Senior Analyst, S. Sudan @Crisisgroup | Author: The Politics of Fear in South Sudan (Zed, 2021) & Climate Shocks & Pastoralist Migration (Zed, 2025) | PhD, Math
Joined January 2022
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The recent opposition offensives in South Sudan signal the onset of a new war. In my latest analysis for @CrisisGroup, I explain how opposition gains and government fragility are increasing the risk of state disintegration. crisisgroup.org/alr/africa/s… via @crisisgroup
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
🙏🏿 @NobelPrize In honouring Navi Pillay you reaffirm the universality of international law and the importance of peace. A wonderful tribute to an extraordinary South African who has devoted her life to defending both. And to do this now sends a powerful message. 💫❤️
BREAKING NEWS
The Norwegian Nobel Committee has decided to award the 2026 #NobelPeacePrize to Navanethem “Navi” Pillay for her efforts to promote peace and international law.
#NobelPrize
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
I have a new essay out in @ForeignAffairs about how the Horn of Africa is getting sucked into the Middle East at an ever accelerating pace-- and about how the hard division between the two regions was always ahistorical.
foreignaffairs.com/middle-ea…
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
🗒️ NEW ANALYST'S NOTEBOOK | South Sudan’s President Jettisons Unity Government and Hardens Grip on Power
@jongethon examines how President Kiir’s call for fresh elections aims to weaken his opponents, and may pave the way to worsening armed conflict.
crisisgroup.org/anb/africa/s…
President Kiir is dismantling South Sudan’s unity government to lock in power.
Whether he calls snap elections or pushes another extension, the endgame is the same: entrenching rule for himself and his family.
My latest for @CrisisGroup: crisisgroup.org/anb/africa/s…
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
Important piece here from Daniel @jongethon on Kiir's new power play in #SouthSudan, as he will seek to extend his + family rule through either snap elections or a technical extension. Either way, the direction of travel is clear.
crisisgroup.org/anb/africa/s…
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
Important turn of events in #SouthSudan to monitor, as an ailing Kiir tightens control + for his family.
@jongethon
crisisgroup.org/sco/global/o…
I spoke with @GlobalR2P about the reality of power in Juba, the collapse of South Sudan's 2018 peace agreement, and the risks surrounding the December elections. Full conversation: youtu.be/Lj6W2-ltB8g?si=e2wX…
I will be live on @citizentvkenya tonight at 9 PM EAT with @OliveBurrows to discuss South Sudan’s State of Independence. We will be taking a hard look at the structural realities of the past 15 years and what must change moving forward. Please tune in.
1/3) 15 years after independence, South Sudan is at a dead end. Violence has escalated for months and the country, already suffering from widespread and systemic conflict, risks further political and humanitarian collapse.
📷: Sandra Macharia / UNDP
2/3) In this context, the General Elections slated for December 2026 amid rampant insecurity risk becoming a dangerous distraction that will exacerbate violence across Upper Nile and Equatoria.
3/3) Key African players, including Kenya, Ethiopia, Uganda, and South Africa should work together in support of AU envoy Kikwete's efforts to push Pres. Salva Kiir and former Vice Pres. Riek Machar back toward political dialogue. @CrisisGroup continues to monitor the situation.
The physical copies have arrived in Nairobi. Climate Shocks and Pastoralist Migration in South Sudan is officially out.
Let's discuss the ecological drivers of conflict tomorrow at 2:00 PM EAT.
Join the conversation here: eventbrite.co.uk/e/book-talk…
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
NEW STATEMENT | A Hormuz Initiative to Protect Global Food Security
The Middle East conflict threatens global food security. @CrisisGroup and prominent individuals call for an initiative to ease the crisis in the Strait of Hormuz.
crisisgroup.org/stm/global/i…
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
ONLINE EVENT | The Iran War One Month in: Any Way out?
30 March | 6pm Brussels | 5pm London
w/ @AliVaez, @HamidRezaAz, @citrinowicz, @dassakaye and @YasFarouk.
Registration ⬇️
us06web.zoom.us/webinar/regi…
To clarify, @paulkasii: the recommendation isn't for the EU to usurp local security, but to adjust its leverage. When state-building funds fuel conflict, the EU must support local peace architectures and sanction spoilers directly, instead of funding a broken centre.
@jongethon interesting recommendations from ICG! How can EU control local violent conflicts yet security provision is a sovereign responsibility?
South Sudan is tragically sliding back into civil war. With 10 million people in need of aid and the region on edge, the international community must take decisive action now. Read Crisis Group’s latest analysis: crisisgroup.org/cmt/africa/s… via @crisisgroup
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
NEW SPECIAL COVERAGE | @EroComfort’s 2026 Top Picks on Gender and Conflict
For International Women’s Day, @CrisisGroup’s President and CEO shares a list of her top ten publications exploring how conflict and gender intersect.
crisisgroup.org/sco/global/c…
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
NEW BRIEFING | Ethiopia, Eritrea and Tigray: A Powder Keg in the Horn of Africa
The risk of hostilities remains high after the last major war in the area. African states and outside powers should urgently open back channels to defuse tensions.
crisisgroup.org/brf/africa/e…
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
🔴 LIVE NOW | Sudan, South Sudan and Somalia: Key Peace and Security Priorities for Africa in 2026
w/ @jongethon, @wmshewit, @OmarSMahmood, and
@Lieslvaudran and Pauline Bax.
youtube.com/live/q2os2bwIQGk
Daniel Akech Thiong retweeted
NEW BRIEFING | Seven Peace and Security Priorities for Africa in 2026
The continent is beset by trouble at home while grasping for options in dealing with today’s jumbled global order. The challenges to peace and security are many.
crisisgroup.org/brf/africa/b…
