Tim Wagner retweeted
The best Super Bowl ad of them all was the one for HEB tortillas, and only Texans got to see it
Tim Wagner retweeted
The CFP committee and Alabama, Miami and Notre Dame reps should meet at a gas station in Abilene and flip coins to see who gets in
Tim Wagner retweeted
Replying to @BradRTorgersen
Since you asked an honest question here’s my attempt to honestly answer it:
America’s wealth is driven primarily by high-value service industries such as banking, technology, and entertainment. Just think of companies like JPMorgan Chase, Netflix, or Amazon. These sectors not only dominate the domestic economy but also play a key role in U.S. exports.
According to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, in 2023 the services sector accounted for over 77% of the U.S. GDP, while manufacturing contributed approximately 11%. The U.S. is also the world’s largest exporter of services, with exports totaling more than $970 billion in 2023—covering financial services, software, cloud computing, intellectual property, and consulting. These are areas largely not subject to tariffs.
In a sense, manufacturing is a game the U.S. has already outgrown, shifting its focus to more sophisticated and less labor-intensive sectors. This evolution allows the U.S. to leverage its comparative advantage in innovation and productivity, rather than competing on low-cost labor.
Meanwhile, many other countries impose tariffs on U.S. agricultural and consumer goods because they lack competitiveness in fields like finance, technology, and professional services. By protecting these less efficient sectors, they attempt to shelter local jobs, but at the cost of higher consumer prices and economic inefficiencies.
Americans are major consumers of agricultural and manufactured goods, not because these sectors dominate the economy, but because of the purchasing power generated by a highly productive, service-oriented economy. Imposing tariffs on imports may create the illusion of protecting domestic jobs, but in reality, it often leads to higher prices for consumers and little to no job creation, especially in a country operating near full employment (the U.S. unemployment rate was just 3.7% in early 2024).
In short, tariffs are a blunt instrument that may be politically appealing but are economically inefficient in a modern, dynamic, service-led economy like the United States.
Tim Wagner retweeted
I wrote the below in my August 2021 newsletter. Thought it was prescient re: USAID:
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Africa is crawling with spooks.
Imagine yourself standing in the middle of a busy Central African street. Red clay stains your boots, the vertical sun is scorching your scalp, and among the chaos of motorcycle traffic, nice white Toyotas emblazoned with aid organization acronyms drive back and forth.
White Toyotas with the OECD logo (Organization For Economic Cooperation & Development) drive down the street next to white Land Rovers with the ARC (Africa Rice Center) logo carrying a CIFOR (Center for International Forestry Research) observer along with a guest from the CDRN (Commonweath for Democracy and Rights of Nations).
Regardless of the country of origin, the occupants of these vehicles are all the same: they’re slightly grizzled guys in khaki cargo pants, usually wearing a leather bracelet and a Garmin watch.
They’re all spooks. I’m using the term spooks loosely. They’re not all CIA assassins…they’re mostly just associated with and funded by spookish organizations…instead of trickle-down economics, it’s sort of like trickle-down policies.
One of the reasons I got into NGO media work right out of college (okay, the primary reason) is because I knew it would be conducive to travel.
And travel I did. After five years of doing it, I’d been to 25 countries, and most of those countries had been paid in full or part through projects with various aid organizations.
I’ve written before about the aid industry — the great charitable mafia — and the mass of grifting peons who exist mostly to write grants and draw oversized salaries funded by little old ladies tithing their Social Security checks. I’m not a fan.
But that’s just one side of the industry: the fulfillment side. There is an entirely different side of the industry — the strategy side — that the paper pushers and administrators aren’t even involved in. The strategy side happens much higher up, and these policies trickle down from above.
Contrary to what you might think, it’s not really philanthropists and donors, or even the CEOs or presidents of nonprofits, who are influencing aid policies. They may have their own little agendas, but they are usually a lot simpler than you’d think. They’re doing it for a little personal PR, a little altruism, and a lot of tax write-offs.
The real bosses live in a quasi-governmental world of pseudo-charity. The policies of smaller to midsize nonprofits are indirectly driven by a stream of grants from governmental organizations like USAID or WHO or UNICEF, and the hundreds of sub-organizations, which are really just extensions of foreign ministries and state departments.
Basically, what I’m trying to say in polite words is that a bunch of spooks and unelected puppet-masters use aid funding in order to push political policies and topple governments.
It’s not even a secret in the community, once you meet enough people.
Africa is crawling with spooks. And they’re all working in charity.
Charity is supposed to be just that, charity, and the dictionary definition is “the voluntary giving of help to those in need”. So I dislike that it’s become so politicized. Not only is it more diplomacy than charity (we will provide these bags of rice if you do this-and-that) but it’s also entirely involuntary on either side of the equation.
