Revisited 27/39: B5S, 5-Second Micro Predictor. Turn last-5s features (EMA, RSI, book imbalance, CVD, YES drift) into a p_up, compare to the YES price near T-10s, size only the gap. Main failure: p_up isn't calibrated, and mid isn't the ask. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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Revisited 26/39: CLXM, Chainlink-Lag Kinematic Arb. Project Binance velocity over an assumed Chainlink lag, compare to the price-to-beat in the last ~2s, buy, hold. Main failure: lag and velocity estimates drift; confidence isn't probability. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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Revisited 25/39: CLCBM, Chainlink + Coinbase Momentum. Add the last ~2s of Coinbase movement to Chainlink, compare to the price-to-beat, buy that side and hold. Main failure: the estimate isn't future Chainlink, and momentum reverses. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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Revisited 24/39: CLBM, Chainlink + Binance Momentum. Shift Chainlink by the recent Binance move, compare to the price-to-beat in the last ~2s, hold. Main failure: the estimate isn't future Chainlink, and last-second latency kills fills. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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Revisited 23/39: CBX, Coinbase Cross-PTB Scalp. When Coinbase BTC mid re-crosses the price-to-beat late in a 5-min window, buy that side and scalp out. Main failure: Polymarket may already have it, and Coinbase isn't the settlement feed. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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Revisited 22/39: CBR, Coinbase Range-Cross Hold. Same Coinbase/price-to-beat cross as CBX, but it buys only if price traveled far from the line since window open, then holds to settlement. Main failure: a confirmed cross can still reverse. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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Revisited 21/39: CBP, Coinbase Cross-PTB Hold. When Coinbase's BTC mid crosses the price to beat, the bot rests a limit buy on that side and holds to settlement. Main failure: pure crosses whip back, and Coinbase mid isn't the settlement feed. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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Revisited 20/39: CBCLP, the Coinbase-Chainlink pair. A wide gap between the two BTC feeds picks the first Up/Down leg, then the bot buys the opposite side to complete a pair. Main failure: leg 2 fills late or too pricey, leaving a naked bet. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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Revisited 19/39: CBCL, the Coinbase-Chainlink spread. When the two BTC feeds drift far apart, buy the matching Up/Down token and sell as the gap closes. Main failure: the gap can be stale or already priced, and latency plus fees eat it. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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Revisited 18/39: Binary Momentum. MACD, RSI and VWAP on the outcome token's own short bars; enter when all three agree. Test walk-forward, net of spread and fees. Main failure: the indicators lag and overlap, so agreement isn't extra evidence. Not advice. github.com/Polytutor-AI-Labs…
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