Father of 3 girls, award winning public opinion research & strategy for @azhighground.

Arizona
Joined May 2009
“Complete your ballot all the way through.” That includes the judges. On Beyond the Ballot AZ, HighGround’s Doug Cole explains why judicial retention elections matter and encourages voters to do their research. His reminder: “You don’t participate, others will, and you may not agree with them.” 🎧 👇
New episode of Beyond the Ballot AZ is LIVE! 🗳️ How do you know if a judge meets performance standards? Doug Cole of Judicial Performance Review joins Tom and Gina to explain judicial retention elections. 🎧 Listen: azcleanelections.gov/podcast
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Done and done. I love it when a plan comes together.
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🌊 Early ballots are out, and storm clouds are gathering for Arizona Republicans. HighGround’s latest poll shows the entire GOP ticket significantly underwater and losing ground with independent voters. “If this storm hits Arizona as currently forecasted, the results would be a devastating statewide wipeout for the GOP.” How rough could it get? See the numbers behind the forecast. 👇 @prbentz azhighground.com/hurricane-s…
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Let’s go!
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“Wildcats for life, Bear Down!” Tetairoa McMillan on SportsCenter after SNF 🐻⬇️
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“Independents seem to be rejecting Republicans right now and leaning more towards the Democrats. That doesn’t mean that they’re going to vote similarly as Democrats on the ballot issues,” @prbentz said. 🔗 @arizonaagenda arizonaagenda.com/p/the-girl…
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Incredible. Can’t wait!
Adventure through Hyrule and become the Hero of Time when The Legend of #Zelda: Ocarina of Time releases Nov 5 on Nintendo Switch 2. #NintendoDirect
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.@prbentz tells @azfamily that Republicans must solidify their base while regaining ground with independent voters, the key voting bloc behind many of Arizona’s closest recent elections. With 70 days until Election Day, he breaks down what the latest polling could mean for November: azfamily.com/video/2026/08/2…
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Paul Bentz retweeted
ARIZONA POLL Democrats leading downballot statewide races as GOP deals w shaky base, indie voters flocking to Dems, per @prbentz. 43 days until early voting starts. azhighground.com/arizona-dem…
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The same @azhighground poll that shows a 15 point lead for @katiehobbs also shows democrats leading in all down-ballot contests. The closest margins are in the superintendent race. Secretary of State 🔵 @Adrian_Fontes 43 🔴 @realAlexKolodin 35 Attorney General 🔵 @krismayes 48 🔴 @votewarren 40 Treasurer 🔵 @MansourforAZ 42 🔴 @NortonforAZ 39 Superintendent of Public Instruction 🔵 @drruizforaz 42 🔴 @KimberlyYeeAZ 41
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Paul Bentz retweeted
Paul Bentz, senior vice president of research and strategy at HighGround Public Affairs, broke down the results of a poll that was released Monday that showed Gov. Katie Hobbs with a 15-point lead over Republican challenger Andy Biggs in the Arizona governor’s race. Read more here: ktar.com/arizona-politics-ne…
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POLL INCOMING Local pollster @azhighground shows incumbent @katiehobbs with a 15 point lead on the ballot test over her opponent @andybiggs4az.
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🆕📊 Hobbs Builds Double-Digit Lead in Arizona. “Despite his historic victory in the Primary Election, the Republican electorate has yet to solidify around Biggs for the General,” said @prbentz. "Right now, Biggs is being forced to fight a two front battle – trying to solidify his Republican base while also trying to earn crossover support from independents.  These two things run the risk of being at odds with each other.” Full Release: azhighground.com/hobbs-build…
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Paul Bentz retweeted
#SquareOff: 🔽@JoeDanaReports on why peak power demand days in AZ will keep peaking ▶️Why abortion is on ballot in #AZ01, even though voter-protected in '24 ▶️Fallout from failed voucher initiative, why McCarthy shanked Biggs w @tcani & @prbentz 📺💻8am Sun 12News & streaming
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“More younger voters than ever, choose by default to be an unaffiliated or independent voter. Left to its own devices, voter registration, the state, independents continue to grow no matter what. As these independent younger voters register, they're not necessarily motivated to show up by what's going on in the environment. So we have to give them something to vote for, not simply something to vote against,” @prbentz live from the #LACT26 polling panel.
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🆕📊 Pollster @prbentz and @arizonafuture teamed up to take the pulse of Arizona voters, and Bentz says candidates shouldn’t underestimate the power of the water: 💧 “I’ve been saying this to candidates for a while: You can win on water.” With water such a pressing concern for Arizona voters, Bentz says it’s time to push candidates beyond talking points and demand specifics on how they plan to address the state’s water future.
What do Arizona voters actually want candidates to talk about? Not the horse race. A new nonpartisan survey says it's water, affordability, immigration and education, with agreement across Republicans, Democrats and independents. STORY: ktar.com/arizona-politics-ne… (Photo by Jonathan Gibby/Getty Images)
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Recent primary turnout. Arizona 2024 primary = 1,276,749 2022 primary = 1,457,635 Maricopa County 2024 primary = 739,564 2022 primary = 866,924 ..................... I bet 2026 will fall short of recent years. By a decent amount.
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Got my confirmation. Love this system - another big reason why early voting is so incredibly popular.
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