Director of Product @EarningsHubHQ • Co-Host @BuyHoldRant
Joined September 2008
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🟢 Just increased my $RIVN position by 35.01% at $11.63, it is now 6.41% of my Savvy Trader portfolio
From a technical perspective, $RIVN looks attractive at these levels.
The stock is down roughly 50% from its 52-week highs and is trading around previous support and resistance levels established in...
Follow all of my trades and get real-time alerts
savvytrader.com/dustin/rvr/t…
I wouldn't judge a company's health by its stock price.
The market overreacts in both directions.
Asking if $EOSE is dead now is like asking, back when it was flying, if it was going to $1,000 a share.
Probably neither.
Revenue keeps growing.
Just not as fast as analysts and the market expected.
It got overhyped, and now it's probably getting overpunished.
Episode 61 of @buyholdrant just wrapped. Here's what @hamids and I covered this week:
• Hamid and I both added to $RKLB after they pushed Neutron's first launch into 2027 and the stock sold off. Plus, I bought more $IREN after it got dragged down alongside $CRWV on AI debt fears, and more Bitcoin.
• $META and $TSLA both reported today, so we ran through the headline numbers live, including a big one-time legal charge on Meta's books. Then we dug into $SPCX, which reported yesterday.
• Tesla finally showed off the next-gen Roadster, nearly nine years after the original reveal. We talk about the demo vs. the presentation, the three trims, and the 2028 production target.
• Meta released the weights for Muse Spark Open, which it calls the most capable US open-weight model to date, and you can run it at home on two M5 Ultra Mac Studios.
youtu.be/vektZ_7lEMg
We rebuilt how you start a portfolio on Savvy Trader.
It's now four quick steps: add your holdings, write a short thesis on why you own each one (optional), set your cash, then pick your portfolio's name and who sees what.
Performance starts from today's prices, not your original cost, so every track record on Savvy Trader is fair and verified by us.
ALT Savvy Trader Create Portfolio flow in dark mode: a four-step stepper with MSFT, NVDA, AAPL, and AMZN added on the Holdings step
On June 10, I trimmed my $RKLB position by 14% at $106.78 and used some of the proceeds to increase my $BMBL position by 24% at $2.72.
Fast forward four months, I sold my entire $BMBL position at $5.96 and used some of those proceeds to increase my $RKLB position by 52% at $51.66.
Sold some rockets, bought some dating apps, sold the dating apps, bought back twice as many rockets for half the price.
I rarely maneuver my portfolio this well, so on the rare occasion I actually pull it off, I'm required to call it out.
You can follow all my good and bad maneuvers on Savvy Trader.
savvytrader.com/dustin/rvr
New in Portaris: Net Equity.
Link your mortgage or car loan to the asset it belongs to, and Portaris shows what you actually own in it.
You get a loan-to-value bar on every asset (Healthy, High Leverage, or Underwater), each linked loan with its share of the debt, and an Equity by Asset view on your dashboard.
Your house isn't your net worth. Your equity in it is.
Some free tech advice on $AAPL HomeView.
Don't buy the wall-mounted version.
It's going to age so poorly.
In 10 years it'll still be hanging there, outdated and unsupported.
And the wall version doesn't even come with a mount.
That's another $59.95, minimum.
If you want one, get the standalone version and put it on a counter.
Tech is easier to replace than drywall.
Do we think $RIVN will be down tomorrow because they don't have a flying car?
$CRWV got hammered this week after D.A. Davidson's Gil Luria said its equity could go to zero if the AI cycle sputters.
$IREN got dumped right alongside it.
Same sector, completely different balance sheets.
CoreWeave ended June with $35.6B in debt against $77.1B in assets and $5.0B in equity.
Its liabilities sit at 93.5% of assets, with debt at ~7x equity.
IREN ended June with $15.8B in assets, $11.6B in liabilities, and $4.2B in equity.
On a surface screen, IREN's liabilities are 73.5% of assets, which spooked the algos.
Look under the hood: only $7.6B of that is actual debt (~1.8x equity).
Roughly $1.8B of IREN's liabilities are customer prepayments.
That is interest-free cash from hyperscalers funding the buildout upfront.
It doesn't get paid back in cash.
It converts directly into revenue as capacity comes online.
CoreWeave is funding growth with 15% yield debt.
IREN is funding a big chunk of its growth with its customers' cash.
Treating them the same in a selloff misses the entire story.
I sold all my $BMBL this week at $5.96, for a 60% gain.
Back in August, I said Bumble had an extremely strong risk to reward ratio.
Either the product turnaround would work, or someone would buy the company.
Someone bought the company.
Now the setup has completely flipped.
The deal pays $6.05 a share, so the reward for holding is virtually meaningless.
The risk is that if the deal falls through, the stock goes right back to the $2 range.
The only reason to hold is if you expect a bidding war.
I think the odds of that are extremely low.
So I took the 60% and moved on.
You can check out the full breakdown from me and @hamids here: youtube.com/watch?v=mVdtKzua…
🟢 Just increased my $RKLB position by 52.14% at $51.66, it is now 9.49% of my Savvy Trader portfolio
$RKLB is selling off on news of a delay to Neutron's launch, which shouldn't come as much of a surprise if you've been following the stock.
While the delay pushes back revenue, I think the selloff creates an attractive buying opportunity.
I'm using this weakness to buy back shares I sold earlier this year.
Follow all of my trades and get real-time alerts
savvytrader.com/dustin/rvr/t…
Dustin Alper retweeted
I’m surprised people are soooo shocked by this $RKLB announcement…Peter basically hinted that they won’t be launching Neutron this year in a couple of interviews already by saying (paraphrased) “I’m less worried about when the first launch is and more concerned when we get the 10th launch out.” And that “nobody remembers that Electron was late.”
@dustinalper and I talked about this a few episodes ago on the @BuyHoldRant podcast.
Fundamentally Rocket lab continues to be super strong and getting stronger every day.
Today we shared an update on Neutron's development, including adjusting the schedule for flight one to 2027.
Full details: investors.rocketlabcorp.com/…
