Enjoy all things politics, sports, and cooking. @JoeBiden White House, @JamesCarville & @MitchLandrieu alum. Opinions here my own.

New Orleans, LA
Joined September 2009
2nd-to-final update in personal VA congressional ratings after the @StateNavigate poll. 1: Likely D | Taylor +5 (🔵FLIP) 2: Solid D | Luria +11 (🔵FLIP) 3: Solid D | Scott +52 4: Solid D | McClellan +45 5: Tilt D | Perriello +2 (🔵FLIP) 6: Solid R | Cline +12 7: Solid D | Vindman +20 8: Solid D | Beyer +65 9: Solid R | Griffith +30 10: Solid D | Subranyum +27 11: Solid D | Walkinshaw +52
Personal VA Congressional Ratings VA-3/4/7/8/10/11: Solid D VA-2: Very Likely D ⬅️ (🔵 FLIP) VA-1: Lean D ◀️ (🔵FLIP) VA-5: Toss-Up ⬅️ VA-6/9: Solid R
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You know it’s bad when the moderator has to save him.
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Ryan Berni retweeted
Sen. Raphael Warnock is pressuring his party to spend more in races across the South, particularly the Mississippi Senate race “Right now, the Democrats’ ceiling on Senate seats is 52,” the Georgia Democrat told me in an interview. “That is unsustainable. We have to broaden the map and broaden our vision — put our feet on the ground and open new opportunities for Democrats to win.” MORE from @PunchbowlNews PM on Warnock’s vision - punchbowl.news/article/senat…
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Ryan Berni retweeted
On Trump's relationship with the NextEra CEO, Gov. Spanberger just said: "If you have millions of dollars to donate to President Trump's ballroom, then presumably you have the financial capacity and capability to ensure that Virginians also are benefiting from any potential deal of this size and scale."
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Ryan Berni retweeted
Morning. Sometimes is takes a LONG time to hit the bottom of political abyss. In my experience, its never good for the timing to be damn near election day. Oh well. Such is life. LFG. Vote, Donate, Volunteer 14 days
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And that’s exactly why we have opposed this merger in front of the SCC, because the transaction won’t do anything to address those fundamental issues. oag.state.va.us/media-center…
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Ryan Berni retweeted
Virginians packed two SCC hearings this month and told the commission to reject the $67 billion Dominion-NextEra merger. Today the SCC's own staff agreed: "the Merger as proposed in the Joint Petition should be denied by the Commission." Round one to the ratepayers.
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Ryan Berni retweeted
So @SpanbergerForVA is clearly concerned that this merger WILL raise residential utility rates..... so calling for a 6 year freeze! That should give everyone concern!
New: Per a release from her office, “Governor Abigail Spanberger today — in expert testimony filed with the State Corporation Commission (SCC) on behalf of the Office of Governor — called on NextEra Energy and Dominion Energy to freeze residential electricity rates for six years and triple monthly customer bill credits as conditions of any merger.”
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Ryan Berni retweeted
NOW: @VAStateCorpComm staff investigation executive summary of @nexteraenergy @DominionEnergy merger: "the Merger as proposed in the Joint Petition should be 🚨denied by the Commission🚨" #VALeg deets👉drive.google.com/file/d/1ulc…
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Two weeks out and it's tight! RCP Avgs: KS: Marshall +0.3 (flip) IA: Turek +0.6 (flip) ME: Jackson +1.6 (flip) TX: Talarico +2.2 (flip) AK: Peltola +2.5 (flip) MI: El-Sayed +2.6 MN: Flanagan +2.8 OH: Brown +3.3 (flip) NH: Pappas +6.5 GA: Ossoff +9.0 NC: Cooper +9.6 (flip)
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Ryan Berni retweeted
New @CookPolitical: 11 more House ratings move in Dems' direction, including five GOP seats from Likely R to Lean R. Full analysis by @ercovey: cookpolitical.com/analysis/h…
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VA knows a bad deal when it sees one. Our new poll shows 77% of voters reject the proposed NextEra takeover of Dominion. Our communities deserve lower bills and real accountability, not the nation's largest utility monopoly that puts profits over people. communitiesforaffordablepowe…
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Ryan Berni retweeted
The Dominion merger is an 80/20 issue. If the SCC has any accountability at all to the public, they should reject this merger, or at least dismiss the pending case without prejudice to give our elected officials an opportunity to weigh in.
INBOX: A new poll from Communities for Affordable Power finds "77% of Virginia voters oppose @nexteraenergy's proposed $67 billion acquisition of @DominionEnergy." Top lines👉drive.google.com/file/d/1BKb…
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Ryan Berni retweeted
“A certain ‘X-factor’ at play here might be the fact that, as one of our contacts familiar with the state put it, because Mississippi lacks state-level races this year and has boring House races, the Senate race has a ‘special election’ feel”
Five Crystal Ball Senate rating changes today: Kansas Leans R to Toss-up NH Leans D to Likely D Minnesota Likely D to Leans D Nebraska Likely R to Leans R Mississippi Safe R to Likely R More here: centerforpolitics.org/crysta…
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BREAKING: 2026 has now seen more days with average gas prices over $4/gal than any year before: 158 days
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New poll from @LSU_NewOrleans: Things are improving, more optimism about the city & crime. And this nugget on satisfaction with life in the city: "The high point occurred between 2010 and 2018 when an average of 70% of respondents reported being satisfied with life in the city." All when @mitchlandrieu was mayor. axios.com/newsletters/axios-…
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Ryan Berni retweeted
You want to understand the midterms in one graph? Here it is in a new @Gallup poll. In a stunning turnaround, a majority (51%) of Americans now say that Democrats are the political party to do a better job of keeping the country prosperous. Right before the 2024 elections the Republicans led this measure by a 50% to 44% margin. That is an 20 point turnaround. In our @WSJ poll, 60% say that Trump's economic policies have made the economy worse and give the economy a 65% negative job rating. Trump & GOP squandered their opportunity to make the economy better and bring prices down. The Gallup finds are here: bit.ly/47OirzZ
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Democrats are not "making corruption messaging a pocketbook issue." Their corruption has become a pocketbook issue. politi.co/4hJTnA0 via @politico
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NYT: ..@GinaHinojosaTX has a group of supporters like Davenport, people furious at Abbott over school privatization and data centers. Mary Lowe, an education activist and a self-described “fundamental Christian,” told me that Abbott is “a globalist. He’s a tyrant. He’s a great deceiver.” And though she’s voted Republican in almost every primary and every general election since 1979, she’s voting for Hinojosa in November. “She’s a good human,” said Lowe. “She’s one of us.” nytimes.com/2026/10/09/opini…
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