La Jolla | @GraziadioSchool MBA '28 | 🏈🏒
Malibu
Joined August 2020
- Tweets47.4K
- Following651
- Followers5.8K
- Likes14.4K
Adam Carter retweeted
Week 7 breakout for Cleveland Browns rookie KC Concepcion
- 29% target share
- three avoided tackles
- seven first downs
- 110 air yards AND 82 yards after catch
Advanced metrics check for Packers WR Matthew Golden from 2025 ➡️ 2026..
🔘 72.5% reception rate ➡️ 52.9% reception rate 📉
🔘 3.3% drop rate ➡️ 16.3% drop rate 📉
🔘 60.0% contested catch rate ➡️ 40.0% contested catch rate 📉
🔘 89.7 passer rating when targeted➡️ 81.7 passer rating when targeted 📉
Production profile for Texas WR Matthew Golden. Golden is another receiver I'll likely be lower on. Doesn't have any elite traits as a receiver and doesn't meet the 130+ passer rating when targeted threshold..
+ Above average ball winner (61.1% contested target rate)
+ Average hands (6.5% drop rate)
+ Average to below production numbers versus zone coverage (2.48 YPRR, 15.52% contested target rate)
- Concerning numbers versus man coverage (0.92 YPRR, 38.46% contested target rate)
- Below average production after the catch (13.79% missed tackle rate, 5.20 yac/rec)
- Average EPA target (120.90 passer rating when targeted)
Consensus day 1 and day 2 WR prospects with a ‘Tier 2’+ pre-draft grade.. 📈
🔘 Carnell Tate, Ohio State
🔘 Omar Cooper Jr, Indiana
🔘 KC Concepcion, Texas A&M
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
Browns SAF Emmanuel McNeil-Warren (SAF2-Tier 1/Bluechip) had another solid outing in week 7 via live PFF grading and is currently the 2nd highest graded safety in the NFL with a 90.0 PFF grade.. 📈
Pre-Draft Eval: “HIGHEST RUN DEFENSE GRADE AMONGST ALL FBS SAF PROSPECTS SINCE 2015. 1 OF 5 FBS SAF PROSPECTS SINCE 2015 WITH A RUN DEFENSE GRADE > 91.0, A CAREER PRESSURE RATE > 25.00%, AND A PASSER RATING WHEN TARGETED < 60.0, JOINING JALEN PITRE, DESMOND KING, MARCUS WILLIAMS, AND ANDREW WINGARD.”
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
Jets WR Omar Cooper Jr. (WR2-Tier 1/Bluechip) now owns the highest YPRR and passer rating when targeted in the NFL and is the only rookie WR with an 85.0+ receiving grade.. 📈
Pre-Draft Eval: “1 OF 3 P4 WR PROSPECTS SINCE 2018 WITH A TD RATE > 25.00% AND > 5.00 YAC/REC, JOINING TERRY MCLAURIN AND BRIAN THOMAS JR. 1 OF 3 P4 WR PROSPECTS SINCE 2018 WITH A PASSER RATING WHEN TARGETED > 140.00, A CTC RATE > 50.00%, A MISSED TACKLE RATE > 25.00%, AND A TD RATE > 20.00%, JOINING JA'MARR CHASE AND CEEDEE LAMB.”
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
The only NFL WRs with an 85.0+ receiving grade.. 📈
Consensus day 1 and day 2 players in the 2026 NFL Draft with a ‘Tier 1-Bluechip’ draft grade..