It’s involuntary on the recipient’s side, because when you’re needing clean water and bags of rice, you really aren’t in much of a position to negotiate. And it’s involuntary on the giving side, because someone has to pay for those grants and overpaid administrators. (That person is either a grandma who thinks she’s doing good, or it’s you and it came from your taxes).
I don’t know about you guys, but I don’t really like bankrolling regime changes. It’d be one thing if those bags of rice actually went where they were needed. But we’ve all seen the first few minutes of Black Hawk Down. Those bags of rice in the backs of the trucks are political currency.
I’ve been to almost every corner of Africa - Liberia, Senegal, Rwanda, Uganda, Kenya, South Africa, and even Morocco if that counts - in places that were either relatively peaceful and idyllic countrysides, or this close to a war zone with literal bodies on the ground.
The single common thread between these countries, though, are the spooks. If you join a poker game with some expats, chances are one of them will be a State Department employee. If you join up with a nonprofit and drive around the bush in a Pajero, chances are the country director will be a crusty ex-SAS guy with perpetual stubble and a satellite phone.
Either visibly or invisibly, these state guys are the lowest level of a governmentally structured system which directs a steady flow of funds, supplies, housing, security, and flights to the little guys on the ground (via small nonprofits, churches, Peace Corps, missionaries, you name it).
Of course, the aid tends to be dispersed in ways encouraged by higher up. Softly. It’s not like the Illuminati rings up a British missionary in Uganda and tells them “send 100 bags of rice to the warlord in Gulu town and ask him for intel on his rival insurgents”.
It’s more like the grants director of the Institute for Equity calls up a country director for Food For Africa and says “we are wanting to encourage development to promote democracy in Sudan, here are some ways we could work together.”
And, bit by bit, grant by grant, grain of rice by grain of rice, a neo-colonial web spun by policy institutes and the purse-strings of governments is spun around Africa…and the cycle starts all over again.
Tim Wagner retweeted
After his cycle tonight in Baltimore, Rangers OF Wyatt Langford is the first rookie in MLB history with a cycle, grand slam, and inside-the-park home run in a season.
@EliasSports
Tim Wagner retweeted
There’s a lot of interest in the Supreme Court’s Loper decision—and more than a few hot takes out there.
I wanted to offer some thoughts on it as someone who has litigated Chevron cases in private practice and served as the General Counsel and now Commissioner of an agency.
I’ve been on the winning side of cases where I think Chevron made the difference, been on the losing side of some of those same types of cases, and participated in many where I think the outcome would have been the same both before and after Loper.
But there’s no question that Chevron operated as a heavy thumb on the scale in favor of administrative agencies—regardless of whether those agencies were adopting new regulatory requirements or eliminating existing ones.
Though I think it would be fair to say that the lion’s share of Chevron cases involved challenges to agency decisions that imposed new regulatory requirements on private citizens or businesses.
One threshold point that I think some of the hot takes have missed. Even before this week’s decision in Loper, Chevron did not apply to the most significant agency decisions—namely, those that involve questions of major economic and political significance.
The major questions doctrine applied in those case, not Chevron. And the major questions doctrine does not require (indeed, it does not allow) courts to defer to agencies the way Chevron did. Rather, it requires agencies to have a clear congressional authorization to regulate in the manner at issue.
So Loper did not end the application of Chevron deference to agencies in cases that involve major economic and political significance. Courts were already prohibited by the major questions doctrine from applying Chevron deference in those cases.
Turning to Loper itself, the Supreme Court’s decision focused, in my view, on two core concerns with Chevron.
1. The Chevron doctrine rested on a fiction. It required courts to read certain provisions in laws passed by Congress—namely, provisions that were either silent or ambiguous as to a particular issue—as if those statutory provisions were something other than silent or ambiguous. Specifically, Chevron created a rule that required courts to treat those silent or ambiguous provisions of law as decisions by Congress to delegate discretionary authority to an administrative agency—regardless of whether the statute itself contained evidence indicating that Congress intended to provide the agency with that power.
That is not how courts normally read a vague or ambiguous provision of law. Outside the context of administrative law cases governed by Chevron, courts do not take vague and ambiguous statutory provisions and read them as delegations of power. Instead, courts apply traditional tools of statutory interpretation to identify the best reading or meaning of them. Maybe they mean that Congress delegated something, maybe not. Maybe they resolve the relevant question, maybe they have no application to the case at all.
So Loper ends this Chevron fiction. Loper says that courts in administrative law cases must now treat those silent or ambiguous provisions of law the same way courts treat other silent or ambiguous provisions of law passed by Congress. Going forward, then, courts must use ordinary tools of statutory interpretation to identify the best reading of those provisions. Applying those tools of statutory interpretation to silent or ambiguous provisions of law is something that falls within a judge’s expertise.
