Joined April 2009
Christopher Peters retweeted
#Kaliningrad is one of the most militarised places in Europe, but it’s also weakened by the Kremlin’s draw on capabilities & soldiers to continue its illegal war in #Ukraine. We looked at various crisis scenarios for @securebaltics & it got a bit intense, as @haynesdeborah shows
🚨A wargame with a difference, what would happen if Russia faced a crisis in its exclave of Kaliningrad? A thought-provoking simulation by @edwardlucas & colleagues at the Baltic International Security Centre Great roleplaying by @KeirGiles @LungescuOana @Nigelgd1 and many more
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Christopher Peters retweeted
No one “drove” Ukraine down any road. Putin invaded Ukraine. Russia was not threatened by Ukraine. NATO was not expanding to Ukraine in 2014 or 2022. Ukrainians are now compelled to fight for their very existence against an imperial dictatorship. They have no choice.
But the calculation of those who drove Ukraine down this primrose road is the following: Value of UKR casualties & dead: zero Value of RUS casualites & dead: positive. => so long as the war goes on, they win. This is the calculation of most MSM, many reporters, politicians and pundits. That's why the war can go on forever. Well, at least until the last Ukrainian & Russian. If war cheerleaders had any skin in the game, they would be much more careful. But they don't. War is costless to them. Only other people die.
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🇱🇹 What can old Europe learn from Lithuania? 🛡️ Steel, drones and troops are only the minimum, argues @JackTwiss, former Dutch ambassador, now a lecturer at the @BALTDEFCOL. The rest is harder to buy. 📖 His guest article: bisc.s.gy/vytis
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It was an honour to take part in this as a member of the white team (adjudicators/roles not represented by the two sides), together with @LungescuOana, and the whole exercise overseen by @PKruminas - follow @securebaltics to read more about the outcomes of the various scenarios
🧩 What happens when crises erupt in #Kaliningrad? 20 security experts spent three days in Vilnius at @ISM_University finding out. Read more about that on our website bisc.s.gy/kaliningrad-simula…
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Christopher Peters retweeted
As Russia is failing on the frontlines, its weakness can be as dangerous as its strength. It’s urgent to strengthen our defences & step up support to #Ukraine. Thanks @securebaltics @ISM_University @edwardlucas for the insights over the last few days in Vilnius 🇱🇹
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🧵 The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has tested and vindicated a decade of Baltic energy transformation. ⚡ No longer an energy island: our Baltic Barometer, edited by BISC's Caspar Schulze, is out today. 📊 Full read: bisc.s.gy/barometer (1/8)
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📏 Look at #Kaliningrad’s border with Poland on a map. It is a straight line. Borders like that are drawn by outsiders. 🎙️ BISC’s @edwardlucas with Ramūnas Bogdanas, on Lithuanian history and the Soviet legacy. Listen on Youtube ▶️ bisc.s.gy/lucas-bogdanas
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Christopher Peters retweeted
*NEW EXCLUSIVE*: I’ve spent months reporting on the quiet campaign within the FBI to urge senior leadership to cancel Patel’s trip to Russia before the midterms. Current and former FBI officials familiar with the matter told me that their many efforts to pass apprehensions up the chain went unanswered, prompting some to take the extraordinary step to share their worries with Congress and others. @TheAtlantic theatlantic.com/national-sec…
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Christopher Peters retweeted
How disinformation and PSYOPs actually work. ​Great insight from this podcast on how fake posts pop up online. And as @edwardlucas points out, if opponents want to play information games, sometimes you’ve got to give them a taste of their own medicine. ​#PSYOP
POKALBIS SU EDWARD LUCAS: KARALIAUČIUS | Bogdanas Pokalbis apie galimus pokyčius aplink Kaliningrado Sritį netolimoje ateityje PILNA LAIDA IR DAUGIAU TURINIO ČIA: patreon.com/algisramanauskas arba čia: substack.com/@algisramanausk… arba čia: contribee.com/algisramanausk…
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📸 Cameras rolling in Vilnius. Press conference this morning at @ISM_University halfway through our three-day Kaliningrad crisis simulation. More from Vilnius soon. 🇱🇹 #KG2050
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And his enablers in London and elsewhere named shamed and prosecuted
Putin has no allies, only those who keep him on a leash and his country on a ventilator His attacks on us are acts of state terrorism and must be prosecuted as such. Member States should suspend Russian visitor visas - they are being used by Russia's assassins and spies.
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Greetings from Vilnius. Timing for our three-day Kaliningrad crisis simulation (started 10 mins ago) could hardly be better. Here's my column from today's Times And news of our upcoming #Fragilefortress book securebaltics.org/news/analy…
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Most commentary paints #Kaliningrad as a Russian fortress. We see it as Russia’s Achilles’ heel. Read @edwardlucas in @euobs article: bisc.s.gy/kg-achilles More on that, this week in #Vilnius 🇱🇹, and in our forthcoming book, Kaliningrad 2050: Fragile Fortress, by BISC's @cwlp
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⚡ As late as 2013, the Baltic states were effectively an energy island. Not any more. 🛢️ The de facto closure of the Strait of Hormuz is now testing their energy systems once more. 🔋 The second edition of our Baltic Barometer, edited by Caspar Schulze, comes out on October 12.
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In this article @edwardlucas announces our forthcoming book-length report “Kaliningrad 2050: Fragile Fortress” that will be published this month, of which I am the editor, which analyses Russia’s precarious grip on its Baltic exclave. #kaliningrad #baltic #lithuania #poland
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