Professor of Statistics

UC Berkeley
Joined December 2022
excited to see the physical copy of the book; nervous about the potential errors. Comments are welcome.
I just uploaded the R code and datasets to Harvard Dataverse: doi.org/10.7910/DVN/ZX3VEV I plan to provide Python code as well but I need to learn Python first.
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A potential longer title of the paper is `DID when the event affects all units.' `FDID' is shorter but more esoteric. @xuyiqing
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Our paper "Estimating within-cluster and between-cluster spillover effects in randomized saturation designs" just appeared at Social Networks: authors.elsevier.com/a/1nCow… It was motivated by Edward Miguel's Neyman Seminar on a cash transfer experiment in Kenya onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/…
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It finally appears at the Journal of Econometrics: sciencedirect.com/science/ar… @MengsiGao
Hi #EconTwitter! 📊 Diving into causal inference and the #econometrics of networks? Check out this paper by @MengsiGao & Peng Ding (@UCBerkeley), who deal with regression-based analysis for exposure effects estimation in network experiments. 📈 Interesting read for econometricians and economists who care about robustness! Link: arxiv.org/abs/2309.07476
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Peng Ding retweeted
Thanks for the coverage, Bia! Amazing post, as always.
We have a new post!📬 ⭐️Factorial DiD (Xu, Zhao & Ding) ⭐️DiD With No Untreated Units (de Chaisemartin et al.) ⭐️Treatment Effects in Complex Designs (de Chaisemartin & D’Haultfœuille) ⭐️Inference With Few Treated Units (Alvarez, Ferman & Wüthrich) substacktools.com/sharex/ojC…
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I just sent the new version of the textbook to CRC: arxiv.org/pdf/2401.00649v2 with R code and data at: dataverse.harvard.edu/datase… I can still make minor changes. Comments are welcome.
I just posted my notes for Stat 230 ``Linear Models'' to ArXiv: arxiv.org/pdf/2401.00649.pdf It covers the linear model and many extensions. I will teach it again in the spring and continue polishing the notes. Comments are welcome.
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very excited to see the paper "Nonparametric identification is not enough, but randomized controlled trials are" with comments from @beenwrekt ("A Bureaucratic Theory of Statistics") and myself ("What randomization can and cannot guarantee"): muse.jhu.edu/issue/54591
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101 years ago, Neyman introduced potential outcomes and design-based inference. For a special issue of Journal of Causal Inference, Sandrine Dudoit (@cendrinou), Deb Nolan (@DebAtStat), Terry Speed, and I wrote about how 4 books from @UCBStatistics & @thaddunning explain 1/
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We view DID as a factorial design with the panel data structure. It is a fun paper. Comments are welcome.
Sharing a new working paper with Anqi Zhao & Peng Ding @pengding00, titled "Factorial Difference-in-Differences." arxiv.org/pdf/2407.11937v2 🧵 Comments and suggestions are welcome!
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🧑‍🏫 UC Berkeley seeks applicants for 4 tenure-track and 1 tenured professor position in "AI, Inequality, and Society." Explore areas like employment, algorithmic bias, and more. Salary: $78,200-$310,300. aprecruit.berkeley.edu/JPF04…
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IPW with the estimated propensity score is another example. The first-stage estimation reduces the asymptotic variance, which surprises many people. A recent paper is arxiv.org/pdf/2303.17102 Also, Newey&McFadden chapter 6 is about "two-step estimation" sciencedirect.com/science/ar…
Anyone have other examples of multi-step estimation problems where one needs to propagate uncertainty in first-step estimation into subsequent-stage coefficients? Generated regressors would be a standard example (eg centering regressors as in qt)
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This is an interesting and useful trick. However, centering factors has some special restrictions on the estimated factorial effects when there are more than 3 factors (3 is the magic number there!). This motivates us to write this paper: academic.oup.com/biomet/arti…
A fun fact about regression that many know but maybe is new to you: If you have an interaction bw continuous X1 and binary X2, mean-centering X1 will make the coefficient on X2 be its marginal effect when X1 is at its mean level rather than 0 without changing the interaction
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Peng Ding retweeted
In @AmstatNews JASA, Anqi Zhao & @pengding00 consider alternative strategies to address covariate missingness in randomized experiments and recommend including missingness indicators when estimating average treatment effects. tandfonline.com/doi/abs/10.1…
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Just gave a guest lecture on Bayesian Causal Inference at Williams College, with slides and R code at doi.org/10.7910/DVN/JOXVQK which is an introduction to our review paper royalsocietypublishing.org/d… @fabri_mealli @FanLiDuke (I never taught any Bayesian Statistics at Berkeley.)
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Fan Li's slides for causal inference
Done another semester teaching causal inference🙂. Updated my course slides, added survival data, labs, corrected more typos this time. Close to 800 pages now. Always more to update next year. www2.stat.duke.edu/~fl35/Cau…
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