region with Kaliningrad highlighted in light green between Lithuania and Poland. The quote reads: “Nobody is menacing Kaliningrad from the outside. And the real question is when and how, but not if, the Kremlin will lose it in the end.” Edward Lucas, Founder-director, BISC. EUobserver, October 5, 2026.
ALT Map of Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania and their neighbours, with the main power and gas routes inside the three countries and the links beyond them: power links to Finland, Sweden and Poland (EstLink 1, EstLink 2, NordBalt and LitPol Link), gas pipelines to Finland and Poland (Balticconnector and the Gas Interconnector Poland-Lithuania), liquefied natural gas terminals at Klaipėda and Inkoo, and gas storage at Inčukalns. Text: “Baltic Barometer. No longer an energy island. Energy Security. Out on October 12.”