This is XRP 4-hour perps on Binance. Price is $1.30.
It tagged the 0.236 fib near $1.50, then got sold. That dump sliced through the fair value gap between $1.32 and $1.38. Price is now sitting on the 0.5 fib at $1.2938. That’s the line. Hold it, and this is just a fill of the gap. Lose it, and the next magnet is $1.21, the 0.618.
The falling grey line is still overhead. Every bounce since late August has made a lower high into that channel. RSI is weak, mid-40s. MACD is under zero and pointing down. So this bounce at $1.29 has to prove it. No 4-hour close back through $1.32–$1.38, and the gap stays resistance.
Simple map. Reclaim the FVG and $1.38 comes first, then $1.45–$1.50. Fail $1.29 and you’re looking at $1.25, then $1.21.
I’m not buying the first candle on the 0.5 after a gap fill. Let $1.29 hold. Then make $1.38 do the work.
Not financial advice. Gap fill first. Breakout later.
This is XRP weekly. Price is about $1.36.
The white line is the 50-week average, right around $1.52. The red line crossed under it earlier. That’s the death cross they marked. After that cross, every bounce into those averages got sold. Then price dumped toward $1.00 and ripped back up.
Here’s the part that matters now. This bounce tagged $1.52 and stalled. The chart says four weekly closes still beneath the 50-week. That’s not a reclaim. That’s a test. Stoch RSI is overbought again, near 80. Same stretch you saw on the last bounce that faded.
If XRP can print a weekly close over $1.52, the door opens toward $1.70, then $1.80. Until that close happens, $1.52 is a lid. Lose this coil and the red average near $1.30 is first support. Under that, the $1.00 area comes back on the table.
I’m not calling a new bull run off one wick into the 50-week. Four closes below means the burden is still on the buyers.
Not financial advice. Weekly close over $1.52, or this is still resistance.
this is XRP on the daily. Binance. Price is $1.37.
This thing ran hard into $1.70. That high is marked at $1.6999. After that, it rolled over and started leaking. Now it’s sitting right under $1.42 resistance, bouncing around the fast EMAs. The 7-day is $1.37. The 25-day is $1.35. The 50-day is $1.33. That’s your first real shelf.
RSI is 47. Not washed out. Not strong. Just mid-range. So this is a pause after a big impulse, not a confirmed second leg yet.
If $1.33 holds, the first upside is $1.42. Clear that, and $1.50 is the next clean target on this chart. The $1.88 extension is only in play if $1.70 breaks. That’s later. Not today.
If $1.33 fails, I want to see $1.26. That’s the 100-day area and the strong support they marked. Lose that, and the 200-day near $1.19 comes into the conversation.
I’m not buying the $1.88 headline first. I’m watching $1.33 versus $1.42. Daily close decides it.
Not financial advice. Levels only. #xrpcrypto #xrp #crypto
This is XRP versus Bitcoin on the weekly. It shows whether XRP is beating Bitcoin or lagging it.
The red line is a string of lower highs. Every rally since early 2025 topped lower than the one before it. The white line is the 50-week EMA, sitting near 0.0001925. Price just tagged that line and got rejected. That green arrow is the rejection.
XRP/BTC is around 0.000172 right now. Overhead supply is the 50-week EMA and that falling red trendline, roughly 0.00019 to 0.00022. Support underneath is 0.00016, then 0.00015.
Simple map. A weekly close above the 50-week EMA and the red line means XRP is starting to outperform Bitcoin. First target is 0.00022, then 0.00025. If this rejection holds and 0.00016 breaks, the ratio can slide back toward 0.00015.
Not financial advice. XRP can rise in dollars and still lose to Bitcoin on this chart. Don’t call a breakout until this weekly line gives way. #xrp #xrppriceprediction #xrpcrypto
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Engineer PD retweeted
BREAKING:
Thune just gave the real status.
"We'll probably have a vote on the CLARITY Act."
"We'll see if the Democrats give us the votes."
Not a confirmed date. A conditional.
Odds already crashed to 27%.
Down from 82% in February.
The bill got shelved this week for Russia sanctions and nominations.
Tim Scott says 12-18 Democrats could be open to it.
Warren remains the biggest obstacle to more crossing over.
