@natehopps
Account based inHong Kong
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I like maths and sports. building @magicmarkets
Grand Pangolin Arms
Joined May 2026
- Tweets98
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- Followers320
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Prediction markets, sportsbooks and sports exchanges have never been connected in a single venue. Today they are. @magicmarkets is out of stealth and open to everyone. 25+ venues, one order book, one wallet — the full depth and liquidity of the global sports market.
For months we served institutional clients only, mostly by API. From today the beta pro frontend and the API are open to all. That includes hard-to-access old-world sportsbook venues many traders can't get near.
Here is what it means for you (a thread):
See if there's a better price elsewhere out there from within Chrome as you browse Polymarket
Traders, meet Thumper, the Chrome extension that compares prediction market pricing, right inside the site you’re on. chromewebstore.google.com/de…
Nate Hopps retweeted
The prediction market stack is slowly splitting into three major settlement models
1 | @Polymarket / UMA - Oracle + Dispute
2 | @magicmarkets and @KalshiSports - Official sports results
3 | @HyperliquidX (HIP-4) - Validator side settlement
Still the same event but different resolution speed and different risk levels
> Tools like @PredMarketWiki already has one of the best mapping tools for filtering settlement models
This will come in very handy for big traders when making proper decisions on where to size
> And btw, Magicmarkets just launched to public from stealth mode and they’re not stopping, nice job @natehopps
We're looking for great creators to collab with -- reach out to @CryptoBetsss
Nate Hopps retweeted
I’m building an NFL portfolio, and New England Patriots is my Super Bowl winner pick and my main position
I’m getting them at 3.7c on MagicMarkets versus 3.9c on Polymarket
That 0.2c difference is already a 5.1% cheaper entry
Then theres the Polymarket sports taker fee -a few percent on top
So @magicmarkets gives me a materially better entry
For a trade this cheap, that is not noise
My thesis is that the Patriots are priced too low relative to my assessment of their chances, and I want to own that mispricing before the market reprices it
MagicMarkets charges 0% maker and taker fees
This is my main NFL position for now
More to come
Thin in-play exit liquidity at Polymarket is a key reason we built @magicmarkets. If you're struggling to exit your positions in-play, you need access to traditional sportsbook liquidity.
tried exiting a position mid-match on Polymarket last week
book that was three-deep at kickoff was empty by minute 60
everyone with an opinion already positioned pre-match. once the game starts the liquidity just leaves.
sportsbooks never have this problem. live betting is their entire business model - the book stays deep the whole match because that's literally where the volume is
@magicmarkets combined both liquidity types into one book instead of picking a side
25+ venues. sportsbooks, exchanges, prediction markets. one wallet, zero commission
live for the EPL restart right now
find an obscure midweek fixture and see if the depth actually holds past kickoff, that's the only test that matters
Hit us up directly on X if you have any @magicmarkets issues or ideas
if you’re experiencing any issues or bugs with @magicmarkets feel free to dm me or any of our team accounts.
We are a small team but working around the clock for you and will do our best to help!
this thing ran as an institutional API product for months before it had a frontend
that order matters more than the feature list
the pipes got stress-tested by people moving size, not by a launch day crowd clicking around a clean UI
@magicmarkets opened both today 25+ venues behind one order book, one wallet
most launches do this in reverse
Prediction markets, sportsbooks and sports exchanges have never been connected in a single venue. Today they are. @magicmarkets is out of stealth and open to everyone. 25+ venues, one order book, one wallet — the full depth and liquidity of the global sports market.
For months we served institutional clients only, mostly by API. From today the beta pro frontend and the API are open to all. That includes hard-to-access old-world sportsbook venues many traders can't get near.
Here is what it means for you (a thread):
Nate Hopps retweeted
Sportsbook liquidity and prediction markets just got merged into one place to trade
@magicmarkets pools 25+ venues, prediction markets and sportsbooks, into one order book
One wallet. One balance. Best price across the whole thing
The part I actually care about: sports markets grade on the scoreboard, game ends, result's there, done
Compare that to disputed @Polymarket votes turning into screenshot-combing arguments
MagicMarkets doesn't need a UMA dispute window
Moreover, there are 0 fees on top of venue pricing. It's for in-play sizing where most PMs thin out at start
Early beta so it's rough in places. But the core idea is the right one
Prediction markets, sportsbooks and sports exchanges have never been connected in a single venue. Today they are. @magicmarkets is out of stealth and open to everyone. 25+ venues, one order book, one wallet — the full depth and liquidity of the global sports market.
For months we served institutional clients only, mostly by API. From today the beta pro frontend and the API are open to all. That includes hard-to-access old-world sportsbook venues many traders can't get near.
Here is what it means for you (a thread):
Nate Hopps retweeted
Sports liquidity has been broken into disconnected pieces for way too long
A few structural shifts @magicmarkets brings that actually matter:
>> Native Asian Handicaps:
You can finally trade proper handicap structures where real market size lives, without cobbling together synthetic hedges
>> In-Play Spread Compression:
Anyone trading live knows the pain of sudden 8–11¢ spreads right when you need to enter or exit
Aggregating 25+ wholesale venues into a single book at 0% fees keeps the order book dense under one balance
>> Scoreboard Settlement and Zero Bans:
Positions grade strictly on the final match scoreboard -no token-holder voting drama or subjective resolution
Since they operate as an aggregator rather than a house counterparty, you dont get punished or limited for winning
If this live depth holds, competing venues simply wont have an answer
The $11.12M in monthly volume on the Polymarket builder board shows the flow is already moving
Prediction markets, sportsbooks and sports exchanges have never been connected in a single venue. Today they are. @magicmarkets is out of stealth and open to everyone. 25+ venues, one order book, one wallet — the full depth and liquidity of the global sports market.
For months we served institutional clients only, mostly by API. From today the beta pro frontend and the API are open to all. That includes hard-to-access old-world sportsbook venues many traders can't get near.
Here is what it means for you (a thread):
15/ Follow the team. They will answer far more than a thread can: @0xMagicMaker, @tebrabbit, @gatheringalpha, @cryptobetsss
16/ That’s it. Come and trade it, and tell us what breaks. magicmarkets.com