🔘 Sonny Styles, LB
🔘 David Bailey, EDGE
🔘 Arvell Reese, EDGE
🔘 Carnell Tate, WR
🔘 Mansoor Delane, CB
🔘 Dillon Thieneman, SAF
🔘 Spencer Fano, OT
🔘 Kenyon Sadiq, TE
🔘 Emmanuel McNeil-Warren, SAF
🔘 Omar Cooper Jr, WR
🔘 Jake Golday, LB
🔘 Jaishawn Barham, EDGE
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
Jets NT Darrell Jackson Jr. (NT2-Tier 3/Above average NFL starter) had another solid outing in week 7 with an 83.1 run defense grade and 3 run stops via live PFF grading.. 📈
Pre-Draft Eval: “99TH PERCENTILE ARM LENGTH. 97TH PERCENTILE HAND SIZE. 1 OF3 P4 NT PROSPECTS SINCE 2015 WITH ARMS > 34 1/8" AND A PRESSURE RATE > 12.00%, JOINING DEXTER LAWRENCE AND DEONE WALKER.”
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
Browns WR KC Concepcion (WR3-Tier 2/High level NFL starter) had a breakout day against Tennessee in week 7 with an 88.0 PFF grade, a 4.61 YPRR, and a career best 129 receiving yards.. 📈
Pre-Draft Eval: “> 1,100 TOTAL YARDS AS A TRUE FRESHMAN. 1 OF 3 P4 WRS SINCE 2018 WITH > 50.00% OF THEIR ROUTES OUT WIDE, A CTT RATE VS. ZONE < 12.50%, A CTT RATE VS. MAN < 20.00%, A CTC RATE > 40.00%, & A MISSED TACKLE RATE > 25.00%, JOINING LADD MCCONKEY AND GARRETT WILSON. > 400 CAREER RUSHING YARDS. TRUE FRESHMAN ALL-AMERICAN.”
docs.google.com/spreadsheets…
Highest graded Ravens defensive players in week 7 via live PFF grading.. 📈
🔘 Ethan Burke, 81.6
🔘 Travis Jones, 80.4
🔘 Calais Campbell, 74.9
🔘 Trent Simpson, 70.4
🔘 Malaki Starks, 70.0
The only P4 EDGE rushers since 2015 with a 20-yard shuttle < 4.23 and a run stop rate > 10.00% in their 'best' college season..
🔘 Frank Clark, Michigan
🔘 Chase Winovich, Michigan
🔘 Donovan Ezeiruaku, Boston College
🔘 Odafe Oweh, Penn. State
🔘 Joey Bosa, Ohio State
🔘 Dorance Armstrong, Kansas
🔘 Ethan Burke, Texas
Ravens EDGE Ethan Burke (EDGE9-Tier 3/Above average NFL starter) via live PFF grading in week 7 on a total of 17 snaps (11 run defense grade, 6 pass rushing).. 📈
81.6 PFF grade
79.2 run defense grade
2 pressures
1 QB hit
1 QB hurry
1 run stop
Burke has been able to accumulate 4 pressures on just 9 pass rushing snaps the past two weeks. Clearly he deserves more opportunity..
The only P4 EDGE rushers since 2015 with a 20-yard shuttle < 4.23 and a run stop rate > 10.00% in their 'best' college season..
🔘 Frank Clark, Michigan
🔘 Chase Winovich, Michigan
🔘 Donovan Ezeiruaku, Boston College
🔘 Odafe Oweh, Penn. State
🔘 Joey Bosa, Ohio State
🔘 Dorance Armstrong, Kansas
🔘 Ethan Burke, Texas
Jets WR Omar Cooper Jr. (WR2-Tier 1/Bluechip) ranks amongst NFL WRs with > 10 targets.. 📈
88.0 receiving grade (8th)
4.77 YPRR (1st)
158.3 passer rating when targeted (1st)
Cooper Jr. looks every bit the part of a bluechip prospect early in his career..
The only P4 wide receiver prospects since 2019 with a passer rating when targeted > 140.00 and a missed tackle rate > 1/3 in at least one college season. Indiana WR Omar Cooper Jr. projects as a borderline 'Tier 1' level WR prospect..
🔘 CeeDee Lamb, Oklahoma
🔘 Omar Cooper Jr, Indiana
🔘 Malik Nabers, LSU