11 months of negotiation. Dozens of concessions.
Still down to "we'll see."
Engineer PD retweeted
🇺🇸🇮🇷 BREAKING: Iran denies agreeing to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, calling the report that led Trump to cancel a strike "false," per Times of Israel.
An Iranian military source adds the strait remains closed to any ship that does not coordinate with Iran's Revolutionary Guards.
Engineer PD retweeted
JUST IN: Michael Saylor hints at buying more Bitcoin 👀
“Bitcoin Drive engaged.” 🚀
Engineer PD retweeted
LIVE: The FOMC and two tech giants worth a combined $4.4T could decide whether markets rally or the AI selloff gets even worse.
The first major catalyst arrives at 2PM ET, when the Fed is widely expected to hold rates at 3.50%–3.75%.
With the decision largely priced in, attention will quickly shift to Kevin Warsh’s press conference 30 minutes later.
Markets will be listening for 3 things:
-whether inflation remains too high
-how divided Fed officials are and
-whether rate cuts are moving closer or further away
A HAWKISH message would likely push the dollar and Treasury yields higher, putting pressure on stocks and crypto.
While a SOFTER message could trigger a broad relief rally.
Attention will then shift to Microsoft $MSFT and Meta $META, which both report after the closing bell.
Microsoft reports fiscal Q4 and full-year 2026 results, with Wall Street expecting roughly $87.6B in revenue and $4.24 in EPS.
But Azure growth, Copilot adoption and AI monetization will likely matter more than the headline numbers.
The biggest focus will be its AI spending, with fiscal 2026 capex expected to reach roughly $145B.
Meta reports shortly afterward, with Wall Street expecting $60.2B in revenue and $7.19 in EPS.
Investors will focus on advertising growth, profit margins and whether its $125B–$145B capex plan is still rising.
Strong cloud and advertising growth, combined with disciplined spending, could reignite the AI trade.
But another major capex increase could pressure both stocks, even if they beat earnings expectations.
Ahead of the reports, $MSFT is up ~1.1% in premarket trading near $393, while $META is almost flat near $593.
Meanwhile, $BTC is back above $64k.
US GDP and PCE inflation both arrive Thursday, giving markets another major test less than 24 hours later.
Are you ready?
Engineer PD retweeted
🇺🇸 FOMC interest rate decision will be out today.
79% chances of a rate pause and 21% chances of a rate hike.
I personally think a rate pause will happen, but there's something I'm concerned about.
The Fed's future interest decision.
In the last FOMC meeting, 50% of the officials supported a rate hike.
If that number goes up at this meeting, it could be bad for stocks, crypto, and precious metals.
Engineer PD retweeted
BREAKING: President Trump says the US will respond to Iranian strikes on a US airbase in Jordan.
US oil prices extend gains to +7% on the day.
Engineer PD retweeted
7 to 10 Senate Votes On-The-Table For Clarity Act!
Bloomberg’s Steven Dennis just said 7 to 10 Sen. Dems are open to voting YES on The Clarity Act!
👉So why not hold the vote TODAY!?
These are the 7 Democrat Senators viewed as the “MOST LIKELY” to vote Yes to the Clarity Act! Do you think they can get it done?
1. Angela Alsobrooks (D-MD)
2. Ruben Gallego (D-AZ)
3. Mark Warner (D-VA)
4. Catherine Cortez Masto (D-NV)
5. Cory Booker (D-NJ)
6. John Hickenlooper (D-CO)
7. Raphael Warnock (D-GA)
Engineer PD retweeted
🚨 BREAKING 🚨
🇺🇸 President Trump says the US will hit Iran hard.
Here we go again...
Engineer PD retweeted
Key Events This Week:
1. Markets React to US/Iran Pausing Strikes - Today, 6 PM ET
2. July Consumer Confidence data - Tuesday
3. July Fed Interest Rate Decision - Wednesday
4. Microsoft, $MSFT, Meta, $META, Report Earnings - Wednesday
5. July PCE Inflation data - Thursday
6. Apple, $AAPL, Amazon, $AMZN, Report Earnings - Thursday
7. July MI Consumer Sentiment data - Friday
8. July MI Inflation Expectations data - Friday
We have a huge week ahead.