Deputy graphics director for @nytopinion.
Brooklyn, NY
Joined September 2008
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Quoctrung Bui retweeted
The One Big Beautiful Bill ratchets up work requirements for Medicaid.
In the process it will force states to pay millions more to one company -- Equifax -- to verify that residents qualify for the program.
Wild @sangerkatz @sarahkliff @a_elkeurti story here:
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
Evidence in New York’s own pilot and other cities suggests free fares drive more ridership.
BUT those added riders can wipe out the time savings of getting rid of the fare. To reap time benefits, you’d need to add service. Which costs yet more $$.
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
Rollet 2025 Fig 3b shows that the average upzoning raises FAR by 1.0, but only increases built FAR by 0.10 over ten years.
Upshot: theoretical zoned capacity needs to be at least 10x bigger than the target amount of housing.
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
I’m seeing a lot of fighting over this. I find it a bit weird. Ezra isn’t saying to run pro-life candidates in Michigan. He’s saying that if Democrats want to keep the GOP out of power, it means running candidates that don’t fit their platform on certain issues.
That includes pro-life candidates in certain states, like Louisiana and Mississippi. But it may also mean running candidates that are aggressively restrictionist on immigration in R+20 states like Nebraska. It may even mean running candidates who may not share certain views on trans rights states like in Iowa, Florida and Montana.
The more worried you are about authoritarianism coming from the other side, the more your stance has to be “win by any means necessary” — and that means accepting candidates significantly to the right of the party on certain topics in red states.
FWIW, Democrats already do this to some degree. And I actually see people like Bernie being very clear-eyed about it — more than most establishment Dems, in fact, who like nothing more than griping to POLITICO. But in most cases, like Tim Ryan, the degree of separation established from the national party/platform is nowhere near what is necessary to win states even as red as Ohio.
Ezra Klein says the more worried you are about authoritarianism, the more willing you’ve got to be to run pro-life Democrats in red states.
nytimes.com/2025/09/18/opini…
ALT Klein: And the stakes of politics are almost always incredibly high. I think they happen to be higher now. And I do think a lot of what is happening in terms of the structure of the system itself is dangerous. I think that the hour is late in many ways. My view is that a lot of people who embrace alarm don't embrace what I think obviously follows from that alarm, which is the willingness to make strategic and political decisions you find personally discomfiting, even though they are obviously more likely to help you win. Taking political positions that'll make it more likely to win Senate seats in Kansas and Ohio and Missouri. Trying to open your coalition to people you didn't want it open to before. Running pro-life Democrats.
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
Or it might be that Spanberger is the right candidate for Virginia and Mamdani is the right candidate for New York City, and elements of both need to be present in whoever becomes the 2028 nominee.
Democratic Party moderates see Virginia governor hopeful Abigail Spanberger as a more politically viable standard-bearer than the likes of New York City mayoral candidate Zohran Mamdani on.wsj.com/4oZLU1p
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
CBO put out their final distribution analysis of the reconcilation bill yesterday. If you combine those numbers with the most recent @The_Budget_Lab tariff burden estimates, you get a striking result: all income groups but the top decile are made worse off on net.
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
estimated drop in new international enrollment to american universities this fall: -30/40% (!)
contributing to a 15 percent drop in overall enrollment
- nafsa: association of international educators
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
Redfin: U.S. housing market now 508,715 more home sellers than homebuyers
That’s the most home sellers have outmatched homebuyers in over a decade, according to Redfin
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
Important piece from @davidautor & @gordon_h_hanson about the next "China shock" and how to deal with it.
nytimes.com/2025/07/14/opini…
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
This is really fascinating. Forest and grassland converted to crops in 19th cent. 20th cent urbanization. But also notice some re-forestation in TX and South East. After 1920, total forested land is fairly stable.
This was a lot of fun to make. Data from @HanqinTian et al.
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
Here's what's in the bill Congress just passed.
More in my latest for @nytopinion
nytimes.com/interactive/2025…
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
We've updated our big, beautiful list of (almost) everything in the GOP bill. Link in reply, for twitter reasons. @aliciaparlap
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
Since some drama about the "current policy baseline" is clearly headed our way this week, may I recommend this piece decoding that boring but consequential language using metaphors and illustrations? nytimes.com/interactive/2025… @aliciaparlap
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
I have obtained new nonpublic data from ICE that shows that 2/3 of the people it had booked into detention facilities this fiscal year had no criminal convictions at all. Less than 7% have violent convictions. Most convictions were for immigration, traffic, and vice offenses.
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
One important thing to note.
Yesterday's report had revenue at $3.009 trillion.
Now, with the add'l 50% tariffs on China, it's $2.843 trillion.
We've now flipped to the right side of the tariff Laffer Curve.
Here's a quick update to the @The_Budget_Lab tariff tracker to incorporate the add'l 50% US tariffs on China & China's add'l retaliation.
• The average effective US tariff rate is now 26.8%, the highest since 1903.
• US real GDP growth is -1.1pp lower over 2025.
1/3
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
NEW: There’s a dire situation in Vietnam, at the largest Agent Orange spill in the country. When Trump and Marco Rubio cancelled foreign aid, froze funding and began dismantling USAID, those who were cleaning up the Bien Hoa air base had to halt work. 1/
Quoctrung Bui retweeted
A woman was assaulted at her job at a nursing home.
She reported it to Michigan police.
The police department alerted ICE, and now she's being deported.
