Professor @JMU. Historian of Loyalists and of old age. Author of _From Revolution to Reunion_. Inspired but negligent cook.

Harrisonburg, VA
Joined January 2015
The 21st century fertility decline is driven by falling 1st (and to some extent 2nd) births. Declining marriage is one cause. But @PeterRFB @DrJasonCarroll and I show that unsupportive friends may uniquely shape 1st/2nd birth decisions too! cc @FamStudies
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
The top 1% are most likely to have 3+ kids. 49% of families in this bracket have 3+ kids - according to @mtkonczal. Love to see an America 🇺🇸 where big families were easier to have up and down the income ladder.
What distinguishes the 1% from the merely affluent? How about having a third child. New post on a topic I've long been fascinated by (the economics and financing of having a third kid) where I finally felt bold enough to go into the latest SCF microdata to get a good answer. /1
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
What distinguishes the 1% from the merely affluent? How about having a third child. New post on a topic I've long been fascinated by (the economics and financing of having a third kid) where I finally felt bold enough to go into the latest SCF microdata to get a good answer. /1
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
Great, great data. I also a hunch that having 3 kids was becoming a new status symbol for the 1% in the 2020s. Not quite. It's more that 3-kid families among every other non-rich percentile has declined by double-digit percentage points while the 1% held steady. So having 3 kids went from being fairly common across the board to a luxury good that, increasingly, only the 1% can afford.
Replying to @mtkonczal
Is this a new status symbol? I don't think so. It looks more like children fall for all families except the 1% over the past 30 years. Maybe the things that made children more difficult for the 99% just bounced right off the 1%? /2
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Another name for Nova Scotia in the 1780s was Nova Scarcity. Read more at uelhistory.blogspot.com/2026…
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
#1 book in Economic History! (Kindle) Amazon's algorithm is a fickle mistress, but it is nice when she winks.
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
Companies always give away coffee tumblers as promo gifts. Nobody needs another tumbler. Everybody has too many. What businesses should be giving away is chip clips. Everybody needs an extra chip clip. This is an important tweet.
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
I think one of the most frustrating parts of the academy is that, for structural reasons, you spend much of your career watching good scholars/people fail and bad ones succeed.
Princeton denied her tenure.
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Sign me up! But it might hurt to try to do both at once. Liking living on both sides of the mirror at once.
The hypothetical dream two-book deal is one where you write the same book twice, once for a university press, carefully circumscribed argument dealing in detail with all the literature on the subject; then again for a trade press in absolutely shamelessly demagogic fashion
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i regret to inform you this is also literally what is happening with teacher pensions in the US today!
France is apparently dipping into its schools budget to plug holes in its public pension system. Seems relevant given that the country is currently being rocked by students protesting over conditions at their high schools!theconversation.com/the-fren…
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
Someday we will have nice tailgate weather for @JMUFootball, right? Been tailgating for more than a quarter century & have never seen a season where it has rained for every single home tailgate. Instead of building a new Bridgeforth maybe we start building an Ark!
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
When I went to @Tulane, in 2015, a dude in my dorm SA’ed a woman. He had school hearings. NOPD issued an order of protection. But no charges or expulsion. I saw him out one night & yelled at him. He took a video & sent it to the school. I was put on probation for “bullying”.
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
If you hire a head coach from James Madison, you will become a college football powerhouse overnight:
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
fifth-generation Gullah Geechee sweetgrass basket weaver Corey Alston standing next to one of his large, contemporary sculptural basket creations.
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Wow: Of 11-12,000 undergraduate degrees at UT, only 300 were in any humanities program. That includes History and English: thedailytexan.com/2026/09/22…
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
Maybe you think you've read everything you need to on this topic. But if you haven't read @JenishaWatts, you need to add that to your list: theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0…
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
It’s nice to have my work vindicated by another DNA test. What’s also great is the vindication of Madison Hemings who spoke of TJ and SH & Fawn Brodie, who put his recollections in her TJ bio that I read at 14 and got me started on this journey.
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Rebecca Brannon retweeted
Something interesting here is that both Matt and NHJ have just one child. When you add a second kid (let alone a third or fourth) to the family calculus, the case for optimizing geographically becomes much stronger. With just one kid, upper-middle class parents can roll the dice and be pretty sure that if things go south at the local public school they can switch to a private school fairly easily. It might cost $50K per year, but you only need to secure one slot. With two, three, four, or more kids, exiting the public school becomes a lot harder. Obviously, there's the huge tuition bill that would come with it, but less obvious to non-parents and parents-of-one is that it's really difficult in a lot of schools and daycares to get multiple slots simultaneously.
I am also a parent who has opted not to peergroup-max by son’s education and for a whole bunch of reasons I feel like it’s been a pretty different outcome than what NHJ describes. slowboring.com/p/why-i-send-…
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People ask me "Isn't fertility decline really about declining religion?" and I say, "well, not strictly speaking, there's a broader shift in how human's socialize related to the digital revolution" Now it turns out "declining religion" is just the digital revolution in a fedora!
Well, we finally have a really rigorous answer to the question: Did the Internet kill religion? Yeah, it did. When Internet penetration rose, religiosity declined in a dataset of 81 countries.
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