None of this means that Congress cannot delegate certain matters to agencies. Indeed, Loper says that Congress can still provide agencies with discretionary authority. But Congress must do so through statutory provisions or language where the best reading of the statute, applying traditional tools of statutory interpretation, is that Congress delegated discretionary authority to the agency, subject to ordinary constitutional constraints. Silence or ambiguity alone no longer requires a court to conclude that Congress delegated authority to an agency.
This is why many commentators view Loper as reinforcing the Framer’s decision in the Constitution to vest the legislative or law making power in the people’s representatives in Congress. Loper makes it less likely that courts will find that Congress leaked law making power to administrative agencies without Congress even knowing it. And even less likely that courts will uphold administrative agency decisions that effectively take legislative power from the Article I Branch that Congress never delegated.
2. I think the second problem that the Loper court had with Chevron is that Chevron required courts to adopt permissible readings of statutes, rather than the best reading. In those cases where Chevron courts determined that Congress delegated authority to an agency, the doctrine required courts to agree with an agency’s interpretation of law—even in cases where courts would have concluded, using ordinary tools of statutory interpretation, that the agency’s interpretation was not the best reading—provided that the agency’s reading was permissible.
Again, this is not the way courts approach questions of statutory law outside the context of administrative law. As relevant here, courts approach those questions by adopting the best reading of the law.
Commentators have noted that Chevron questions would arise in litigation between two parties—a private person or company on the one hand and a government agency on the other. In contexts other than administrative law, Chevron did not require a court to accept the permissible reading of a statute when offered by one party in the litigation (the government) even though the other party (the private citizen or business) offered a reading that the court considered to be the best reading of the law.
But Loper does not mean that an agency’s interpretation of a law it administers is irrelevant when it comes to administrative law cases. Loper makes clear that a court may agree with an agency’s view that a statutory provision means X even in cases where a court, in the absence of the agency’s views, might have concluded that the statutory provision means Y. Going forward, an agency’s views are likely incorporated into the court’s analysis as part of the judiciary’s application of its traditional tools of statutory interpretation.
But again, even before Loper, Chevron did not apply to cases involving questions of major economic or political significance. The Court has required agencies to point to clear congressional authorizations in those cases, not mere silence or ambiguity. So Loper did not end Chevron’s application to the most significant set of agency decisions.
At bottom, agencies will still win significant cases after Loper, but the Supreme Court’s decision puts regular people and businesses on a more level playing field with the government when they challenge a regulatory overreach.
Tim Wagner retweeted
The ring of fire Annular eclipse over Texas 😍
#Eclipse #Eclipse2023 #AnnularEclipse #AnnularSolarEclipse #SolarEclipse #RingofFire
Tim Wagner retweeted
For perspective, San Antonio Intl has only reported 16.31" of rain since Jan 1 2022. Add a couple more months of rainfall, and since Oct 1, 2021, SAT has only gotten 25.03" of rainfall, so that 25.91" is more in that span than SAT has seen in over a year and a half!
Here are preliminary precipitation reports of over 10 inches from the last 24 hours.
We have a team that is out surveying flooding and other reports, and will send another update later on today. Stay tuned! #flwx
Tim Wagner retweeted
Today, remember this 2021 @usedgov legal memo on why the president does not have the authority to execute broad based student loan forgiveness. I have yet to see the Biden admin explain why this @usedgov Office of the General Council memo was wrong. static.politico.com/d6/ce/3e…
Tim Wagner retweeted
The situation on planet Earth is actually far, far better than what's in your mind and everything is actually going to keep getting progressively better. If you don't think so, cope harder
Tim Wagner retweeted
People think Europe depends on Russia for energy because it lacks its own, but 15 years ago Europe exported more natural gas than Russia does today. Now, Russia exports 3x more gas than Europe produces. Why? Because climate activists, partly funded by Russia, blocked fracking.
Tim Wagner retweeted
Arlington Stadium, #Rangers home 1972-1993, saw the first-ever appearance of ballpark nachos, the kind with cheese sauce. A concessions company from San Antonio created the stadium sensation in 1976.
Tim Wagner retweeted
Thought Bob was coming in the blind with me tonight. 3 feet is a little too close.
Tim Wagner retweeted
🌟 The stars at night will stay big and bright with the designation of a new @IDADarkSky Sanctuary in the #BigBend region: bit.ly/BlackGapDarkSkies
This area of #westTexas is one of the largest contiguous areas under dark-skies protection in the U.S.
📷 Stephen Hummel































