Rob Holmes (@robertholmes) header
Rob Holmes (@robertholmes) profile picture

American lawyer and mediator. Certified by the NCDRC as a mediator for Superior Court

Raleigh / New Bern, NC, USA
Joined January 2009
Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)Photo by Rob Holmes (@robertholmes)
Mediation rates for 2025 are posted at ncmediation.net
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You toggle a setting in your cell provider's App to help prevent port-out fraud. The toggle switches go by different names such as Number Lock and Wireless Account Lock. Research your carrier to find out how to toggle the account lock relevant to your account.
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Which is first? WTI crude to $20 or $150. Establishment says massive over supply, including non-OPEC Guyana and Argentina. China demand actually down yoy. Also huge supply of oil on water. Renegades say demand much higher than official sources report.
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Six proven practices for effective learning. ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/article…
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In case you ever need to know how to set up the Oval Office formlight and audio.
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. . . of decline than its 0.8 percent contraction over the previous six-month period, between November 2021 and May 2022. “The US LEI fell sharply in November, continuing the slide it’s been on for most of 2022 after peaking in February,” said Ataman Ozyildirim, Senior Director,
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Since I frequently retweet Lakshman’s WLI chart, I thought I’d pin this for handy reference.
Longer term chart of the ECRI U.S. Weekly Leading Index growth rate.
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It may be more complicated than this, but I’m becoming more and more confident that it’s about 90% this:
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Just got back from Antartica and thought I’d catch up on things . . . so whatever happened to all those troops that Putin was going to withdraw from the border?
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I recommend Prof. Harvey’s paper below. Based on his def. of bubble-“persistent deviation from fundamental value”-then, imo, all crypto is always bubbly. Chart shows that 4 of 6 selected bubbled assets never recovered, most importantly, 82-92 Japan equities still down 20%!
My new paper takes a balanced look at crypto from an investor's perspective. Please share the link. papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.… @DukeFuqua
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A California teacher teaching the physics of surfing, 1970.
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Rob Holmes retweeted
Still building out my list of high quality businesses - what's missing here?
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On this day a year ago…
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Following up, @kevinmuir has written about the inflation breakeven rate and the trade referred to as “inflation breakevens,” which, as I understand it, is a directional bet on inflation (and not on rates per se) For a sample of Kevin’s writing, see themacrotourist.substack.com…
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Sunday morning basics: Breakeven Inflation Rate An “expected” inflation rate derived from 10-Year Treasury Constant Maturity Securities (fred.stlouisfed.org/series/D… ) and 10-Year Treasury Inflation-Indexed Constant Maturity Securities . fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/?g… #FRED @stlouisfed
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(fred.stlouisfed.org/series/D… ). The latest value implies what market participants expect inflation to be in the next 10 years, on average. Recently—3/12/21– that rate was 2.26%.
The big data upon which the Fed doesn’t depend is available in a real-time udated database.
Learn about FRED-QD, a publicly available source of quarterly macroeconomic big data that is updated in real time ow.ly/Synm50D8ZGW
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