Atmospheric Sciences professor at U. Utah. Believer that it really is turtles all the way down. Opinions predetermined and not my employer's.
Salt Lake City, UT
Joined April 2016
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Thread: New paper in @EGU_ESD with @ProfSteveKeen and @prof_grasselli shows a 50-year fixed relationship between world economic "wealth" - not the GDP - and global primary energy consumption. Implication? Our future is tied to even our quite distant past
esd.copernicus.org/articles/…
Tim Garrett retweeted
Coal is plentiful on Earth. Net Zero people don't like it (dirty, carbon emissions). People like me don't like it (strip mining, acid mine pollution, metal pollution, etc. all destroy natural habitat, accelerate 6th mass extinction, and more energy = more development).
AND...>>
Economic engine erring by myself and Matheus Grasselli themintmagazine.com/economic…
I sometimes get academic flack for my economics work having more math and physics than is palatable. I call it rigor, but here's a piece just out in the Mint Magazine about how climate change drives inflation with no equations! themintmagazine.com/economic…
New paper out in @EGU_ACP "Toward less subjective metrics for quantifying the shape and organization of clouds". We describe new methods for objectively describing fields of irregularly shaped fractal objects with a range of sizes, focusing on cloud fields
acp.copernicus.org/articles/…
A terrific post on recent work with Matheus Grasselli on the thermodynamic forces driving economic inflation, particularly -- but not exclusively -- within the context of damages from climate change
"The Thermodynamic Endgame of Industrial Civilization"
kasperbenjamin.substack.com/…
The old of civilization is always falling apart even as it newly grows. Additional decay forced by climate change need only grow by 0.1%/year to lead to civilization collapse by 2070, sooner for higher rates. We will collapse slowly then all at once.
egusphere.copernicus.org/pre…
A really odd thing about existing Integrated Assessment Model descriptions of climate damages is that they imply (as we describe) absurdly low rates of economic inflation even for catastrophic warming egusphere.copernicus.org/pre…...
New preprint out by myself and Matheus Grasselli in @EGU_ESD showing how a global hyperinflationary shock is an expected consequence of climate change, plausibly emerging in the next few decades.
egusphere.copernicus.org/pre…
Tim Garrett retweeted
The arc of history is long but it bends towards a lethally hot supercontinent 250 million years from now
Tim Garrett retweeted
“The Arctic Ocean became a net CO2 source…contributing to prolonged carbon input, temperature rise and ocean acidification during the PETM. These findings highlight potential major perturbations to Arctic carbon cycling under future climate change.”
Article: Enhanced aerobic oxidation of methane in the Arctic Ocean intensified carbon dioxide emissions during the Palaeocene-Eocene Thermal Maximum, potentially extending the event
@MethanoClimate @ChemClimatology
nature.com/articles/s41561-0…
Tim Garrett retweeted
💡What powers the world🕯️
Humanity's energy demands are constantly increasing, relying on a growing supply of fossil fuels & "renewable" energy."Civilization grows by efficiently using an energy surplus to transform the earth's crust into the stuff of us"
xitter.cf/nephologue/status/1725…
Tim Garrett retweeted
We just checked and there’s still no snow in the forecast.
In the 1940s, the study of snow science and avalanche mitigation in North America began right here at Alta, thanks to the work of intrepid USFS Snow Rangers.
🎥: Sverre Engen
🤠: Monty Atwater and Ed LaChapelle
Not the first time I've posted this, but I always find it quite fascinating how well it continues to hold. For over *two thousand years*, atmospheric CO2 perturbations have scaled with the world GDP. Aren't the implications for climate change mitigation pretty simple...?
This could be better framed as asking “what will the OBBB bill do for the global economy?”. The global economy is stably carbon based. So, if it hurts the economy through idiocy then it reduces CO2 emissions
Compared to what Trump can do via executive action alone, if the Senate-passed #OBBB becomes law:
1. US greenhouse gas emissions would increase by ~190 million metric tons per year in 2030 & 470 million tons in 2035
Tim Garrett retweeted
And there is this in case @RnaudBertrand is interested:
xitter.cf/nephologue/status/1303…
Latest news: We need to return to 353 ppm CO2 to restore the energy balance and stop global warming
essd.copernicus.org/articles…
That requires rewinding civilization energy demands back to 1960.
tinyurl.com/y6ht39tj
Good times ahead.
Tim Garrett retweeted
CO2/GHG are the waste products of a combustion-driven & interconnected civilisation and must be addressed globally. UK emission cuts are irrelevant amid rising global CO2 levels.what Arnaud as a China Lobbyists is defending is the growth paradigm.
xitter.cf/nephologue/status/1794…
When will we draw a link between an accelerating rise in CO2 emissions and the surge in renewables? Renewables do not replace, they do not simply add, but by catalyzing the construction of a hungry civilization, they spur
Tim Garrett retweeted
"A potentially more concerning explanation for the drop in cloud cover is an emerging low-cloud feedback, whereby low cloud cover decreases with rising temperature, which...could lead to more future warming than currently anticipated"
March editorial: Temperature rising - on the recent period of exceptional warmth
nature.com/articles/s41561-0…
